OF THE
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Author's note: This article will be relatively short compared to my standard offerings, but I wanted to get some thoughts on paper as the situation north of Pokrovsk develops. Ukraine is facing one of the worst operational crises of the war and the situation is liable to change rapidly. We clearly do not have a perfectly comprehensive picture of how the front is moving, but I think taking the pulse in real time is still valuable.After three years of war, with the commentariat on both sides eagerly predicting the looming collapse of the enemy, it behooves one to develop a prudent aversion to histrionic predictions. However, it seems fairly obvious that the war in Ukraine is at a critical juncture, and August 2025 will receive considerable play in retrospective accounts of the conflict, as perhaps the last opportunity for Ukraine to cut a deal and slither out of its strategic grave.


US President Donald Trump has said he cannot treat any talk of nuclear weapons lightly and that the US must always be "totally prepared" for any potential confrontation, responding to what he described as an inappropriate "threat" issued by former Russian head of state Dmitry Medvedev.
At a White House press conference, Trump explained his order to deploy two nuclear submarines earlier on Friday. He had vowed to send them to what he called "the appropriate regions" in a post on Truth Social in reaction to remarks made by Medvedev on social media.
"Well, we had to do that. We just have to be careful. A threat was made, and we didn't think it was appropriate," Trump said. "So I do that on the basis of safety for our people. A threat was made by a former president of Russia, and we're going to protect our people."

Comment: Peace is ananthema to the EU too. No Ukraine war means no US funds flowing into an irrelevant NATO. How will von der Leyen and the rest of the kleptocrats keep the grift going?