
Hassan Nasrallah
Lebanon is expecting the visit of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo this week at a time when the Lebanese economic-political map is being redrawn and while Lebanon is suffering its most serious economic downturn in recent history.
Reasons for the deterioration of the local economy include
not only the corruption of Lebanon's political leadership and lower level administration but also US sanctions imposed on Iran. The latest sanctions are the
harshest ever imposed. They will also dramatically affect Lebanon so long as President Donald Trump is in power if Lebanon does not follow US policy and dictates.
If, as anticipated, Washington declares economic war on Lebanon, the sanctions will leave Lebanon few alternatives.
They may force Lebanon to fall back on Iranian civilian industry to overcome US economic pressure, and to rely on the Russian military industry to equip Lebanese security forces. This will be the result if Pompeo insists on threatening Lebanese officials, as his
assistants have done on previous visits to the country. The consistent message from US officials has been: you're either with us or against us.
Politically, Lebanon is divided between two currents, one pro-US (and Saudi Arabia) and another outside the US orbit.
The economic situation may well increase internal division to the point that the local population reacts angrily in order to exclude the US and its allies from influence in Lebanon.
Comment: While postponing Brexit may seem preferable to some in the UK establishment, perhaps hoping people will become so war-weary that they give up caring, some of those that voted to leave may feel very aggrieved indeed that their vote, and the farce playing out in parliament, has come to nought:
- May to give MPs free vote on delaying Brexit, and the four amendments - UPDATE: Surprise! MPs delay Brexit deadline till end June
- Still Confused About Brexit? It's Actually Pretty Simple...
- Brexit: A Political Farce Based on a Public Lie
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