© Capital hill government spending concept (Adobe Stock)
While the world is absorbed in the U.S. election drama, the derivatives time bomb continues to tick menacingly backstage. No one knows the actual size of the derivatives market, since a major portion of it is traded over-the-counter, hidden in off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicles. However, when Warren Buffet famously labeled derivatives "financial weapons of mass destruction" in 2002, its "notional value" was estimated at $56 trillion. Twenty years later, the Bank for International Settlements estimated that value at $610 trillion. And financial commentators have put it as high as $2.3 quadrillion or even $3.7 quadrillion, far exceeding global GDP, which was about $100 trillion in 2022. A quadrillion is 1,000 trillion."It was not the highly visible acts of Congress but the seemingly mundane and often nontransparent actions of regulatory agencies that empowered the great transformation of the U.S. commercial banks from traditionally conservative deposit-taking and lending businesses into providers of wholesale financial risk management and intermediation services."
— Professor Saule Omarova, "The Quiet Metamorphosis, How Derivatives Changed the Business of Banking" University of Miami Law Review, 2009
Comment: Notably, just a few days earlier: If the US continues to illegally occupy nations that it is not welcome in, and if it continues to aid and abet Israel's war of terror in the Middle East, then it can expect to lose many, many more of its servicemen: