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SOTT Focus: Behind the Headlines: Whose Side is Erdogan on? Understanding Geopolitics and Human Nature

Erdogan Biden
Things seem to be heating up towards a final denouement in the phony 5 year-long Syrian "civil war". Turkey recently "invaded" Syria, officially to remove the scourge of Daesh from the Turkish border and, more specifically, to contain the Kurds and their aspirations for a "Kurdistan". The US is, again officially, ok with these moves by Turkey but, oddly, US troops, several hundred (or likely thousand) of them are 'embedded' with the Kurds and the "Syrian Democratic Forces".

Meanwhile, Russia has remained largely silent on these recent developments, and instead has been focusing on the "peace process".

What's really going on? Join us today and find out, as we reveal the rather prosaic (if at times disturbing) realpolitik behind the flowery narratives.

Running Time: 01:18:58

Download: MP3


Chess

Turkey will allow German visit only if they deny recognition of Armenian genocide

The Turkish authorities will allow German lawmakers to visit
Incirlik airbase
© AP photo/Emrah GurelIncirlik Airbase, the hotbed of controversy and speculation
Incirlik airbase only if they openly reject the results of the parliamentary resolution that recognized the 1915 massacre of Armenians as "genocide," Turkey's Foreign Ministry has said. "It depends on the steps taken by Germany. If they take the necessary steps, we will enable this visit [to Incirlik]," Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said at a news conference in Ankara, when asked about granting German lawmakers permission to access the base, Reuters reported.

Turkish Foreign Ministry officials specified that the "necessary steps" involve the German government distancing itself from the resolution calling the 1915 massacre of Armenians by Ottoman forces genocide. The resolution was adopted by an overwhelming majority in the Bundestag in early June. "But unfortunately I have to say that those that mingle and manipulate our history in an unfair manner cannot be allowed on this visit,"Cavusoglu said.

The German authorities were initially denied access to the base, located at the Syrian frontier, following the escalation of tensions between the two countries triggered by the German parliament's decision. The base is used by six German surveillance jets and a refueling tanker backing the US-led coalition's operations against Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) militants in Syria.

In response, a number of German lawmakers threatened to withdraw forces from airstrike operations. There were no immediate comments from the German Foreign Ministry following the statement made by Cavusoglu.

Comment: It's unlikely that the potential visit has much to do with the Armenian genocide. More likely it is being used, on both ends, as a public dialog to speak on more concealed matters.


Eye 2

Pepe Escobar: The whole game is about containing Russia-China

china russia flags
© Kim Kyung-Hoon/Reuters
The next BRICS summit, in Goa, is less than two months away. Compared to only two years ago, the geopolitical tectonic plates have moved with astonishing speed. Most BRICS nations are mired in deep crisis; Brazil's endles political/economic/institutional debacle may yield the Kafkaesque impeachment of President Dilma Rousseff.

BRICS is in a coma. What's surviving is RC: the Russia/China strategic partnership. Yet even the partnership seems to be in trouble — with Russia still attacked by myriad metastases of Hybrid War. The — Exceptionalist — Hegemon remains powerful, and the opposition is dazed and confused.

Or is it?

Slowly but surely — see for instance the possibility of an ATM (Ankara-Tehran-Moscow) coalition in the making — global power continues to insist on shifting East. That goes beyond Russia's pivoting to Asia; Germany's industrialists are just waiting for the right political conjunction, before the end of the decade, to also pivot to Asia, conforming a BMB (Berlin-Moscow-Beijing) coalition.

Bullseye

Circus trial: Brazilian senate continues impeachment hearing against Dilma Rousseff

roussef impeachment
The day previous saw senators accuse each other of corruption and even drug use.

The third day of the impeachment trial against the suspended Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff started early Saturday, a day after the session was suspended following a Senate session that the chamber's president said made the institution look like a "psychiatric hospital."

Testimony from Rousseff's defense begin again today, including one from former Planning Minister Nelson Barbosa and Ricardo Ribeiro Lodi, a Law professor at the State University of Rio de Janeiro (UERJ).

The special impeachment commission inside the Senate argues that Rousseff should be ousted because she signed three decrees without approval from Congress, and allegedly manipulated public accounts in 2014 before her reelection.

However, a June Senate report proved the allegations were false, after she was already forced to step down as president in May in a move that has been widely condemned as a coup.

According to former Finance Minister Nelson Barbosa, Rousseff "strictly followed the law" and the impeachment against her a purely "political decision."

"In my view, there is no basis for criminal responsibility of the President of the Republic, or the issue of decrees, or the issue of payment of liabilities with public banks," he said.

Comment:


Pirates

Killary deludes followers with paranoia of international right-wing conspiracy led by President Putin, the 'godfather of extreme nationalism'

hillary clinton
© Associated Press
Hillary Clinton's recent "alt right" speech marks a new and dangerous low in what has become race to the bottom - and, should she be elected, it has ominous foreign policy implications as well.

Alarmed that Trump is reaching out to the African-American community, Mrs. Clinton tried to make the case that the GOP candidate is a apologist for such groups as the Ku Klux Klan (do they still exist?) and an obscure amalgam she dubbed the "alt right." As she named this latter group, there was a significant silence, a pause in the cheering: perhaps her audience thought she was having a senior moment of the intestinal variety.

In any case, none of this is anything new: it's a variation on the "Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy" theme that she has been dragging out ever since the 1990s. There is, however, a new dimension to this tired boilerplate, now that she's running for President: the Vast Right-wing Conspiracy is being portrayed an international cabal with its headquarters in the Kremlin.

As her peroration on the "racist" sins of Trump reached a climax, she hauled out Nigel Farage, the former leader of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), who was instrumental in leading the Brexit campaign to victory. Farage - who is, in her view, a "racist," a "sexist," and god knows what other unsavory "ists" - "has appeared regularly on Russian propaganda programs," she yelled "Now he's standing on the same stage as the Republican nominee."

What is she talking about?

Comment: For this creature's full speech see:Hillary's 'racism' speech, a grand revelation


Chess

Used, then discarded? What Syria's Kurds think they are fighting for versus the unfortunate reality

Syria kurds Hasaka
© Rodi Said/ReutersA Kurdish fighter from the People's Protection Units (YPG) carries his weapon as he stands past a tank in the Ghwairan neighborhood of Hasaka, Syria, August 22, 2016.
Reports are emerging of widespread armed conflict between Kurdish militants and Syrian forces. Concentrated in and around eastern Syria and the city of Hasaka, reports indicate that Syrian forces may be on the verge of completely withdrawing.

The Kurdish offensive is being backed by US forces, including airpower overhead and special operations personnel on the ground. Syrian attempts to use its own air force to counter the spreading conflict appeared to be checked by what was essentially a defacto no-fly zone established by the US over eastern Syria.

Reuters in their report, "Syria Kurds win battle with government, Turkey mobilizes against them," would state:
Syrian Kurdish forces took near complete control of Hasaka city on Tuesday as a ceasefire ended a week of fighting with the government, consolidating the Kurds' grip on Syria's northeast as Turkey increased its efforts to check their influence.
The Kurdish YPG militia, a critical part of the U.S.-backed campaign against Islamic State, already controls swathes of northern Syria where Kurdish groups have established de facto autonomy since the start of the Syria war in 2011.

Analysts and those sympathetic to the Kurdish cause, including their perceived role in fighting terrorist organizations in Syria including the self-proclaimed "Islamic State" (ISIS), see this as a positive development toward a greater and independent "Kurdistan."

However, the facts on the ground appear to suggest a much more likely and unfortunate future.

Comment: Turkey, the Kurds and the insanity of U.S. policy in Syria


Airplane

Oops? U.S. drone kills 22 Afghan soldiers held hostage by Taliban

US drone
A US drone attack has killed 22 Afghan soldiers held by Taliban militants in the southern Helmand province, while Taliban have overrun a strategic district elsewhere.

Provincial officials announced the fatalities on Saturday. Taliban also confirmed the death toll, saying the airstrike had killed three of the group's members in the Nad-e-Ali district on Thursday.

Helmand is a strategically important province for both the Afghan government and Taliban militants, who control or contest 10 of the 14 districts in the opium-rich province.

On Saturday, Taliban militants seized a strategic district in the eastern province of Paktia, from which they can surge towards several other provinces.

Comment: Further reading:


Snakes in Suits

Sex, lies and dead bodies: Business as usual for Florida Panhandle's GOP politics

gaetz
Matt Gaetz: drunk-driving, dirty tricks, homosexual relations - but running on a traditional “family values” and anti-gay rights platform. Now THAT's how it's done!
The Florida Panhandle has seen its share of sketchy Republican office holders. Few local voters who were around in 2001 can forget the suspicious death of Lori Klausutis, a 29-year old constituent services staffer for retiring Florida GOP Representative Joe Scarborough. Klausutis's body was discovered at 8:00 in the morning on July 20, 2001, by a couple who arrived at Scarborough's North Fort Walton Beach office for a meeting. Klausutis is said to have died from a skull fracture. The local coroner's determination that the very physically fit Klausutis died from accidental causes left many voters in Florida's First Congressional District convinced that Scarborough, now the host of MSNBC's "Morning Joe," somehow knew more than what was revealed about the circumstances of his aide's death during the middle of the night.

On Tuesday, August 30, the Panhandle's GOP primary voters will be given the opportunity of electing another congressman with a shady past from the heavily-Republican First District. Matt Gaetz, the son of Florida State Senator Don Gaetz, hopes to head to Washington to fill Scarborough's old House seat. The Gaetz father and son team hail from a prominent Republican political family in North Dakota.

Matt Gaetz, currently a member of the Florida House of Representatives, portrays himself to the Bible-thumping voters of the Panhandle as a God-fearing conservative. However, even a partial glance at Gaetz's record reveals at least seven arrests for drunk driving and a reputed alternate gay life style. Gaetz's politically powerful father Don ensured that none of the arrests led to prosecutions.

Vader

The why of Washington's addiction to unending war

Afghan soldier
© Flickr/DVIDSHUB An Afghan National Army soldier sights in a SPG9 anti-tank weapon during weapons training at the Kabul Military Training Center.
The last two administrations have followed a bipartisan policy of constant war. Unfortunately, the consequences have been ugly: every intervention has laid the groundwork for more conflict.

Yet the architects of this failure claim that all would be well if only Washington had acted more often and more decisively. In their view, the problem is not that America goes to war, but that it doesn't go to war nearly enough.

This approach is based on the belief that Washington is capable of solving every international problem. If only unnamed bright people implemented theoretically brilliant strategies backed by unidentified resolute citizens, terrorism would be suppressed, ISIS would be defeated, Russia would be compliant, Iraq would be successful, Syria would be peaceful, Libya would be united and China would be respectful.

Alas, our experience suggests that such people and policies don't exist. Otherwise, why would recent military operations have turned out so badly? If the right conditions for success weren't present in the last fifteen years, why should we expect them to occur in the next fifteen?

The biggest problem is the belief in immaculate intervention. More troops should have stayed longer, more bombs should have been dropped, and more no-fly zones should have been established. Advocates rarely bother to explain the practical requirements and consequences of those policies.

Comment: Alas, the neocon 'reality creators' are unable to be cured of their delusions, no matter how many inconvenient facts are placed before them. Unfortunately the rest of the world is suffering the consequences.


Chess

Russian Senator: Expect attacks on State Duma elections from hostile nations to "discredit our country"

Russian Duma elections
© Maksim Blinov / Sputnik
The chairman of Russia's Upper House Committee for International Relations has said he expects certain hostile foreign nations to launch another campaign aimed at blackening Russia's reputation in the period around September's parliamentary elections.

"Elections are due in three weeks and I have absolutely no doubt that ill-wishers across our borders will use the election campaign and the elections themselves as yet another excuse to discredit our country and present it as an outcast nation," senator Konsantin Kosachev said at the 'In Unity with Russia' international forum, currently taking place in Moscow.

Kosachev also said he was certain that the State Duma elections scheduled for September 18 will be honest and free, and called the criticism levelled at the Russian political system by some in the West "inadequate and having nothing in common with the real situation in the country."

"We see that the course aimed at the so-called international isolation of Russia declared by the West has totally failed. This course is currently supported by a group of strong but not very numerous nations, and at the level of common people we definitely will not find any confrontation even in the Western countries," he said.