Meteorologist Ryan Maue has offered his take on why tropical development activity remains depressed:
The Atlantic tropics are completely broken, unable to produce tropical storms even w/off the charts "climate fueled" oceans. Our models no longer work, forecasters can't figure it out. This is not normal.
Maue said:
While Saharan dust clouds have contributed to dry and stable air just above the surface, the circulation from the Northeast Atlantic over the cold Canary Current has penetrated even more dry air deep into the tropics. We haven't seen this in 50 years.
The meteorologist pointed to the massive 2022 eruption of the underwater volcano in Tonga, known as Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai, that catapulted plumes of soot, water vapor, and sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, leading to what some are saying is the driving force behind the Earth's most recent warming trends...
What can cause all of this? The massive submarine Hunga Tonga volcano in 2022 is the obvious culprit for tampering with the Hadley Cell and ITCZ. But it could also be some entirely new pattern we haven't seen caused by a combination of solar activity and unprecedented warming.
He continued:
Reminder the lack of hurricanes is not entirely inconsistent with climate change predictions. We will see fewer hurricanes, but the ones that do develop will be climate fueled and reach Category 6+ Right now, the oceans up to the lower stratosphere are overheating -- too hot.
Maue concluded:
I think it's all the ๐ + โ๏ธ and weird effects of pandemic shutting down industry + pollution. The Earth ๐ absorbed way too much shortwave radiation!
Separately, John Shewchuk, a certified consulting meteorologist, wrote on X:
"This is expected because of the unprecedented Tonga volcano which is causing an unprecedented global warming spike which is now showing up in the models as unprecedented failures -- because the models are tuned to only known air/ocean dynamics. Tonga is causing unknown effects."
Recall our weather note in mid-July titled "Tonga Volcano Contributed To Global Warming, Not Cow Farts Or Taylor Swift's Private Jet."
In 2023, we asked: "Is Tonga's Volcano Eruption Set To Warm Earth?"
Why do leftist corporate media outlets refuse to even acknowledge the Tonga volcano as a possible driver in the recent tick-up in global warming? It's probably because it doesn't align with the narrative that human-produced carbon dioxide drives climate change.
Reader Comments
We did see miserable hot and humid weather last hurricane season from the Tonga eruption, but I also think blatant fraud is a real problem with the failure of the models. The AGW (human caused warming) cult is so desperate to find warming where there isn't any that they are falsifying real time data all over the place.
"....God shall send them strong delusion, that they should believe a lie: That they all might be damned who believed not the truth, but had pleasure in unrighteousness. 2 Th 2:11-12
I'm moving to a cooler house/location soon! Yay!