© Ali Eminov/Creative CommonsDragon bridge, Ljubljana.
Once upon a time, deep into the night in selected campfires across the deserts of Southwest Asia, I used to tell a
fable about the eagle, the bear and the dragon - much to the amusement of my Arab and Persian interlocutors.
It was about how, in the young 21
stcentury, the eagle, the bear and the dragon had taken their (furry) gloves off and engaged in what turned out to be Cold War 2.0.
As we approach the end of the second decade of this already incandescent century, perhaps it's fruitful to upgrade the fable. With all due respect to
Jean de la Fontaine, excuse me while I kiss the (desert) sky again.
Long gone are the days when a frustrated bear repeatedly offered to cooperate with the eagle and its minions on a burning question: nuclear missiles.
The bear repeatedly argued that the deployment of interceptor missiles and radars in that land of the blind leading the blind - Europe - was a threat. The eagle repeatedly argued that this is to protect us from those rogue Persians.
Now the eagle - claiming the dragon is getting an easy ride - has torn down every treaty in sight and is bent on deploying nuclear missiles in selected eastern parts of the land of the blind leading the blind, essentially targeting the bear.
All That Glitters is SilkRoughly two decades after what top bear Putin defined as "the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20
thcentury", he proposed a form of USSR light; a political/economic body called the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).
The idea was to have the EAEU interact with the EU - the top institution of the motley crew congregated as the blind leading the blind.
The eagle not only rejected the possible integration;
it came up with a modified color revolution scenario to unplug Ukraine from the EAEU.Even earlier than that, the eagle had wanted to set up a New Silk Road under its total control.
The eagle had conveniently forgotten that the original, Ancient Silk Road linked the dragon with the Roman empire for centuries - with no interlopers outside of Eurasia.So one can imagine the eagle's stupor when the dragon irrupted on the global stage with its own super-charged New Silk Roads - upgrading the bear original idea of a free trade area "from Lisbon to Vladivostok" to a multi-connectivity corridor, terrestrial and maritime, from eastern China to western Europe and everything in between, spanning the whole of Eurasia.
Facing this new paradigm the blind, well, remained blind for as long as anyone could remember; they simply could not get their act together.
The eagle, meanwhile, was incrementally raising the stakes. It launched what amounted for all practical purposes to a progressively weaponized encirclement of the dragon.
The eagle made a series of moves that amount to inciting nations bordering the South China Sea to antagonize the dragon, while repositioning an array of toys - nuclear submarines, aircraft carriers, fighter jets - closer and closer to the dragon's territory.
All the time, what the dragon saw - and continues to see - is a battered eagle trying to muscle its way out of an irreversible decline by trying to intimidate, isolate and sabotage the dragon's irreversible ascent back to where it has been for 18 of the past 20 centuries; enthroned as the king of the jungle.
A key vector is that Eurasia-wide players know that under the new laws of the jungle the dragon simply can't - and won't - be reduced to the status of a supporting actor. And Eurasia-wide players are too smart to embark on a Cold War 2.0 that will undermine Eurasia itself.
The eagle's reaction to the dragon's New Silk strategy took some time to swing from inaction to outright demonization - complementing the joint description of both the dragon and the bear as existential threats.
And yet, for all the spinning crossfire, Eurasia-wide players are not exactly impressed anymore with an eagle empire armed to its teeth.
Especially after the eagle's crest was severely damaged by failure upon hunting failure in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria. Eagle aircraft carriers patrolling the eastern part of Mare Nostrum are not exactly scaring the bear, the Persians and the Syrians.© Wikimedia CommonsJames Audubon and His Journal, published in 1899 in the Public Domain.
A "reset" between the eagle and the bear was always a myth. It took some time - and much financial distress - for the bear to realize there won't be any reset, while the dragon only saw a reset towards open confrontation.
After establishing itself, slowly but surely, as the most advanced military power on the planet, with hypersonic know-how, the bear came to a startling conclusion:
we don't care anymore about what the eagle says - or does.Under the Raging VolcanoMeanwhile, the dragon kept expanding, inexorably, across all Asian latitudes as well as Africa, Latin America and even across the unemployment-infested pastures of the austerity-hit blind leading the blind.
The dragon is firmly assured that, if cornered to the point of resorting to a nuclear option,
it holds the power to make the eagle's staggering deficit explode, degrade its credit rating to junk, and wreak havoc in the global financial system. No wonder the eagle, under an all-enveloping paranoid cloud of cognitive dissonance, feeding state propaganda 24/7 to its subjects and minions, keeps spewing out lava like a raging volcano - dispensing sanctions to a great deal of the planet, entertaining regime change wet dreams, launching a total energy embargo against the Persians, resurrecting the "war on terra", and aiming to
punish like a Bat Out Of Intel Hell any journalist, publisher or whistleblower revealing its inner machinations.
It hurts, so bad, to admit that the political/economic center of a new multipolar world will be Asia - actually Eurasia.
As the eagle got more and more threatening, the bear and the dragon got closer and closer in their strategic partnership.
Now both bear and dragon have too many strategic links across the planet to be intimidated by the eagle's massive Empire of Bases or those periodic coalitions of the (somewhat reluctant) willing.© Wikimedia CommonsFriedrich Johann Justin Bertuch, the mythical creature dragon, 1806.
To match comprehensive, in-progress Eurasia integration, of which the New Silk Roads are the graphic symbol, the eagle's fury, unleashed, has nothing to offer - except rehashing a war against Islam coupled with the weaponized cornering of both bear and dragon.
Then there's Persia - those master chess players. The eagle has been gunning for the Persians ever since they got rid of the eagle's proconsul, the Shah, in 1979 - and this after the eagle and perfidious Albion had already smashed democracy to place the Shah, who made Saddam look like Gandhi, in power in 1953.
The eagle wants all that oil and natural gas back - not to mention a new Shah as the new gendarme of the Persian Gulf.
The difference is now the bear and the dragon are saying No Way. What is the eagle to do? Set up the false flag to end all false flags?This is where we stand now. And once again, we reach the end - though not the endgame. There's still no moral to this revamped fable. We continue to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune. Our only, slim hope is that a bunch of Hollow Men obsessed by the Second Coming won't turn Cold War 2.0 into Armageddon.
Pepe Escobar, a veteran Brazilian journalist, is the correspondent-at-large for Hong Kong-based Asia Times. His latest book is "2030." Follow him on Facebook.
Queue the scientist wannabes that know better.
It's been 75 years since the craziest purportedly used an atomic weapon on another populace. Note that 2 completely differently designed weapons were used on 2 different cities with the same result. Since when does a military manufacturer make 2 separate designs and both work? If they knew how to do it, then why a little boy and a big boy? Why wasn't there a several hundred foot crater, as we were told, and why isn't that area still a radiation zone for hundreds of years, as we were told? There are reports that Nagasaki and Hiroshima looked more like the carpet bombing of Dresden than an atomic hit. Those two areas are also today thriving naturally with no ill effects.
I am not saying that a nuclear explosion is not possible. I am saying that the ability to contain the hot radioactive material in state for any length of time above a few minutes is unlikely in a weapons grade function. Yet we are told there are all these silos and nuclear subs just waiting for their payload to be launched. Who maintains all of this nonsense and how often are they doing it? It reads to me like a Hollywood set, with all of the major players agreeing that the same bluff will control the peoples of the nations of this planet.
Maybe I am wrong. I am not a science wanna be. I find science to be on the same red-light row of whorehouses as government and religion. It's all about money.
Probably the greatest reason for this opinion against nuclear weapon existence is that in 75 years, knowing the volatility of this planet, some group or nation somewhere, would use a nuclear weapon against another nation or group somewhere and revel in the aftermath.
A ny idea that there is a responsible group of nuclear weapon capable nations protecting the supply of weapons grade uranium and plutonium is also ridiculous. By now some group of terrorists would have acquired a weapon from some other group of terrorists. Perhaps only Back to the Future transactions have ensued thus far.
I've seen the videos of the tests. Each looks a little sketchy in scale and scope. In particular the original New Mexico Manhattan Project films. You have a house being blown to bits and trees blown over to near breaking point (but mysteriously not breaking), but somehow the camera filming these events doesn't even shake or shutter in the least.
In the end, I hope I am not wrong. I hope the idiots are all bluffing. And in that case, I hope the bluff remains, and the weapons do not exist.