Illinois gets a foot of rain
It's the third 1-in-1,000-year rain event in the Lower 48 states in about a week.
The National Weather Service office in Lincoln, Ill., has received about 20 reports of flooding, mostly due to water inundating roads and intersections. Television affiliate WAND in Decatur, which is about 35 miles east of Springfield, reported cars submerged in high water with emergency crews involved in rescues. Minor flooding of several rivers has also occurred.
Flash-flood warnings have affected a large swath of central and southern Illinois from around Springfield to southeast of Effingham. That's where months' worth of rain has fallen because of a parade of thunderstorms. Many of them were "training" or repeatedly moving over the same neighborhoods.
Even after the overnight downpours, storms appeared once again around sunrise Tuesday morning, drifting back over hard-hit areas that bore the brunt of the nocturnal drenching. It continued raining in the region through midday, with flash-flood warnings extending into the afternoon. It's probable some areas will see rainfall totals surpass a foot.
"We're still kind of waiting to hear on reports from some of the heaviest-hit areas, but based on radar estimates, we are seeing amounts of 8 to 12 inches across Jasper County, Ill.," said Alex Erwin, a meteorologist at the Weather Service in Lincoln. "Late last night, before midnight, we received a seven-inch report from West Liberty in Jasper County, as well as a 5.5-inch report near Dundas in Richland County."
Erwin said rainfall rates reached at least 2 inches per hour at times.
The stalled front responsible for the torrent in southern Illinois on Monday night into Tuesday is the same one that produced flooding in St. Louis and eastern Kentucky last week. The former saw its wettest day on record a week ago; the latter faced disastrous flooding Wednesday night; at least 37 people were killed.
Ahead of Monday night's storms in Illinois, forecasts called for damaging winds, hail and the chance of an isolated tornado in the Midwest and Ohio Valley. At least one tornado did touch down from the same string of storms to the east near the West Virginia-Pennsylvania border.
Beneficial rainfall was mentioned ahead of the deluge by the Weather Service office in Lincoln, but a flood threat was not highlighted in its afternoon forecast discussion. "It could be a nice rainmaker for us in central Illinois, with [total precipitation] values ranging from a few tenths, while localized values could exceed an inch," the office wrote.
However, stalled fronts can prove notoriously tricky for forecasters, the clashing air masses and convergence, or gathering of air, serving as a focal mechanism for storminess. To the south of the boundary, atmospheric moisture was pooling; a measure of that — known as precipitable water — climbing to around 2 inches.
It's worth noting that precipitable water isn't a limit to how much rain can fall, especially in situations where the moisture is continually being replenished by the wind flow. It's akin to wringing a waterlogged washcloth into a bucket. Even though the washcloth can only carry a finite amount of water, if you keep wringing it out and then getting it wet again, eventually that bucket can overflow.
The moisture collected on the stalled front, which sat atop a heat dome sprawled over the southern United States. It was pumped northward into the area by a zone of high pressure offshore the Southeast United States.
Monday night's event fits into a pattern of ultrarare high-end rain events that have struck the United States in the past week. What happened in St. Louis and Kentucky both fall under the umbrella of 1,000-year rain events, meaning the amount of rain that fell during such a short window would have only a 0.1 percent chance of happening any year.
Similarly, Weather Service precipitation frequency charts for the zone southeast of Springfield, Ill., indicate that the foot of rain that fell in less than 12 hours from this event constitutes another 1,000-year event.
Reader Comments
Ilinios just happens to be South of cold air between 700 and 500hpa and the Jetstream is flowing actively across from west to East compounding the situation.
All records will be broken as Autumn 2022 will unleash unimaginable rain.
What sucks is my bugout plan is to go north (fewer people), but I don't know if I can handle even colder weather found near Lake Superior. It may just be we go east to family along the a less populated stretch of the Mississippi instead.
I have monitored the weather for years, I screenshot all my findings and my understanding is that's the Northern hemisphere will become exceptionally cold this year.
Yes the authorities do manipulate statistics and reset our parameters by which observations are now calculated.
If your wanting to move North, be prepared that's all I'll say.
On the upside, there are numerous abandoned mines for after the SHTF.
Anyway, better SO or Farmer's Almanac than the doom and gloom of Adapt 2030 or the Ice Age Farmer.
Really wasted time is time spent in oblivion.
I like a good conspiracy as much as the next person, but without evidence or even a tested hypothetical, it's fantasy. It's why I stopped reading conspiracy forums. True conspiracies are pretty easy to spot, but you can drive yourself literally insane entertaining things without evidence.
While it is another realm, the same is true for everything else that is going on. The term "conspiracy theory" was coined by the CIA - the same people that killed Kennedy and experimented on Americans without telling them - a clear breach of the Nürnberg Tribunals' conventions about medical experimentation without informing the subjects.
Personal experiences have tought me that "evidence" is very relative to those who demand it. Evidence of their own position trumps evidence of opposing positions. The reason why it took until the 19th century to bury the "flat earth" position. Well, sort of.
However, purposeful geo-engineering would have to be done with science, and science is just predicting outcomes through repeating the conditions which leads to that outcome. I mean, conceivably you could have a group of trained people meditating to influence weather which would align with experimentation by SRI and The Monroe Institute, but that's not you're talking about. In general one begins with hypotheses, and then you test them. When you can test the hypothesis and repeat the outcome, this becomes a theory, if a theory can be proven with certainty, it becomes scientific law. There are very few actual scientific laws (many called such, but they are still theories because information is missing from the theory to explain it 100%).
I know where conspiracy theory as a pejorative came from. I've read quite a lot about the CIA and the clandestine experiments they've done. That does not mean that every theory of a conspiracy is called such as a pejorative. I'm aware of many conspiracies which I don't call theories because they are clearly true. Conspiracy theories, to me, are when someone makes a claim without basic evidence. Theories that jump to conclusions instead of asking "what else would necessarily have to be true if my theory is correct." Often, insane leaps in logic have to be made. Many things that are mere coincidence are touted as evidence of a conspiracy, which is not to say that all coincidences are merely that.
Now, if you said you used NOAA data and noticed anomalies in the atmosphere from a government facility coinciding with sudden storm development over Macon County, IL which occurred a few days after an local elected official or corporation said "no" to something the feds or military wanted them to do, then I'd consider that maybe you're onto something. But you'd also have to show some kind of evidence that the official or corp was aware of this possibility, otherwise what's the point of flooding infrastructure which costs the feds and the oligarchs money from damage. You need a motive and a means, and you provided neither, thus it is a conspiracy theory.
Strangely though, your position is one of unquestioning support of those entities that wreak havoc on mankind. You have not been affected adversely, yet by the resetters as it appears. Good on you.
I have developed a paganistic attitude towards life and Paganism is not what the church would have you believe, I don't devil worship.
I Respect Nature and live with it.
Earth's weather has conducted itself for billions of years and mankind trys to play God with its punitive attempts of weather modification.
Science, and the scientific method, is a tool, not a dogma (at least as far as I'm concerned). And I'm well aware of the problems with manipulated results, established viewpoints preventing serious consideration of new ideas, and corporate interests paying for specific results. One of my close friends is a scientist who discovered how dangerous fludioxonil is not just to the fungus it's used for, but for anything with mitochondria it comes in contact with. He published his results after 10 years of research and lost his research position only a few months later. That chemical is prohibited in most of the world, but here, Syngenta is a major political donor, so they've done their best to delay public knowledge of those results (though more researchers are now coming to similar conclusions). Wash your fruits and veggies if you value your health.
My only real problem with your comment was that you made a claim as a matter of fact (on faith), without motive or evidence of means. If this were about population control, why target a sparsely populated area of the Midwest that merely posed an inconvenience to residents? I could understand if major damage was done to ADM (supermarket to the world was their tagline when I lived in the area), or there was a huge loss of life. There wasn't even any damage to crop or yields discussed in any of the news articles I could find, and I scoured news sources from that area.
And having been from that area, that type of storm at this time of year is not unusual. When I went to Camp Drake as a scout in the 80s, during beginning of July, there were two years when it rained pretty heavy almost every day and daytime temps dropped into the 50s and 60s for most of the two weeks we were there.
I am not in denial about the concept. I'm just denying that your assertion has any teeth.
balboa schwartz I know there are patents for these sorts of things. There are many patents that never get used. I'm also aware of a worldwide prohibition on weather engineering. Thus there are people with power who pay attention and look for such patented (and unpatented) methods being used. Even if one had the motive to do it, the literal downstream effects are unpredictable. It's one thing to be able to cause a storm. It's another to know what will happen elsewhere because of it.
I'm also well aware of Gates' and Schwab's efforts at geo-engineering, and the experiments those are based on which are what led to the worldwide prohibition in the first place, and why I am 100% against their ideas.