Well, here we are. We're told the White House just pulled us back from the brink of World War III. Make no mistake, what happened this week was historic, but not in the way that Washington and its punditry class are spinning it. For the first time ever, a state actor has attacked the United States, and the US did not strike back. The region, and the world, may never be the same. Welcome to the
New Middle East.
In the early hours of Wednesday morning, the Islamic Republic of Iran fired some 22 missiles, hitting two US military installations located in Iraq's Anbar province and in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan. According to US and Iraqi officials, the missiles caused no casualties. US reports claim the American troops were hiding in bunkers before the missiles landed, following a tip off from their "early warning" missile detection system, although it's more likely that the US received a phone call giving a 30 minute warning from officials in Iran via Washington's intermediary channels in Baghdad and Switzerland. Still, CNN
reported with typical
national security gusto, "US intelligence satellites had picked up signs of a heat signature from Iran, suggesting the country had just launched short-range ballistic missiles."
It seemed like a wider war was well and truly on. And then suddenly it wasn't.
When news of the Iranian missile strike hit the headlines Tuesday evening east coast time, US President Donald Trump went silent for most of the evening, giving no press conference or televised address to the nation. All he could manage on this occasion was a typically glib remark followed by the usual tub-thumping on Twitter.
Later that morning, Trump stood behind the White House podium. Many were expecting him to announce that the US would respond to Iran's attack on US assets by retaliating in a "disproportionate manner" - just as he had
promised only days earlier. Instead Trump
stood down, announcing that the US would not respond militarily.
Comment: So what happens at midnight on January 31st?...
The UK is no longer in the EU?