
© AP Photo / Kamran Jebreili
The whole planet is asking the same question: Will CENTCOM dare to go to war against China?This is not a wild hypothetical anymore.
According to MarineTraffic data, the Chinese-owned
Rich Starry tanker, sailing under the Malawi flag, linked to Shanghai Xianrun, and departing from Sharjah in the UAE carrying roughly 250,000 barrels of metanol, crossed the Strait of Hormuz this Tuesday, displaying the message "China Owner & Crew."
So the
Rich Starry was the first tanker to transit and exit the Strait of Hormuz, on the way to China, since the Trump blockade-to-unblock-the-Strait is in effect.
In an unusually non-understated manner, what Beijing is signaling is that a desperate Trump Administration won't be able to play Pirates of the Caribbean - remixed as Pirates of Hormuz - on China.CENTCOM did mention that the blockade is against ships entering or exiting Iranian ports. The Rich Starry came from Sharjah - so technically it was not targetable. The real test of the blockade will be when a Chinese tanker, for instance, leaves from Bandar Abbas.
The IRGC tollbooth meawnhile, is oblivious to CENTCOM's designs. It is being tweaked virtually in real time - now evolved into a detailed 5-tier vetting system applying to every ship coming from whatever port. All vessels that have been able to cross lately - from China, India, Pakistan and a few other friendly nations - have used the same narrow sea lanes in Iranian territorial waters, bordering the islands of Qeshm and Larak.
Everyone - apart from special cases - needs to pay the $1 per barrel toll, in bitcoin or yuan. That's cleared in less than 5 seconds. Then the tanker receives a VHF password.
Any ship with insurance, flag-state registration and Western port access won't pass. These compliant ships are already heading to American ports.
The fascinating angle concerns the vast Iranian shadow fleet: not insured; may use any flag; no need to access any Western ports; already sanctioned to death; hence completely alien to the American system enforced by the blockade. Blockade or not, several tankers continue loading at Iranian terminals.
There are around 160 million barrels of oil already floating outside the Strait of Hormuz: that means Iran can continue to supply its customers in Asia, especially China, at least until the middle of July, assuming the figure of 1.8 million barrels a day imported by China.
Comment: Swalwell's behavior was just another open secret in Washington circles. He is being discarded as any pawn can be in the larger game for retaining Democrat control of California