Puppet Masters
Russia and Ukraine are approaching a decisive period in their conflict, with Kiev aiming to sever the Russian land bridge to Crimea this spring, Germany's Bild newspaper has reported. The tabloid cited an anonymous NATO source who claimed the bloc is providing Ukraine with everything it needs to retake its former territories.
In a report on Tuesday, Bild quoted a "leading" NATO official as stating that the alliance's analysts expect the conflict to reach a climax in the spring and summer. The official expressed confidence that heavy weaponry being delivered to Ukraine will be brought to bear in several counteroffensives as early as May.
"The coming six months will be a key period in the war not only for Ukraine, but also for the allies," the unnamed source predicted.
While refusing to go into detail regarding planned operations, the official asserted that Ukrainian forces will focus their efforts on the regions of Zaporozhye and Lugansk.
The main objective of the offensives will be to "sever the land bridge to Crimea," the NATO source added.
The official claimed that Ukraine is likely to mount counteroffensives in other regions as well, which will either be genuine or merely serve as distractions to preoccupy the Russian military.
According to the Bild report, NATO is not ruling out a scenario in which Ukraine would attempt to retake Crimea, which joined Russia in 2014 following a referendum.
"Kiev has the right to recapture all Ukrainian territory," the official insisted.
In an effort to ensure the new offensives are successful, Kiev's backers are reportedly providing it with intelligence data as well as training, logistical support and weapons.
Speaking to the Polish newspaper Rzeczpospolita on Monday, Czech President Petr Pavel said that the "window of opportunity" for Ukraine would only be open until the end of this year.
The former general, who served as chair of the NATO Military Committee until 2018, argued that with elections approaching in the US in 2024, Washington is likely to reduce defense aid to Ukraine. Pavel said he expected European nations to follow suit.
"Ukraine will only have one attempt to launch a major counteroffensive," the Czech president claimed, adding that should this effort fail, "it will be extremely difficult to obtain funds for the next one."
Reader Comments
"On 20 January 1991, the first Crimean referendum was held on the restoration of the Crimean Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic as a subject of the USSR and as a party to the Union Treaty. (Between 1921 and 1945, the Crimean Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic was part of the RSFSR.) With a high turnout of 81.37 percent, 93.26 percent of the Crimean population voted in favour of restoring autonomy. On 12 February 1991 , the restoration of the Crimean ASSR was confirmed by law: the Supreme Soviet of the Ukrainian SSR accepted the results of the referendum. So what did the Ukrainian state do next? On 24 August 1991 , the Supreme Court of the Ukrainian SSR, again on the basis of self-determination, declared the independence of Ukraine, arbitrarily identifying the Crimean ASSR as a territory of the newly established state. By doing so, the founders of Ukraine ignored a law requiring a separate referendum to be held in Crimea on the Crimean ASSR’s status within Ukraine. This was done deliberately, since Kiev knew perfectly well that the people of Crimea would never vote in favour of becoming part of Ukraine."
On a report on Tuesday, Bild quoted a "leading" NATO official ...The "Bild" news paper is one of the lowliest yellow press rags in Germany.
As a famous meme goes, the name (meaning "picture" in English) refers to the limited intellectual capacity of the average consument, usually being analphabets.
"Bild" is (or was ?) mostly targeting a male audience, with sports (football/soccer) and tits making up a significant part of the space. I think it is also available here in Austria.
There and Switzerland - the only two non-NATO members in Central Europe.Which does not mean they are really neutral. Which of course they are not. I'm not sure what consequences this will have once the Ukraine conflict is over.
I presume a Russian prioritisation a la direct participants, weapons & ammo supliers, and financial backers. In this order.
Comment: 'A Hail Mary' to save the day...according to a west-obedient publication? More likely it would be the 'Last Hurrah'. Considering the tip of the hand, it is a deflection.