© Worldometers
Perhaps the authors of such models would care to explain this then. The chart above shows the Covid death toll per million people up to February 1st of the no-lockdown American states in red. If the doomsday models are correct, why don't the bars for those states clearly stand out from the bars of the lockdown states in blue? Furthermore, why are the top five states for Covid deaths lockdown states?
In fact, the lockdown states on average had 5.6% more deaths than the no-lockdown states (the orange bars). If anything this suggests lockdown made things worse. At any rate there's no sign it helped.
Positive cases are now sharply in decline in the US, and no less sharply in no-lockdown states than in lockdown states. This means there is no reason to think the gap between lockdown and no-lockdown states will be closed this winter.
Isn't it time the lockdown proponents put their models to the test in the real world? Time to put up or shut up. Either their models can reproduce the outcomes of real states which don't lock down, or they can't and need to be fundamentally revised. No more hiding behind counterfactuals of "it would have happened but for lockdown". The facts are here and waiting to be explained.
Stop Press: Alexander Fiske-Harrison in the Telegraph points out that "the European countries with the strictest lockdowns have come out no better".
Update: An earlier version of this story stated that no-lockdown states had 8% more Covid deaths than lockdown states. This was due to a miscalculation that has now been corrected.
Reader Comments
RC
Flashback Best of the Web: Insider Trading on 9/11: Profiting From Anticipated Attack And Tragedy Using "Put Options," And The Massive Cover-up That Followed
Comment: While the Gamestop story and its implications have caught the attention of the world in the last several days, there is a far larger story which suggests how Wall Street, the banking...All the best, LG.
Will it help? Will it fuck. This train has left the station and whether we like it or not, we are along for the ride.
You can have a 1001 peer reviewed studies all finding lockdowns are more harmful than good, but you will only hear the single Gates funded study finding otherwise.
Its now become a case of being prepared for when we disembark. Trying to stop it has failed.
Miserably.
It's like the new report [Link] out from some NYU researchers that say social media does not censor conservatives while being funded by a Big tech billionaire Craig Newmar.
Billionaire's wield a lot of power and manipulate policy lately more so than in the past.
Its like the fox guarding the henhouse. That'll work wonders 🤦♂️
The best one is the petrol station, you get your fuel, maskless, touching the fuel pumps with your filthy diseased hands, like all the other scum, then you stroll over to the shop, put a mask on, with your filthy diseased hands, walk in about four steps, pay for your fuel, with cash from your filthy dieseaed hands, or pawing at the buttons on the card reader like a dirty animal, walk out, take your mask off...
Andrews told govt he wanted to extend ‘the state of emergency’ for a further 9 months. The liberal opposition said no but I suspect he has the numbers.
I was the only person in the shopping centre without a mask and the only person who was uncomfortable was my brother.
Noone in the chicken shop was wearing a mask this evening. People outside the city are getting over it I think, I only see people with masks on outdoors on the weekends now, city mob out for their sunday drive...
I think it's weird when you see a couple, one masked up and one not... What would the point be, and are they having bitter fights about it at home...