"The churches are our barracks, the bells are our helmets, the Kremlin spires are our bayonets, and Putin trolls are our soldiers..."... Well, it doesn't have quite the ring of
the better known poem that, having once landed Erdogan in jail, has now ensured his survival.
So people are now asking: Without Erdogan's closer ties to a religion far more
passionary than Orthodox Christianity, without his allegedly superior democratic credentials, would anyone actually bother out to defend the Dark Lord of the Kremlin cometh the Great Day of his Reckoning that every second Russia think-tank analyst in London and Washington D.C. has been prophesying for more than a decade?
Of course not. I even feel a bit stupid for putting fingers to keyboard to write this post. But nonsense has to be cleared up.
I
The first problem with thinking about a prospective Russian coup is finding even a semi-plausible candidate to play the plotters' part.The actors that immediately come to mind are the generals - but they are also the unlikeliest group to move against Putin. The last time the Russian armed forces had regularly played kingmaker was during the 17th century, when the streltsy acted as a kind of Praetorian guard to the Tsars. The last
successful coup that relied on military support took place more than two century ago, when Catherine the Great deposed the wildly unpopular Peter III, an 18th century Wehraboo who had withdrawn Russia from a hard-fought but successful war against Prussia on account of his boyhood fascination with Frederick the Great and the Prussian Army. The Russian military would never again be politically influential. The Kornilov putsch in 1917 failed. In both 1991 and 1993, the Armed Forces remained loyal to their respective heads of state, Gorbachev and Yeltsin, even though neither man enjoyed their respect. Despite the frailty of post-Soviet polities, the entire region would only see three military coups after 1991: One successful coup in Georgia, and two coups in Azerbaijan, of which one was successful. Azerbaijan is, of course, the closest "relative" to Turkey - with its seven coups this past century alone - in the former USSR, so it is unlikely that its experience would be much extensible to Russia.
Comment: Word usage and language are important propaganda tools in the war for the minds of the people. See: