When you strip everything else out, the reason for lockdown comes from a single figure: one percent. This was the prediction that Covid, if left unchecked, would kill around one percent of us.
You may not think that percentage is enormous, but one percent of the population of the world is 70 million people - and that's a lot. It would mean 3.2 million Americans dead, and 670,000 Britons.
But where did this one percent figure come from? You may find this hard to believe, but this figure emerged by mistake. A pretty major thing to make a mistake about, but that's what happened.
Such things occur. On September 23, 1998, NASA permanently lost contact with the Mars Climate Orbiter. It was supposed to go round and round the planet looking at the weather, but instead it hit Mars at around 5,000 mph, exploding into tiny fragments. It didn't measure the weather; it became the weather - for a few seconds anyway.
An investigation later found that the disaster happened because engineers had used the wrong units. They didn't convert pound seconds into Newton seconds when doing their calculations. Imperial, not metric. This, remember, was NASA. An organisation not completely full of numbskulls.
Now you and I probably have no idea of the difference between a pound second and a Newton second (it's 0.67 - I looked it up). But you would kind-of hope NASA would. In fact, I am sure they do, but they didn't notice, so the figures came out wrong. The initial mistake was made, and was baked into the figures.
Kaboom!
With Covid, a similar mistake happened. One type of fatality rate was substituted for another. The wrong rate was then used to predict the likely death rate - and, as with NASA, no-one picked up the error.
In order to understand what happened, you have to understand the difference between two medical terms that sound the same - but are completely different. Rather like a pound second or a Newton second.
Which fatality rate, did you say?
First, there's the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR). This is the total number of people who are infected by a disease and the number of them who die. This figure includes those who have no symptoms at all, or only very mild symptoms - those who stayed at home, coughed a bit and watched Outbreak.
Then there's the Case Fatality Rate (CFR). This is the number of people suffering serious symptoms, who are probably ill enough to be in hospital. Clearly, people who are seriously ill - the "cases" - are going to have a higher mortality rate than those who are infected, many of whom don't have symptoms. Put simply - all cases are infections, but not all infections are cases.
Which means that the CFR will always be far higher than the IFR. With influenza, the CFR is around ten times as high as the IFR. Covid seems to have a similar proportion.
Now, clearly, you do not want to get these figures mixed up. By doing so you would either wildly overestimate, or wildly underestimate, the impact of Covid. But mix these figures up, they did.
The error started in America, but didn't end there. In healthcare, the US is very much the dog that wags the tail. The figures they come up with are used globally.
On February 28, 2020, an editorial was released by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Published in the New England Journal of Medicine, the editorial stated: "... the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza."
They added that influenza has a CFR of approximately 0.1 percent. One person in a thousand who gets it badly, dies.
But that quoted CFR for influenza was ten times too low - they meant to say the IFR, the Infection Fatality Rate, for influenza was 0.1 percent. This was their fatal - quite literally - mistake.
Comment: A more skeptical mind might think that this was no mere mistake, but deliberate.
The mistake was compounded. On March 11, the same experts testified to Congress, stating that Covid's CFR was likely to be about one percent, so one person dying from a hundred who fell seriously ill. Which, as time has passed, has proved to be pretty accurate.
At this meeting, they compared the likely impact of Covid to flu. But they used the wrong CFR for influenza, the one stated in the previous NEJM editorial. 0.1 percent, or one in a thousand. The one that was ten times too low.
Flu toll 1,000 - Covid toll 10,000
So, they matched up the one percent CFR of Covid with the incorrect 0.1 percent CFR of flu. Suddenly, Covid was going to be ten times as deadly.
If influenza killed 50, Covid was going to kill 500. If influenza killed a million, Covid was going to get 10 million. No wonder Congress, then the world, panicked. Because they were told Covid was going to be ten times worse than influenza. They could see three million deaths in the US alone, and 70 million around the world.
I don't expect you or I to get this sort of thing right. But I bloody well expect the experts to do so. They didn't. They got their IFR and CFR mixed up and multiplied the likely impact of Covid by a factor of ten.
Here's what the paper, "Public health lessons learned from biases in coronavirus mortality overestimation",says: "On March 11, 2020,... based on the data available at the time, Congress was informed that the estimated mortality rate for the coronavirus was ten-times higher than for seasonal influenza, which helped launch a campaign of social distancing, organizational and business lockdowns, and shelter-in-place orders."
On February 28 it was estimated that Covid was going to have about the same impact as a bad influenza season - almost certainly correct. Eleven days later, the same group of experts predicted that the mortality rate was going to be ten times as high. This was horribly, catastrophically, running-into-Mars-at-5,000-miles-an-hour wrong.
Enter the Mad Modellers of Lockdown
In the UK, the group I call the Mad Modellers of lockdown, the Imperial College experts, created the same panic. On March 16, they used an estimated IFR of 0.9 percent to predict that, without lockdown, Covid would kill around 500,000 in the UK.
Is this prediction anywhere close?
So far, the UK has had around 40,000 Covid deaths. Significantly less than 0.1 percent, but not that far off. Of course, people will say... "We had lockdown... without it so many more would have died. Most people have not been infected..." etc.
To answer this, we need to know the true IFR. Is it a 0.1 percent, or one percent? If it is one percent, we have more than 400,000 deaths to go. If it is 0.1 percent, this epidemic has run its course. For this year, at least.
With swine flu, remember that the IFR started at around two percent. In the end, it was 0.02 percent, which was five times lower than the lowest estimate during the outbreak. The more you test, the lower the IFR will fall.
So where can we look to get the current figures on the IFR? The best place to look is at the country that has tested more people than anywhere else as a proportion of their population: Iceland.
As of last week, Iceland's IFR stood at 0.16 per cent. It cannot go up from here. It can only fall. People can't start dying of a disease they haven't got.
This means that we'll probably end up with an IFR of about 0.1 percent, maybe less. Not the 0.02 percent of Swine Flu - somewhere between the two, perhaps. In short, the 0.1 percent prophecy has proved to be pretty much bang on.
Which means that we've had all the deaths we were ever going to get. And which also means that the lockdown achieved almost precisely nothing with regard to Covid. No deaths were prevented.
Mangled beyond recognition
Yes, we are testing and testing, and finding more so-called cases. As you will. But the hospitals and ICUs are virtually empty. Almost no-one is dying of Covid anymore, and most of those who do were otherwise very ill.
Instead of celebrating that, we've artificially created a whole new thing to scare ourselves with. We now call a positive test a Covid "case." This is not medicine. A "case" is someone who has symptoms. A case is not someone carrying tiny amounts of virus in their nose.
Now, however, you test positive, and you're a "case." Never in history has medical terminology been so badly mangled. Never have statistics been so badly mangled.
When researchers look back at this pandemic, they'll have absolutely no idea who died because of Covid, or who died -coincidentally- with it. Everything's been mashed together in a determined effort to make the virus look as deadly as possible.
Lockdown happened because we were told that Coivid could kill one percent. But Covid was never going to kill more than about 0.1 percent - max.
That's the figure estimated back in February, by the major players in viral epidemiology. A figure that has turned out to be remarkably accurate. Bright guys... bad mistake.
We've killed tens of thousands - for nothing
But because we panicked, we've added hugely to the toll. Excess mortality between March and May was around 70,000, not the 40,000 who died of/with Covid. Which means 30,000 may have died directly as a result of the actions we took.
We protected the young, the children, who are at zero risk of Covid. But we threw our elderly and vulnerable under a bus. The very group who should have been shielded. Instead, we caused 20,000 excess deaths in care homes.
It was government policy to clear out hospitals, and stuff care homes with patients carrying Covid, or discharge them back to their own homes, to infect their nearest and dearest. Or any community care staff who visited them.
We threw - to use health secretary Matt Hancock's ridiculous phrase - a ring of steel around care homes. As it turned out, this was not to protect them, but to trap the residents, as we turned their buildings into Covid incubators. Anyone working in care homes, as I do, knows why we got 20,000 excess deaths. Government policy did this.
That is far from all the damage. On top of care homes, the ONS estimates that 16,000 excess deaths were caused by lockdown. The heart attacks and strokes that were not treated. The empty, echoing hospitals and A&E units. The cancer treatments stopped entirely.
Which means that at least as many people have died as a result of the draconian actions taken to combat Covid, as have been killed by the virus itself. This has been a slow-motion stampede, where the elderly - in particular - were trampled to death.
We locked down in fear. We killed tens of thousands unnecessarily, in fear. We crippled the economy, and left millions in fear of their livelihoods. We have trapped abused women and children at home with their abusers. We have wiped out scores of companies, and crushed entire industries.
We stripped out the NHS, and left millions in prolonged pain and suffering, on ever lengthening waiting lists, which have doubled. There have also been tens of thousands of delayed cancer diagnoses - the effects of which are yet to be seen, but the Lancet has estimated at least sixty thousand years of life will be lost.
Lockdown can be seen as a complete and utter disaster. And it was all based on a nonsense, a claim that Covid was going to kill one percent. A claim that can now be seen to be utterly and completely wrong. Sweden, which did not lock down, has had a death rate of 0.0058 percent.
It takes a very big person to admit they have made a horrible, terrible mistake. But a horrible, terrible mistake has been made. Let's end this ridiculous nonsense now. And vow never to let such monumental stupidity happen ever again.
By Malcolm Kendrick, doctor and author who works as a GP in the National Health Service in England. His blog can be read here and his book, 'Doctoring Data - How to Sort Out Medical Advice from Medical Nonsense,' is available here.
Reader Comments
RC
That clip illustrates exactly what lsjarvi is saying. This whole scamdemic project is a fraud, and handing its perpetrators the excuse that it was a simple error is just furthering the fraud's propagation. The fraud is deliberate and the fraudsters deserve to be outed for who they are and what they have done.
RT is just another MSM outlet, pushing the current lies. Their promotion of the lies is no mistake, either.
By NOT holding them accountable, they are free to waltz off to their next deadly charade. And remember - they NEVER sleep.
The elephant in the room right now is the TEST. With only a 70% accuracy at best, and NOT detecting the COVID19 virus AT ALL it's completely bogus.
Kids returning to college are prisoners now? Getting weekly tests??? The 30% inaccuracy alone will assure that EVERYONE eventually tests positive - and for what? Antibodies? The TEST has to be outed. It's pure fallacy.
Re-opening schools??? Local governing bodies (school districts) are still receiving full financial support for these empty institutions thru RE tax collections? It's pure windfall! No garbage, water, gas or electricity bills. No cleaning or only minimal maintenance? Why would they WANT to re-open them? If I had an empty 12 flat but got full rent from the govt. I'd keep it empty too.
There's far too much at stake here to let a simple, "oops! We made a mistake" suffice for the carnage caused.
They take us for being stupid enough to fall for whatever they want us to believe. In the case of a lot of people, they are right. In the case of the smaller number of people who see through the lies, they couldn't be any more wrong.
I have always said I could not blame leaders for the original decision to lockdown based on the advice they were given, but I do blame them for all the decisions made after that, and it is those decisions which are going to prove the most costly. And I mean the decision not to reverse the original one as soon as it became apparent that covid was not a mass killer and that was a long time ago.
This has nothing to do with the present plandemic hoax, but if Gerald Ford's US had effectively changed to metric, maybe the Mars accident would have been avoided. Also, the world would be "talking" more fluidly with the US in matters so important as weights and measures.
The only thing decimalized in the US is money.
Watch this filter into CNN/MSNBC/FOX/etc in coming weeks and we have our answer.
But perhaps SOTT should highlight known BS sites like RT just to make it a little more clear.
Flashback 'Presstitutes: Embedded in the Pay of the CIA': Udo Ulfkotte's book now available in English
Udo Ulfkotte died of a heart attack in January 2017. Given the efforts to bury his book, there is good reason to believe that he was murdered to prevent him revealing anymore. This makes the...Oh, wait, he's dead.
R.C.
I assumed he was referring to the Gnostics...but then they still like to call themselves the "Illuminati" don't they? Popular history likes to say those folks just vanished like Jim Jones or something. Doesn't look like they did.
One type of fatality rate was substituted for another. The wrong rate was then used to predict the likely death rate - and, as with NASA, no-one picked up the error.
no-one picked up the error.!
RT has been on board with this hoax from the beginning. They're a Communist mouth piece so what can one expect.
Why and for whose benefit? Definitely not for 99.9% of the people.
Ultimately, the blame lies squarely with [the] WHO (World Health Organisation). In my book - you DO NOT label an illness - a PANDEMIC on the basis of 153 people being infected [or dying] (the number alleged to be infected in China at the time of the announcement) A PANDEMIC is generally alleged to mean that approximately 25% of the target population or group, are being infected or succumbing to the nominated 'virus' or illness.
In the case of the WHO announcement, the overt and/or subliminal implication was that it was a global PANDEMIC, and therefore, the implication was meant to convey that it was alleged to be be 25% of the global population being smitten by the 'new cimednap'. They sure did get their fear-factor, back-to-front and arse-upwards. And what did the MSM do? As is their normal tribunal form ... they stirred it up for all it is/was worth.
Not usually big on live versions, but that one's pretty damn good.
RC
To make a Cmaj7 on a guitar,* just lift up your index finger, holding down two strings instead of three. Strum those two chords back to back repeatedly (i.e., lifting and replacing the index finger,so it's SUPER easy) and you'll instantly hear 'Imagine,' I imagine.
R.C.
*In the 'first position', i.e., where you also play open strings.
RC
Otherwise...it's off to the gallows for me, for me...
I just got off the phone myself. A little blue Yamaha 6 string, which I wouldn't normally go for, but the Bigsby tremolo won me over. I feel much better.
I guess I got carried away, what with flashing back, and all, as I guess I think of Yamaha in the same way I think of Toyota, which is 'what is a good company that even our modern world could use?' - and I've never ridden a motorcycle.
R.C.
Thank You Tsidkenu
O LindaMay, keep..., and trash the yakkers 2020AD
It isn't over yet. Gates has said there is a worse disease on the way and this time it will get everyone's attention (his own words). He and his wife then smiled. These people are evil.
Be aware. Come alive. Be prepared for the level shift. Be the explosion you want to hear. [Link]
Sadly, though, - and despite its obvious production values - it was released May 1, 2020, AND ONLY HAS ABOUT 8K VIEWS AS OF OVER FOUR MONTHS LATER!
Heaven help us.
RC
And don’t forget the CDC (for profit front for big pharma) owns the patents on this coronavirus.
The whole process of tax dollars funding developments for public health and those organisations then able to hold patents and make profits for big pharma is the bottom of the sewer.
I got them NOW
However, It's exposed me to the fact that I am surrounded by some of the dumbest adults to ever walk the earth, and lots of them, heaps more than I had previously assumed, and that realization is never going away.
As much as I'd like to not agree with troll-breath, "Amerika" is jam-packed with degenerates.
2nd: No ... ME!!
3rd: horribly depressing for decades but getting worse fast.
N.B. unfanthomable
I'm not trying to be mean (it comes naturally), but it looks deeper than just the work of propaganda alone to me.
R.C.
"They" are the evil spiritual powers headed by the Enemy of God and humanity, represented on Earth by those known as satanists who operate within secret societies in every influential country in the world and constitute the governing powers in these countries. "They" take cover in the religion of Judaism and other religions, including Christianity, and have their followers within these religions many of whom are no doubt deceived. "They" worship the god of this world known as that ancient serpent, the Devil (the Deceiver) and Satan, who poses as a messenger of Light but is the author of Death and Darkness, the father of lies.
"Their" right to govern has now been taken from them and given to the sons of God who are now responsible for bringing forth the Kingdom of God in the Earth.
The wicked spiritual powers were deposed form their positions of authority in Heaven in October 2017 and have come down to the Earth to assist their servants in this realm to resist their own removal. This final struggle, known as the Battle of Armageddon, the final struggle for the Kingdom, is what we are now witnessing in the world and it will continue and intensify before the end. The times are in God's hands but the final removal of the rulers of this present darkness has been decreed and will be done. The work of those who believe is simply to agree with this decision, the expressed will of God, and to stand still and see the deliverance of our God.
We co-create which means WE are the determining factor.
[Link]
Wha' d'ya think Pzv?
In these last days, in a transfer of authority within the ruling cabal the authority was handed back to Jerusalem in 1947 by the UN and by the British in 1948 when the State of "Israel" was declared. "Their" assumption of authority fulfilled a recompense due to Esau that was owed to him on account of the deception perpetrated by Jacob (Israel) in obtaining the Birthright (i.e. the rulership of the world). "They" have been on final probation for 70 years to bring forth the Kingdom of God. They failed and have been removed from power.
"They" are the evil spiritual powers headed by the Enemy of God and humanity, represented on Earth by those known as satanists, who operate within secret societies in every influential country in the world and constitute the governing powers in these countries. "They" take cover in the religion of Judaism and other religions, including Christianity, and have their followers within these religions many of whom are no doubt deceived. These followers worship the god of this world known as that ancient serpent, the Devil (the Deceiver) and Satan, who poses as a messenger of Light but is the author of Death and Darkness, the father of lies.
"Their" right to govern has now been taken from them and given to the sons of God who are now responsible for bringing forth the Kingdom of God in the Earth.
The wicked spiritual powers were deposed form their positions of authority in Heaven in October 2017 and have come down to the Earth to assist their servants in this realm to resist their own removal. This final struggle, known as the Battle of Armageddon, the final struggle for the Kingdom, is what we are now witnessing in the world and it will continue and intensify before the end. The times are in God's hands but the final removal of the rulers of this present darkness in all realms has been decreed and will be done. The work of those who believe in the Lord Jesus Christ, the Captain of the Hosts of Heaven, is simply to agree with this decision, the expressed will of God, and to stand still and see the deliverance of our God.
Personally I resonate with IT HAS BEEN DONE, just the 3D taking its time for settling the dust.
Death has arrived, our personal storylines are nothing but the props, WE, the instruments obeying, the maya the projections mirroring The Truth .
Amen
n.b. imho, the count will be bigger due to our laziness.
[Link]
Considering the old "From each according to his ability, to each according to his need", it makes perfect sense. It is well-established biological fact that, on average, women require a couple hundred fewer kcal of daily sustenance than men - even in "progressive" countries, daily requirements are documented to be different for men and women.
I appreciated your genuine concern
SottReader
Seriously though?
Any msmers mention the brainstorming/predictibe program practice run titled "event201"?
Covid-19, The Great Reset and The New Normal
Clearly, 2020 has been unlike any previous year in the last century or so. The world is currently battling against an infodemic of propaganda spewing from the corporate media and official health...Beyond that, I don't know.
RC
I was just curious as to why msm has buried their heads in the sand about event201 but i guess it's their mo.
I haven't heard it mentioned anywhere by anybody in my day to day activities bar what there is on the web.
I have, I'm talking msm ignoring event201.
Cheers.
Your right.
I don't do facebook but i think event201 went viral there. Snapchat ect.
Goes to show though if you type it into Google search you get fact checking crap saying they didn't predict. But it's obvious they did. It's right there for all who choose to see. Strange days. No investigative journalism, it's dead. Not even pilger or any of them. Sinclair may of.
If you want the truth you need to keep scrolling . e.g.. there are nine pages of debunking the "Protocols" before you can find the original document to judge for yourself. Most people will have given up long before.
RC
8000 Jumbo Jets Holy Mother of J!!
[Link]
Even the tube is new for me, has got to be very short too loll
[Link]
My only 2 movies : The Way We Were and Working Girl (both of which i bought VHS)
Oh! I saw Matrix 1 (took me months to get thru once) and Spirit and Brother Bear (1+2)
NN
and yea, where's dem men especially when they's a-said they's a-showin, eh bros!?!
flappin' jaws is what i say
NN
and yea, where's dem men especially when they's a-said they's a-showin, eh bros!?!
flappin' jaws is what i say
[Link]
R.C.
I did get the impression that the Hump Whales breed every year; surprised that with Right Whales it seems far less frequent. We had a marine biologist on board who explained that breeding season is the same as calfing season; there was a pack of male whales following mum and Bub , pursuing her to get her attention.
Typical of too much government.
R.C.
*Soon enough, they'll be applying that to between humans on the C-1984 scam.
RC
We planned on our last day to go to Tin Can Bay where you can go into the water and feed the Dolphins.
A local told me that it has become over regulated. There used to be a local dog that swam in the water and played with the dolphins and now of course with regulations the dog has been removed from the area.
Visitors have to be there at 7am to sign up for feeding and issued a fish. A number of fish being allocated to each dolphin. I think mankind is the only species which indulges in gluttony and yet we think we have to protect the marine life from over indulging. I have never seen an over weight fish - only healthy or malnourished/dead (due to man’s destruction of the environment or pollution by poisons or plastics).
LM, too, also, as re suffering this C-1984 BS with patience, I just found this.
[Link]
L, RC
You do mean tail walked in the water not on the sand - sand can be ...
How I type so fast: [Link]
Patiently dealing with C-1984 [Link]
Where RC got his chutzpah: [Link]
Don't mess with RC. Here comes the pain. [Link]
More are there.
RC
And how is kitty cat? Keeping up with the typing?
JB17, yeah, ain't they silly and funny? I love light hearted humor.
RC
[Link]