© Woods Hole Oceanographic InstitutionAndrey Proshutinsky.
In fact Russian scientists warn that the recent Arctic melt may actually forbode a coming cold. It's happened before.
In yesterday's post here I wrote about how Max-Planck-Institute Arctic scientist Dirk Notz said he would not bet on the Arctic ice decreasing in the years ahead, saying in a nutshell that there are just too many poorly understood factors and play.
In his response Notz brought up Andrey Proshutinsky (photo above), a senior Russian scientist at the Department of Physical Oceanography at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. I sent him an e-mail for comment, and I'm very pleased to say he replied (my emphasis):
His advisories are unmistakable: 1) initial conditions for model runs are "very far from ideal" and that 2) "the observational record is too short", and thus taken together ought to be a very loud and clear message to policymakers who are in a rush to declare the science settled and to build a phony climate thermostat.Dear Pierre,
I am sorry for delay with my response. I just got your message because of traveling.
Answering your question I can say that the situation with Arctic ice changes is highly uncertain. Our observational record is too short, models are not perfect and initial conditions used for model runs are also very far from ideal. We speculate that Greenland ice melt could be a factor influencing Arctic-Subarctic processes but how it will work is not clear yet. More observations and modeling studies are needed.
Thanks,
Andrey"
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Earth Changes and the Human-Cosmic Connection (The Secret History of the World Book 3)