Great in theory. First sort out the euro mess, though.
Many eurosceptics believe — and with good reason — that the collapse of the eurozone would free the continent from Washington's grip, allowing European states to pursue economic and political relationships that actually serve their own national interests. What a novel concept, right?
This is all well and good — in theory. But
if the eurzone broke apart tomorrow, Russia's economy would almost certainly evaporate.The reasons for this are numerous,
but Bloomberg has very thoughtfully compiled the most difficult-to-dismiss figures illustrating Russia's current dependence on the euro.For starters,
Russia holds close to 40 percent of its foreign currency reserves in euros, and Putin has stated on the record that his country is "not interested in the collapse of the euro zone."
Imagine if 40 percent of Russia's foreign currency reserves became worthless overnight.
Worse still, imagine all the Russians who keep euro accounts as a way to protect themselves from the ever-fluctuating value of the ruble.
Here's the reality:
Russia is in no way, shape or form prepared for a eurozone collapse. It would be catastrophic for Moscow.
It doesn't matter
how much gold Russia manages to hoard. There's just no way right now that Russia could survive the economic earthquake that would result from a eurozone break-up.
Taking all this into account, it seems strange that the western media claims that Russia is backing Marine Le Pen's bid in France's upcoming presidential elections. As Bloomberg puts it, "Le Pen's promise to take France out of the euro zone — which could break up the European single currency — might well devastate Russia's economy and financial stability."
It's hard to argue with that logic.
And let's not forget that long before Russia was pushed out of the "European community", Putin
was promoting the idea of a Russia-EU free trade zone stretching from "Lisbon to Vladivostok".
Russia's rapidly increasing economic cooperation and integration with Asia will not shield Moscow from the fallout of a failed eurozone. At least not right now.Here are some figures compiled by Bloomberg which really drive this point home:
European InvestmentsRussia has also invested tens of billions of euros in Europe in sectors ranging from telecommunications to energy and services.
Among Major Russian Investments in Europe...
© Bloomberg reporting
Commercial PartnersThe 28-member European Union remains by far Russia's largest commercial partner despite a contraction in trade in recent years after the longest Russian recession in two decades and sanctions imposed because of the Ukraine conflict. Russia's exports to the euro zone ($91 billion) are almost four times what it sells to China and nearly 11 times the amount of Russian imports in the U.S.
Russia's Goods Exports
First 11 months of 2016
Russian Goods export 2016
Foreign InvestmentsRussia relies on the 19-nation euro zone for 70 percent of foreign direct investment, led by inflows from Cyprus, Luxembourg and Netherlands, which are a conduit for Russian money.
Foreign Direct Investments From Euro Zone
Accumulated net investment 2010-2016, billions of dollars
THis is also why RUssia really doesn't want most of those sanctions released, they are using them to help strengthen their own lines of production in industry and agriculture etc.... and it is the same banksters helping them... more so in China, but it's the same game.... setup the new house before destroying the old one.... on and on the game goes, with only Mother Nature as a disruptive agent of chaos.