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There's no doubt the Afghan government relies on speeding up talks with Taliban" as the situation on the ground deteriorated over the past two years, Nikita Mendkovich, an expert with Russian International Affairs Council, told RT.Looks like Moscow is going to win 'the long war' in Afghanistan after all...
The Taliban have managed to gain upper hand in various parts of the country, and the Western-backed Afghan National Army risks being defeated in the coming years, he explained. And while Kabul's offer of peace sounds promising at a glance, analysts say it has more to do with the survival of the current government than anything else.
The militants are able "to take matters into their own hands" without providing any security guarantee to the Afghan government, the expert noted.
That aside, Afghanistan is preparing to hold presidential elections, putting the sitting President Ashraf Ghani in a precarious position. Because he is unpopular with sizeable part of the population and regional elites, he must demonstrate "some results."
"A peace deal or at least a long-term truce with Taliban would be a bargaining chip for Ghani to remain in power,"according to Mendkovich. However, the main reason for Kabul to accelerate the peace process is still rooted in "military defeats" sustained by the Afghan army and NATO forces.
Meanwhile, Omar Nessar, a researcher with Russia's Institute for Oriental Studies, said he doesn't see how a peace deal might become reality. The Taliban are demanding that NATO troops leave the country, which in turn is "unacceptable" for Western sponsors of Kabul.
The Taliban "doesn't need peace talks right now as they continue to gain foothold in Afghanistan," Nessar stressed. The Afghan leadership is a too week actor to talk with, but the Americans may try to ask Kabul to negotiate on their behalf in order to "save the image of the government."




Comment: So he's telling us that this last 17 years of drone warfare, indiscriminate bombing, and death squads haven't been a success? Gee, what insight! Perhaps it's past time to just admit defeat and go home. Afghanistan didn't ask for American 'help' in the first place. And look at the kind of help they provided.
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