
Dr Thomas House, of the University's Warwick Mathematics Institute, developed a model that incorporated data from past outbreaks that successfully replicated their eventual scale.
The research, titled Epidemiological Dynamics of Ebola Outbreaks and published by eLife, shows that when applying the available data from the ongoing 2014 outbreak to the model that it is, according to Dr House, "out of all proportion and on an unprecedented scale when compared to previous outbreaks".
Dr House commented: "If we analyse the data from past outbreaks we are able to design a model that works for the recorded cases of the virus spreading and can successfully replicate their eventual size. The current outbreak does not fit this previous pattern and, as a result, we are not in a position to provide an accurate prediction of the current outbreak".
Chance events, Dr House argues, are an essential factor in the spread of Ebola and many other contagious diseases. "If we look at past Ebola outbreaks there is an identifiable way of predicting their overall size based on modelling chance events that are known to be important when the numbers of cases of infection are small and the spread is close to being controlled".












Comment:
The Ebola virus is now 'spreading like wildfire', and may be 'unstoppable'. Contrary to mainstream views, evidence suggests that Ebola IS an airborne virus! It also bears a striking similarity to the Black Death
For the protection of you and your family, consider the following crucial information:
Vitamin C - A cure for Ebola
See Vitamin C's Historical and Miraculous Record for more information on doses and disease context.
The clue about sugar interfering with vitamin C uptake is very important. In fact, mainstream dietary guidelines promote an inflammatory state in the body. People who eat mainly carbs as a dietary source of energy are at more risk of getting sick. For vital dietary information, read:
- Are you prepping your diet?
- The Ketogenic Diet - An Overview
- Ketogenic Diet (high-fat, low-carb) Has Neuroprotective and Disease-modifying Effects