
© AFP"Down write this: Master I am; Padawan you are!"
By his military withdrawal, Putin was actually enhancing his leverage over both the military situation and the political negotiations still to come. When Russian President Vladimir Putin had a substantive meeting with US Secretary of State John Kerry last week, it was an extremely
rare departure from normal protocol. There was some political logic to the meeting, however, because
Putin and Kerry have clearly been the primary drivers of their respective governments' policies toward Syria, and their negotiations have already led to a stunningly successful Syrian ceasefire and possible Syrian negotiations on a political settlement.
Washington and Moscow had to cooperate in order to get that ceasefire along with the jump-starting of intra-Syrian negotiations, now scheduled to begin next month, according to UN special envoy Steffan de Mistura. But the diplomatic maneuvering
did not involve equal influence on each other's policies.
Putin's Russia has now demonstrated that it has effective leverage over the policy of Kerry and the United States in Syria, whereas Kerry has no similar leverage over Russian policy.Kerry had appeared to be the primary driver of a political settlement last year, propelled by a strategy based on exploiting the military success of the Nusra Front-led opposition forces, armed by the United States and its allies, in northwestern Syria. Kerry viewed that success a way of put pressure on both the Assad regime and its Russian ally to agree that Assad would step down.
But that strategy turned out to be an overreach when
Putin surprised the outside world by intervening in Syria with enough airpower to put the jihadists and their "moderate" allies on the defensive. Still pursuing that strategy,
we now know that Kerry asked US President Barack Obama to carry out direct attacks on Assad's forces, so he could have some "leverage" in the negotiations with the Russians over a ceasefire and settlement.
But Obama refused to do so, and the Russian success, especially in January and February, conferred on Putin an even more clear-cut advantage in the negotiations with the United States over a Syrian ceasefire.
Comment: There is clearly a need for the US/West to get a serious grip on this picture and begin to discern good from evil and its place within it. The 'predator' has taken over Western minds and its 'puppet fingers' now choreograph every move.