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Mon, 25 Oct 2021
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Igloo

Polar bears defy concerns about their extinction: Poster boys of 'man-made global warming' are thriving

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Despite concerns about future extinction, polar bear populations appear to have stabilised, and many in fact are growing.
A bitter wind blows off the Arctic Ocean but the mother polar bear and her two cubs standing just 50ft in front of me are in their element.

For more than an hour I watch from a boat just offshore, transfixed and oblivious to the below-freezing temperatures, as the four-month-old twins gambol across the snow.

For years polar bears have been the poster boys of global warming - routinely reported to be threatened with extinction due to melting ice-packs and rising sea temperatures.

Indeed, when they were put on the US Endangered Species list in 2008, they were the first to be registered solely because of the perceived threat of global warming.

One prominent scientist said their numbers would be reduced by 70 per cent by 2050 while global warming proponents - including Al Gore and Sir David Attenborough - used emotive imagery to highlight their 'demise'.

Yet there is one small problem: many polar bear populations worldwide are now stable, if not increasing.

Bizarro Earth

Dead birds in Australia 'not just a freak event'

Dead Muttonbirds
© Jason South
Increasing frequency: Hundreds of Tasmanian muttonbirds, also known as short-tailed shearwaters, have been found in dead on Port Phillip bay beaches.
Muttonbirds are dying in their thousands nearly every year and much more frequently than ever before, washing up on the coast from Coffs Harbour to Tasmania.

On South Melbourne and Port Melbourne beaches on Wednesday beach cleaning contractor David Martinez picked up more than 150 short-tailed shearwater birds, a species of muttonbird. One day last week, he picked up a similar number.

At Lord Howe Island this month, 200 shearwater birds washed up for the first time in many years, Monash University seabird biologist Jennifer Lavers said. These deaths en masse, known as "wrecks", have been reported along the coast from Coffs Harbour to Tasmania, she said.

The short-tailed shearwater birds migrate 10,000 kilometres from the Bering Sea, between Alaska and Japan, to Australian shores in late September to nest. Dr Lavers said they have eaten little on their journey and are exhausted by the flight.

Bizarro Earth

USGS: Earthquake Magnitude 6.6 - 43km SSW of Coquimbo, Chile

Chile Quake_311013
© USGS
Event Time
2013-10-31 23:03:59 UTC
2013-10-31 20:03:59 UTC-03:00 at epicenter

Location
30.298°S 71.557°W depth=29.0km (18.0mi)

Nearby Cities
43km (27mi) SSW of Coquimbo, Chile
47km (29mi) NW of Ovalle, Chile
52km (32mi) SW of La Serena, Chile
73km (45mi) NW of Monte Patria, Chile
360km (224mi) NNW of Santiago, Chile

Technical Details

Arrow Up

Global population of polar bears has increased by 2,650-5,700 since 2001

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The official population estimates generated by the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group (PBSG) give the impression that the global total of polar bears has not changed appreciably since 2001:
2001 PBSG report 21,500-25,000

2005 PBSG report 20,000-25,000

2009 PBSG report 20,000-25,000

2013 PBSG website 20,000-25,000
However, some accounting changes were done between 2001 and 2009 (the latest report available) that mean a net increase in numbers had to have taken place (see summary map below and previous post here. Note: this is a different issue than the misleading PBSG website graphic discussed here).

And while it is true that population "estimates" are just that - rather broad estimates rather than precise counts - it is also true that nowhere do the PBSG explain how these dropped figures and other adjustments were accounted for in the estimated totals.

Cloud Precipitation

Typhoon Krosa batters Luzon, targets Vietnam

Typhoon Krosa is unleashing its fury on the Philippines' northern Luzon Island, then will begin its journey toward Vietnam on Friday. Typhoon Krosa will then spend Thursday night tracking along the far northern coast of Luzon. Damaging wind gusts in excess of 100 kph (60 mph) are expected across northern Luzon, well north of the capital city of Manila and other highly populated areas. The heaviest rainfall will also be north of Manila.

According to Accuweather.com Meteorologist Eric Wanenchak, "125-250 mm (5-10 inches) of rainfall is expected across northern Luzon through Friday as Krosa passes over the area from east to west." This amount of rainfall will produce flooding problems and potential mudslides.
Image
© NOAA
This satellite captured Krosa as it was making landfall on Luzon late Thursday.
Some rain associated with Krosa will also spread over eastern Taiwan through Friday, threatening to hinder earthquake cleanup efforts. While the interaction with Luzon will cause some weakening, Krosa will still be a typhoon when it reaches the South China Sea on Friday.

Krosa will then remain over open water through the weekend, tracking as if it is heading toward Hong Kong through Saturday before curving to the southwest away from mainland China by Sunday

Info

Extremely rare hybrid solar eclipse to occur on Sunday

Eclipse
© amlet/Shutterstock
Parts of eastern North America, northern South America, southern Europe, the Middle East and several other parts of the world will be able to experience a unique type of solar eclipse this Sunday, November 3.

The event is known as a hybrid solar eclipse, and according to Deborah Byrd and Bruce McClure of EarthSky, this type of event "appears fleetingly as an annular - or ring eclipse - at its start and becomes a brief total eclipse later on." However, many parts of the world will see a partial eclipse sometime between sunrise and sunset.

Byrd and McClure report that the eclipse will be visible to those living in far-eastern North America, the Caribbean, northern South America, southern Greenland, the Atlantic Ocean, southern Europe, Africa, Madagascar and the Middle East. Proper protection will be necessary when observing the event to avoid potential injury or blindness.

Provided skies are clear enough, a partial solar eclipse will be visible in eastern North America beginning at sunrise on Sunday. From that location, as well as the Caribbean and the northwestern tip of South America, the eclipse will appear as an extremely shallow and shrinking partial solar eclipse, the EarthSky writers said.

Cloud Lightning

Monstrous Halloween storm to bring heavy rains and howling winds as it heads towards the U.S. East Coast

A monstrous Halloween storm will inflict torrential rains, howling winds and booming thunderstorms from Texas to the Midwest and as far as the Northeast, forecasters have predicted. It will mean wet and windy celebrations for trick-or-treaters across the U.S., with as many as 42 million people battling thunderstorms across cities including Nashville, Houston, Cincinnati and Indianapolis.
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The thunderstorms could be capable of dropping several inches of rain in just a few hours, sparking flash flooding from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley, Accuweather reported. High winds could also down trees and power lines across the eastern Great Lakes into the upper Ohio Valley into the Northeast, the Weather Channel warned.

Forecasters warned residents against going near downed power lines as they could be live and dangerous. 'Damaging winds and some tornadoes will be possible with what should be a complex and potentially messy storm,' the Storm Prediction Center predicted, USA Today reported.

Bizarro Earth

USGS: Earthquake Magnitude 6.3 - 45km SSW of Hualian, Taiwan

Hualin Quake_311013
© USGS
Event Time
2013-10-31 12:02:09 UTC
2013-10-31 20:02:09 UTC+08:00 at epicenter

Location
23.591°N 121.443°E depth=12.0km (7.5mi)

Nearby Cities
45km (28mi) SSW of Hualian, Taiwan
63km (39mi) SE of Buli, Taiwan
72km (45mi) ESE of Lugu, Taiwan
87km (54mi) ESE of Nantou, Taiwan
761km (473mi) ENE of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

Technical Details

Question

What is that thing? Giant 'fish' pulled up from Seattle's Elliott Bay

Giant Fish
© Mark Harrison/Seattle Times
Jennifer Klingenstein and her son Quinn, 4, look at the giant fish on a table Wednesday at Sunfish restaurant in West Seattle. The sunfish, weighing several hundred pounds, was caught in Elliott Bay by a tribal fishermen gillnetting for salmon.
This photo of a strange-looking fish was taken by Mark Harrison of The Seattle Times, a day after the creature was pulled up from Seattle's Elliott Bay, off Harbor Island.

According to the Times, a Muckleshoot tribal fisherman, Todd LaClair, had his gill net in the waters off Seattle.

"I was fishing at about 100 feet deep, and as I pulled in the net I could feel that it was big," LaClair told the Times. "When it first came up, it startled me and looked like something that came from Mars."

He said he later discovered it was a giant sunfish - a mola - that he estimated at about 350 pounds. The mystery is why it was in Elliott Bay. Sunfish are native to tropical and temperate waters and feed mostly on jellyfish.

To read the entire Seattle Times article, click here.

Cloud Precipitation

Arrests in China follow protests over response to catastrophic floods


A farmer clears dead pigs at a flooded pig farm in the typhoon-hit Yuyao city in Zhejiang province after Typhoon Fitow flooded the city.
© China Daily/Reuters
A farmer clears dead pigs at a flooded pig farm in the typhoon-hit Yuyao city in Zhejiang province after Typhoon Fitow flooded the city.
Undisclosed number of people held as thousands protest over allegedly botched response to flooding in eastern city of Yuyao

Arrests have been made after large anti-government protests in an eastern Chinese city hit by catastrophic flooding, an official newspaper reported on Wednesday.

Thousands took part in theprotest in the Zhejiang province city of Yuyao on Tuesday and an undisclosed number were arrested for "radical acts", including pelting police with bricks and flipping over government vehicles, the official English-language Global Times reported. It said residents were angered over an allegedly botched response to the flooding and the slow restoration of electricity and other basic services.

Such protests, termed mass incidents by the government, occur regularly around China, sparked by incidents ranging from traffic accidents to industrial pollution and official abuses of power. Public outrage is often exacerbated by perceptions of special treatment for the rich and powerful and by distant and unresponsive autocratic leaders appointed from above by the Communist party.