Events in Syria have recently clearly taken a turn for the worse and there is an increasing amount of evidence that the Russian task force in Syria is being targeted by a systematic campaign of "harassing attacks".
First, there was the (relatively successful)
drone and mortar attack on the Russian Aerospace base in Khmeimin. Then there was the
shooting down of a Russian SU-25 over the city of Maasran in the Idlib province. Now we hear of
Russian casualties in the US raid on a Syrian column (along with widely exaggerated claims of "
hundreds" of killed Russians). In the first case, Russian officials did
openly voice their strong suspicion that the attack was if not planned and executed by the US, then at least coordinated with the US forces in the vicinity. In the case of the downing of the SU-25, no overt accusations have been made, but many experts have stated that the altitude at which the SU-25 was hit strongly suggests a rather modern MANPAD of a type not typically seen in Syria (the not so subtle hint being here that these were US Stingers sent to the Kurds by the US). As for the latest attack on the Syrian column, what is under discussion is not who did it but rather what kind of Russian personnel was involved, Russian military or private contractors (the latter is a
much more likely explanation since the Syrian column had no air-cover whatsoever).
Taken separately, none of these incidents mean very much but taken together they might be indicative of a new US strategy in Syria: to punish the Russians as much as possible short of an overt US attack on Russian forces. To me this hypothesis seems plausible for the following reasons:
First, the US and Israel are still reeling in humiliation and impotent rage over their defeat in Syria: Assad is still in power, Daesh is more or less defeated, the Russians were successful not only their military operations against Daesh but also in their campaign to bring as many "good terrorists" to the negotiating table as possible. With the completion of a successful conference on Syria in Russia and the general agreement of all parties to begin working on a new constitution, there was a real danger of peace breaking out, something the AngloZionist are absolutely determined to oppose (check out
this apparently hacked document which, if genuine, clearly states the US policy not to allow the Russian to get anything done).
Second, both Trump and Netanyahu have promised to bring in lots of "victories" to prove how manly and strong they are (as compared to the sissies which preceded them). Starting an overt war against Russian would definitely be a "proof of manhood", but a much too dangerous one. Killing Russians "on the margins", so to speak, either with plausible deniability or, alternatively, killing Russians private contractors is much safer and thus far more tempting option.
Comment: A conundrum. A juggling act. Too many players in Syria with differing objectives and agendas. Should the US and Turkey be the deciders for this area? Or is it still Syrian soil and Syria's responsibility...the elephant in the room.
More from Fort Russ: It appears the Kurdish YPG are out of luck in the US-Turkey version of the Manbij sift-off. It is unclear from these two reports whether Ankara is currently demanding the US remove Kurds from Manbij or the US has already agreed on this action. OK with the Kurds?