
© Blink FilmsA core of seafloor sediment collected off the coast of Jamaica by geologist Jeff Donnelly holds clues to prehistoric hurricanes.
Historical, geologic records offer clues to tropical cyclonesIn 1780, a powerful hurricane swept across the islands of the Caribbean, killing an estimated 22,000 people; 5,000 more died of starvation and disease in the aftermath. "Our planet is capable of unleashing extreme chaos," begins the new
NOVA documentary
Killer Hurricanes, set to air November 1 on PBS.
To describe the human impact of such powerful tropical cyclones,
the documentary primarily focuses on two storms: the Great Hurricane of 1780 and Hurricane Matthew, a Category 4 storm that slammed into Haiti and Cuba last October. Before the
devastating 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, Matthew was considered the biggest Atlantic storm of the last decade.
Still, the film's larger message remains timely: Studying the hurricanes of the past can offer insights into storms of the future - and, hopefully, help coastal and island communities prepare for such events.
The documentary describes the work of researchers as they examine both human and geologic records to track past cyclones. Because the Great Hurricane occurred during relatively recent history, researchers can use eyewitness accounts and ship records to estimate not only the size of the storm, but also to track its path and calculate the storm surge.
But geologists such as Jeff Donnelly of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts and Amy Frappier of Skidmore College in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., are looking deeper into the past.
Donnelly finds physical traces of prehistoric hurricanes buried in seafloor sediments, while Frappier detects chemical traces in stalagmites growing in caves across the Caribbean. These data reveal a troubling pattern: The frequency of strong hurricanes distinctly increases when ocean temperatures are warmer. What's more, hurricanes' paths have shifted northward over the last 450 years, moving closer to the contiguous United States.
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