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French physicist Serge Galam says math supports Le Pen victory, correctly predicted Trump, Brexit

Chris Tomlinson
Breitbart
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 00:00 UTC
Serge Galam
© TwitterDifferentiated abstention: The math of politics
According to French physicist Serge Galam, a victory for populist anti-mass migration presidential candidate Marine Le Pen is entirely possible due to a phenomenon known as differentiated abstention. Professor Galam, who works as a research director at the French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), says the science proves the possibility of a Le Pen victory, SFR reports.

"Differentiated abstention" is the key, according to Galam, who defined the term as: "The gap between the vote intention declared in the polls and the actual vote."

Galam says it is incredibly unlikely that those who voted for Le Pen in the first round of the French presidential elections last Sunday will vote for Macron, guaranteeing her a sizeable base. He also said it is unlikely all those who oppose Le Pen are guaranteed to support her opponent Emmanuel Macron who is unpopular with far left and conservative voters.

"With less than 50 per cent of voting intentions, Marine Le Pen can end up with more than 50 per cent of the votes cast," Galam said.

Comment: Those voters who supported other candidates than Macron in the first round are less likely to choose him in the final election. What kept him from being their first choice then, may still influence their upcoming choice.

See also:

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Attention

US aids a genocide by mass starvation in Yemen, MSM silence

Annabelle Bamforth
The Free Thought Project
Thu, 27 Apr 2017 00:00 UTC
starving Yemeni child
© Medea BenjaminStarvation: The plight of a generation
António Guterres, the Secretary-General of the United Nations, urged countries across the world to lend financial assistance to Yemen during a conference on Tuesday regarding the country's humanitarian crisis. "We are witnessing the starving and the crippling of an entire generation," Guterres said. "We must act now to save lives." The Washington Post reported that their fundraising effort has raised $1.1 billion so far out of the $2.1 billion sought by the U.N.

A statement from Unicef and the World Food Programme released on Monday highlighted the increasing hunger epidemic in Yemen, with close to 2.2 million malnourished and 7 million people "not knowing where their next meal will come from and in desperate need of food assistance."

"If we act now, many lives could be saved in Yemen. We call on the international community to urgently provide us with sufficient funding and to help us avert famine across Yemen," said WFP's Muhannad Hadi, according to the statement.


Comment: If the UN had any teeth at all, it could act now and stop the genocide being inflicted on the Yemenese by the US backed Saudis'. Don't hold your breath, it's not going to happen and Donald and Ivanka Trump aren't going to get upset by pictures of Yememese babies either. Only selective baby pictures upset them.


While Unicef's statement and much of the mainstream media has called much-needed attention to the horrifying situation in Yemen, these reports have failed to address the United States' role in Yemen's plight. The media has instead chosen to use vague terminology such as "ongoing violence" and "administrative blockages" without taking a deeper look into the policies of our government that have lent support to unconscionable treatment of civilians in Yemen.

Comment: Horrific pictures of living skeletons with skin holding bodies together...how can we let this go on? They aren't just hungry...they are dying alive. You don't have to drop a bomb to kill people if you let them slowly and painfully starve to death as leverage for a regime change. Guilty of mass murder? Withholding life-saving supplies and news information is complicity.

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Snakes in Suits

Democrats seek reinstating congressional war powers against ISIS


RT
Thu, 27 Apr 2017 22:59 UTC
Troops on transport
© Shamil Zhumatov/ReutersNot the 'light at the end of the tunnel' you seek.
Ten Democratic lawmakers are backing a bill that would Introduce a new authorization for using military force against ISIS, Al-Qaeda and the Taliban without geographical restrictions.

The new Authorization for Use of Military [Force] (AUMF) would replace the 2001 and 2001 war powers immediately, and usher in a single authorization that would sunset in three years. It would put in place new reporting requirements to Congress and the public as to how the authority is used and against which groups.

"For far too long, Congress has abdicated its constitutional responsibility to authorize military action abroad, effectively ceding the war-making power to the executive branch," said Congressman Adam Schiff (D-California) in a statement about the bill on Thursday. "More than 15 years later, our operations against group[s] as diverse as the Taliban in Afghanistan, Al-Qaeda in Yemen, and ISIS in Syria are authorized under a 60 word authorization passed days after the attacks [on 9/11]."

Comment: Checks need to be in place. Travesties are being committed in the name of something, but not humanity, nor the American people. The US military has been forced to sit on its heels for many years, and one can imagine the war hierarchy is itching to be set loose. Without checks and balances, all constraints are off as well as accountability.

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Snakes in Suits

Could someone else be making Trump's decisions for him? Seems that way...

Darius Shahtahmasebi
Anti-Media
Thu, 27 Apr 2017 00:00 UTC
Trump
© Reuters/Brian Snyder
Who's in Trump's head?

At the end of last week, U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions said arresting Wikileaks founder Julian Assange is now a "priority." Not long after, CNN reported that authorities have prepared charges against Assange, who is currently seeking refuge at the Ecuadorian embassy in London. Donald Trump's response to these recent developments was "It's OK with me." Trump is not included in the decision-making process as to whether Assange should be charged.

Bear in mind, however, that Trump once told his fan-base, "I love Wikileaks," and the fact that he is merely "OK" with the decision seems, if anything, to indicate he is claiming little to no say at all on what is going on in his administration regarding this issue.

Most of the world watched with horror — or awe, depending on your level of humanitarian indifference — as the U.S. military dropped the so-called Mother of all bombs (MOAB) on an ISIS position in Afghanistan.

Conservative estimates show that for every ISIS fighter killed, the financial cost of the bomb was $450,000. Yet, according to Fox News, Trump was told of the decision to drop the MOAB after it had already been detonated. Fox reported:
"The new approach was on display this week in Afghanistan, where Gen. John Nicholson, head of the U.S.-led coalition there, decided to use one of the military's biggest nonnuclear bombs—a Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb, or MOAB—to hit a remote Islamic State underground network of tunnels and caves."
Fox adds:
"A senior administration official said Mr. Trump didn't know about the weapon's use until it had been dropped."
This recent development is part of a broader strategy that has seen the Trump administration give enormous power and responsibility to generals on the battlefield with very little oversight. The loosening of these restrictions was already done in Somalia and parts of Yemen but has now been deployed in the Iraq arena.

Supposedly, the process put in place under the Obama administration frustrated many within the military, even as they were still able to drop over 26,000 bombs last year, alone. Now, the military establishment has almost free reign to do as it wishes.

Comment: "Is this democracy?" the article asks. Since inception, the USA has never achieved this purity of structure and implementation. It is an ideal, not a reality. It is a concept to keep the populace occupied and looking in one direction, while other long-term, far-reaching agendas move forward behind the scenes. Has there truly been any presidents, especially in the last hundred years or so, that could say they were exclusively in charge without bypass or manipulation? Some may have been smart enough to know the answer to this. Others were just puppets unaware of their strings. Question remains: Which is Trump?

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Attention

Pentagon investigating possible friendly fire that killed two soldiers in Afghanistan


RT
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 20:42 UTC
US soldiers
© Reuters
The Pentagon is investigating whether the two Army Rangers were killed by ground fire from Afghan commandos or other American forces during a raid this week on an ISIS stronghold.

"We are investigating the circumstances of the combat deaths of the two Army Rangers in the beginning of what was an intense three-hour firefight," Pentagon spokesman Capt. Jeff Davis said during a briefing Friday when he released the names of the service members killed, according to Reuters . "It is possible these Rangers were struck by friendly fire."

Sgt. Joshua P. Rodgers, 22 and Sgt. Cameron H. Thomas, 23 were killed by small arms fire during a raid targeting the emir of the Afghan branch of the Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) in Nangarhar province, according to the Pentagon.


Comment: Pentagon reports 2 US troops killed, 1 wounded, fighting ISIS in Afghanistan

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Chess

Tillerson puts leash on out-of-control Nikki Haley - She must clear her comments with State Dept. before she makes them

Alexander Mercouris
The Duran
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 16:43 UTC
nikki haley
Rex Tillerson, the US Secretary of State, who has this month started to find his feet as the US's foreign minister, has finally acted to assert his authority over Nikki Haley, the US's out of control UN ambassador.

It has become increasingly clear over the last few weeks that Nikki Haley, who is a politician with Presidential ambitions not a diplomat, has been abusing her position as the US's UN ambassador to grandstand in preparation for what I am sure is an intended Presidential bid.
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Star of David

More crybaby Netanyahu: German FM 'totally insensitive' for meeting with 'radical' anti-settlement groups


RT
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 18:13 UTC
netanyahu
© Ronen Zvulun / ReutersIsrael's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu has called German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel "totally insensitive" for meeting with rights groups critical of Israel's actions in the West Bank. The Israeli prime minister was apparently so incensed he even canceled a meeting with him.

Netanyahu canceled a meeting with Sigmar Gabriel on Tuesday after the German minister refused to scrap his plans to meet with the rights groups Breaking the Silence and B'Tselem.

Speaking to Bild on Thursday, Netanyahu stressed that "foreign diplomats are welcome to meet with civil society activists and members of the opposition and anyone else they'd like."

However, he said his "red line" is that he "will not meet diplomats who come to Israel and lend legitimacy to fringe radical groups that falsely accuse our soldiers of war crimes and undermine Israeli security."

"Breaking the Silence isn't a human rights organization. They want to criminalize Israeli soldiers," Netanyahu said.

The movement collects testimonies from former Israel Defense Forces (IDF) soldiers about the military's treatment of Palestinians in the occupied West Bank, while B'Tselem tracks human rights violations in the area.
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Snakes in Suits

Nikki Haley's CNN interview is entirely 'fake news'

Riley Waggaman
Russia Insider
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 17:34 UTC
Nikki Haley
Waffle House Warrior
The hick from hell is now making up fake statements made by Russia's UN representative

Waffle House waitress-turned-UN-representative Nikki Haley is the brightest, rising star in international diplomacy.

Haley gave a memorable performance on CNN on Thursday, during which she decided to make up fake stuff that Russia never said about the humanitarian situation in Syria.

Speaking about a recent United Nations 'report' about humanitarian efforts in Syria, Haley evoked images of starving people — and of course, evil Russians:
There are people dying by the day because they're not getting humanitarian aid they need because the Assad regime is keeping it out and not allowing it to get in. Now, today the Russians basically said, 'Look, the reason this is happening is because they need all that medical care for the military.'
Nope! Total and complete bullshit. Petr Ilichev, Russia's Acting Permanent Representative to the UN, never said anything close to that.

He actually made the exact opposite claim: That 'moderate' rebels had been caught hoarding medical supplies in Aleppo:
We are disappointed that once again in the report there is no data on the plot found in eastern Aleppo after its liberation where warehouses with medications were used to maintain the fighting ability of terrorists. We demanded an investigation and identification of all the circumstances. We are waiting for the results not for the first month. They must be reported to the Security Council in an official manner. By the way, similar warehouses with medicines were discovered even when Zabadani and Madai were liberated from the militants.

Comment: Russophobe Nikki Haley urges pressure on Russia over Syria

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Snakes in Suits

May says 'no plans to strike Assad' after Johnson's Syria airstrike comments


RT
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 18:00 UTC
Theresa May and Boris Johnson
© Stefan Wermuth / ReutersLovely couple.
Prime Minister Theresa May has talked down Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson's suggestion the UK could start bombing Syrian government targets without first securing a vote in Parliament.

Johnson told the BBC on Thursday that if the US wanted to a carry out further strikes on forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar Assad, such as its bombing of an airbase in the wake of a deadly chemical incident in April, the UK would find it hard to resist joining in.

The foreign secretary also suggested there would not be a parliamentary vote on the decision because it solely rested with the prime minister.


Comment: Boris Johnson suggests US pressure could force Britain to join anti-Assad airstrikes


Comment: Did Boris spill the beans and now May is trying to cover it up before the elections?

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Snakes in Suits

Russophobe Nikki Haley urges pressure on Russia over Syria


RFE/RL
Fri, 28 Apr 2017 17:48 UTC
Nikki Haley
© AFP
The U.S. ambassador to the United Nations has called on the Security Council to apply "all pressure" on Russia to use its influence to end the war in Syria and to help ease the worsening humanitarian crisis there.

"All eyes and all pressure now need to go to Russia, because they are the ones who could stop this if they wanted to," Ambassador Nikki Haley told a council meeting on April 27. "We need to put pressure on Russia."

As a permanent member of the Security Council, Russia can reject any resolutions. But Haley said the council should act even in the face of a Moscow veto.


Comment: Just imagine what this idiot would say if Russia suggested the Security Council take action in the face of a US veto? She would be frothing at the mouth. Just another example of US exceptionalism.


"I will continue to press the Security Council to act, to do something, regardless of if the Russians continue to veto it, because it is our voice that needs to be heard," Haley said.

Comment: Hopefully Donald wasn't joking: Do it! Trump jokingly suggests Nikki Haley can easily be replaced, while sitting right next to her

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