A hypothetical scenario - a Ukrainian far-right paramilitary leader, Dmytro Yarosh, travels to Estonia to take a part in a political forum organised by NATO. On his way to Tallinn airport, his convoy is hit by a Russian drone strike, killing him and a dozen of people who happened to be in that convoy. Later that day, Putin's press-secretary, Dmitry Peskov, openly boasts about conducting such a brilliant military operation on a foreign soil, eliminating a former leader of the Right Sector (the organisation holds an "extremist/terrorist" status and is banned in Russian Federation).
Imagine the international reaction. Imagine the US State Department press briefings, imagine the CNN and BBC headlines, imagine The Economist cover.
Russia would be unequivocally condemned as a rouge, terrorist state that ruthlessly murders citizens of other countries, the countries it's not formally at war with, on a foreign soil. There would be calls for immediate action, a deadly round of economic sanctions would be applied in an instant, all regional NATO military bases would be put on high alert.Well, there's no need to imagine things, really. Remember the Skripal case, when someone poisoned a former Russian spy and his daughter in the UK in 2018, and the British government went hysterical, pointing fingers at Russia, before the official investigation even commenced, with countries like Australia taking Theresa May's words at face value, making collective ultimatums to the Russian government?
There was no concrete proof that Russia was behind the assassination attempt, of whatever the hell that was - the UK authorities initially claimed that the Skripals were poisoned with Novichok, a deadly nerve agent that is many times more potent that sarin, yet both Skripal and his daughter somehow managed to survive it; by the way, how's the investigation going? And when was the last time "free press" investigative journalists attempted to contact Skripals, or find out anything about their whereabouts, in order to get an update on the situation? It's a matter of national security, remember? What? Everyone lost their interest as there has been no command to continue the hysteria?
Comment: Which they did do (perform in a credible way). And to which the US responded last week by assassinating Soleimani.