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Light Sabers

Fyodor Lukyanov: How does the Russia-Ukraine conflict end?

Borrell
© screenshotJoseph Borrell
The pendulum has swung in Moscow's favor and last year's Western confidence has disappeared...

Russia's military campaign in Ukraine is now two years old. The statement that everything will be decided on the battlefield has become axiomatic, but the assessment of the results has changed. A year and a half ago, the head of EU diplomacy, Josep Borrell, spoke with optimism. But now he communicates with fear.

Let us risk assuming that a very important moment is at hand, not only in the military sense, but above all in the political sense.

From the outset, the motivation for Russia's military operation in Ukraine has combined two issues, different in nature but linked by the circumstances of recent history. Firstly, the principles of international security as they emerged after the end of the Cold War and, secondly, the Ukrainian issue as part of national identity. The foundation for this two-pronged approach is laid out in Vladimir Putin's article 'On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians', published six months before the outbreak of hostilities. In it, the Russian president linked concerns about the country's military and political security to the destruction of this unity. Based on a detailed excursion into history, the head of state argued that attempts to form a separate Ukrainian identity were always linked to the desire of external actors to weaken Russia and create an outpost of forces hostile to it in a strategically key area.

Great power conflicts with global implications often arise over specific contentious issues. In this case, the issues are not only intertwined, but also extremely emotional - for Ukraine and at least part of the rest of Europe, but especially for Russia. This makes them difficult to manage and, above all, difficult to prioritize: which of the two tasks is to be prioritized? Ideally, of course, both at once. But is that feasible? Making a choice or achieving a 'package solution' is a question Moscow may have to face in the near future.

Comment: Lukyanov offers an excellent, intelligent read.


Network

George Soros-linked individuals expose themselves, admit to rigging elections all over the world on behalf of Democratic party - videos

GSoros
© Independent SentinelGeorge Soros • Election buyer
An explosive series of videos has exposed what can only be described as concerted effort by Democrats and George Soros-linked operatives to rig elections ALL OVER THE WORLD.

The videos captured several powerful individuals from across the globe bragging about how they have been responsible for influencing the political outcome in places like Poland, Hungary, Brazil, Turkey, and more.

Among these powerful individuals is one General Wesley Clark, the former Supreme Allied Commander of Europe for NATO.

In one of the clips, Clark can be seen bragging about how he partnered with radical left-wing billionaire George Soros back in 2014 to decide the political leadership of Ukraine.

Clark revealed that Soros has been trying to influence Eastern Europe since the 1990s, spending $500 million a year through his Open Society Institutes in key places like Ukraine - which explains why corruption has taken over the European nation.

Target

Biden admin planted operative Jeff DiSantis in Fani Willis' office to target Trump, sources say

Faniw
© Joe Raedle/Chip Somodevilla/Getty ImagesFulton Co. DA Fanio Willis • Former US President Donald Trump
If the Biden administration planted the operative, as the sources say, it would present a strong argument that the administration interfered in the 2024 presidential election.

Breitbart News granted the sources anonymity to discuss the attorney's office for fear of retribution. The sources have direct knowledge of the environment at the District Attorney's Office, which they characterized as "corrupt."

One significant figure is overlooked in the Fulton County scandal concerning Fulton County prosecutor Fani Willis and her alleged lover and fellow prosecutor Nathan Wade, the sources said: Meet Jeff DiSantis — the county's Deputy District Attorney with professional experience far greater than the average county employee. DiSantis worked on Willis's 2020 campaign, sources told Breitbart News, and was the former Executive Director of the Democrat Party of Georgia with extensive knowledge of campaign finance law. He was also the Deputy Director of Compliance for the DNC, according to his official bio:
Jeff has also worked for candidates in 30 states running for a variety of offices, including President of the United States, United States Senator, Governor, United States Representative, Attorney General, District Attorney, and Mayor, as well as for a national political party committee. He has served as a campaign manager, media consultant, pollster, press spokesman, research director, and policy advisor.
Sources credit DiSantis with colluding with the White House to target Trump.

Bizarro Earth

Best of the Web: EU panics over failing Project Ukraine: France creates coalition to arm crumbling military with long-range weapons

Macron and Zelensky
French President Emmanuel Macron and Ukraine President Vladimir Zelensky
The aim is to enable Kiev to "carry out deep strikes" amid flagging US support, President Emmanuel Macron has said

France is leading a new coalition that aims to provide Ukraine with "medium and long-range missiles and bombs," President Emmanuel Macron has announced. He has also not ruled out deploying ground forces to support Kiev in future.

Macron made the remarks following a summit of Ukraine's backers on Monday, intended to demonstrate unwavering support for Kiev amid the suspension of American aid.

According to the French leader, the newly established coalition seeks to enable Ukraine to "carry out deep strikes." There is a "broad consensus to do even more and faster together" to support Kiev, Macron added.

Comment: Baby Jupiter is not finding much enthusiasm for his hair-brained scheme. NATO countries are not rallying to his call:
The UK, Poland, Czech Republic, Finland, and Sweden all spoke up on Tuesday against French President Emmanuel Macron's suggestion that Western troops could be deployed to Ukraine.

While there was no consensus about sending ground forces, Macron said on Monday following a pro-Ukraine summit in Paris that "in terms of dynamics, we cannot exclude anything" in the conflict between Moscow and Kiev.

There are "no plans for NATO combat troops on the ground in Ukraine," the secretary-general of the US-led bloc, Jens Stoltenberg, told AP in response to Macron's remarks.

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak did not rule out sending troops in principle, but his spokesperson told reporters that "beyond the small number of personnel in [the] country supporting the armed forces [of Ukraine], we do not have any plans to make a large-scale deployment."

Deploying troops is "not on the cards at all for the moment," Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson told the public broadcaster SVT, adding that "for the moment, we're busy sending advanced equipment to Ukraine." Stockholm pledged military aid worth 7.1 billion kronor ($682 million) to Kiev last week. Kristersson also said there is currently "no demand" from Ukraine for Western ground troops.

There was a "widely shared" perception at the summit in Paris against the use of NATO ground troops, Finnish President Sauli Niinisto told the outlet Yle. He added that this is also Finland's position.

Warsaw "does not plan to send its troops to the territory of Ukraine," Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Tuesday. His Czech counterpart, Petr Fiala, echoed that sentiment, saying there is no "need to open some other methods or ways" of helping Kiev.

If all EU member states were as committed as the Czech Republic and Poland to helping Ukraine, there would be no need to even discuss other forms of support, Tusk claimed.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz was even more categorical, declaring that there will be "no ground troops, no soldiers on Ukrainian soil, who are sent there by European or NATO countries" in the future.

The US and its allies have sent over $200 billion worth of financial, military, and material aid to the Ukrainian government since the conflict with Russia escalated in February 2022, vowing to inflict a "strategic defeat" on Moscow while insisting they are not actually a party to the hostilities. Russia's repeated warnings about the dangers of a direct confrontation have fallen on deaf ears.
The Kremlin says all but 'bring it":
A direct conflict between Russia and NATO will likely become inevitable if member states of the US-led military bloc send troops to Ukraine, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said. He was speaking after French President Emmanuel Macron, whose government hosted a high-profile meeting of Ukraine backers on Monday, said EU members "will do everything necessary to prevent Russia from winning" - including deploying forces on the ground to support Kiev.

Several governments have since ruled out sending troops to the front line.

Opponents of the proposal have arrived at a "sober assessment of the potential risks" of deploying NATO forces in Ukraine, Peskov told the media on Tuesday. That would be "absolutely against the interests of those nations" and their people, he warned.

Asked about the probability of a direct conflict with NATO if Western troops are sent to Ukraine, the Kremlin spokesman said, "in this case, we have to talk not about the probability, but rather the inevitability."

[...]

Moscow considers the Ukraine conflict to be a US-orchestrated proxy war against Russia, and has repeatedly warned that by supplying increasingly sophisticated weapons to Kiev, NATO members are drawing closer to a direct confrontation.



Network

What the Arab world thinks of Russia's military operation against Ukraine

Putin and Abu Dhabi's crown prince
Two years after the start of the conflict, Moscow's partnerships in the Middle East continue to develop

On February 24, 2022, President Vladimir Putin announced the start of Russia's special military operation (SMO) in Ukraine. Many experts call this date a turning point in world history, and some saw it as Russia becoming the military spearhead of the "global South" in the fight against the fading world order based on the destructive hegemony of the West. The Ukraine crisis has triggered a breakdown of the system and principles of international security that was formed after the end of the Cold War.

An analysis of the conflict in Ukraine reveals two dimensions that complicate the process of its potential settlement. These are the two dimensions that the well-known Russian expert Fyodor Lukyanov wrote about in one of his recent articles. First, there are the issues of national self-identification - the "historical unity of Russians and Ukrainians", about which Putin wrote in his 2021 article. Second, there are the guarantees of military-political security for Russia in view of the permanent expansion of NATO and its hostile rhetoric towards Moscow.

Comment: See also:


Eye 1

Ukraine's frontline situation 'catastrophic' - Moscow

Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova
© Sergey Guneev; RIA NovostiRussian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova
People are waking up to the fact that they have been betrayed by the West, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said

Nothing can save Kiev from the "monstrous" and "catastrophic" situation its forces face on the frontline, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova claimed in an interview with Sputnik radio on Monday.

Even comments by French President Emmanuel Macron that sending Western troops into Ukraine was not out of the question will not be enough to change the minds of the Ukrainian people, who have started to wake up to the fact that they have been betrayed by the West, she added.

The French leader made the comment a meeting of representatives from 20 Western nations, when Paris proposed the scenario of sending Western ground forces to Ukraine. Although a consensus on the proposal was not reached during that meeting, Macron has said that, in the future, such a scenario could not be ruled out.

Comment: All those heads of state that deny they will send troops to Ukraine have lied repeatedly. Did they not initially say no heavy weapons only light weapons, intelligence support and financial aid? After a while it became heavy weapons but no tanks, then tanks but no longer range missiles, then longer range artillery and missiles but definitely no planes, then planes. Now they discuss troops, while it comes out they have already had some people in there, just not officially, and the CIA must have been doing something with secret bases and establishing bunkers along the borders for the last ten years.

Already many of the leaders of the nations that say no troops, have done much that was against the interests of the people and their nations. That is not to say there is no limit, and that one day they will not say something with respect to how far they will go with Ukraine, that time will prove to be true. It is possible that day has arrived now, but we still have to wait and see.

For now, the situation is:
Western special forces working in Ukraine - FT


Popcorn

Best of the Web: 'Embarrassing': German Navy Frigate Hessen MISFIRES two missiles which mistakenly target US drone over Red Sea

german navy
An unexpected incident unfolds as the German frigate 'Hessen' mistakenly attacks a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone, highlighting the complexities of international military operations and the critical need for clear communication and reliable technology.

On Monday, an unexpected incident unfolded over the Red Sea as the German frigate 'Hessen' mistakenly launched an attack on a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone. This event not only underscores the risks of military misfires but also casts a shadow over the diplomatic and military relations between Germany and the United States.


Comment: Germany is readily doing the US' bidding, for both keep the proxy war in Ukraine, and the Gaza genocide, and so it's unlikely this will cause to much of a disruption in their relations.


The missiles, which malfunctioned and plunged into the sea, brought to light the vulnerabilities in current military operations and the potential for unintended consequences.
Chronology of the Incident

Comment: Not only have the German Navy now inducted themselves into rapidly growing Western military hall of shame, but by participating in the Red Sea operation against Yemen, which is the West's facilitation of Israel's genocide in Gaza, their commercial shipping will no longer be allowed to pass through that route, significantly raising costs and delivery times for their citizens and their businesses: Meanwhile in Russia: Russian arms production has Europe's warmongers worried

The footage below shows a German misfire incident that occurred in 2018:
On 21 June 2018, Sachsen was operating with Lübeck near the Arctic Circle when it attempted to fire a SM-2 Block IIIA missile, and it exploded above the ship. The explosion scorched the paint off the bridge and the vertical launch cells battery. Two German sailors suffered minor injuries.





Attention

Neil Oliver: 'Self described elite' are 'deliberately DISMANTLING' Western democracy

Neil Oliver
Neil Oliver
'The time has come again to be rid of the whole rotten lot of them'.

Neil Oliver says the 'self described elite' have been carefully and deliberately dismantling Western democracies and holding on to power for too long.


Biohazard

Hazmat units respond after Donald Trump Jr. receives envelope with white powdery substance

Donald Trump Jr.
Donald Trump Jr.
Donald Trump Jr., son of former President Donald Trump, received a letter containing a white powdery substance at his Florida home on Monday afternoon, officials said.

Trump Jr. received the letter at his home in Jupiter, Florida, and he personally opened it, two law enforcement sources confirmed to CBS News. Early results indicated the substance was "not deadly."

Trump Jr. saw the white powdery substance, put the letter down and called 911, the sources said.

Dollars

Western special forces working in Ukraine - FT

NATO
© Getty Images / Sean Gallup/Getty ImagesNATO "Brilliant Jump" military exercise, Poland, February 26, 2024
Multiple European leaders have denied any official plans to send troops into Ukraine to fight against Russia

The unofficial presence of Western special forces in Ukraine is a matter of common knowledge, the Financial Times wrote on Tuesday, citing a senior European defense official, speaking anonymously.

The comment came in response to French President Emmanuel Macron's earlier suggestion of potential NATO deployments in Ukraine.

Speaking to the media after a gathering of European leaders in Paris on Monday, Macron said there was "no consensus [at the meeting] to send, in an official manner, troops on the ground, but in terms of dynamics, we cannot exclude anything." He also promised to stop at nothing to prevent Russia from winning the conflict.

Comment:
There are different western actors in Ukraine:

Mercenaries with "recent" NATO history:
NATO troops disguised as mercenaries operating Ukraine air defense and tactical missiles - Russian General
Disguised NATO personnel fighting in Ukraine - Russian general
Ukraine's shelling of Russian civilians - a significant part of which was carried out from Avdeevka in the years prior - is happening at Kiev's behest and with the tacit consent of Western states, the deputy head of the Russian General Staff, Colonel General Sergey Rudskoy, told Krasnaya Zvezda newspaper on Monday.

The US and its allies pump Ukraine full of weapons and provide it with communications services and intelligence information, but some of the equipment requires qualified Western personnel on the ground, the official said.
"NATO soldiers disguised as mercenaries participate in the military operations. They control air defense systems, operational-tactical missiles, and multiple launch rocket systems, and enter into assault detachments," Rudskoy said.
NATO officers directly prepare military operations for the Ukrainian armed forces.
Western generals in Ukraine - Lavrov
Austrian Colonel claims NATO soldiers are fighting in Ukraine as mercenaries

Ordinary mercenaries
Foreign mercenaries reveal shocking casualty rates in Ukraine - media (Aug 2023)
The US is trying to use foreign mercenaries to plug gaps in Ukraine - they are in for a rude awakening (Jul 2023)
More than 2,500 foreign mercenaries fighting for Ukraine - Shoigu (May 2023)
Probes launched into 75 foreign 'mercenaries' in Ukraine - Russia (May 2022)
Donetsk militia spots more foreign mercenaries, Ukraine moving forces to contact line (Oct 2016)
Nazi safaris and organ harvesting in Eastern Ukraine: Kiev regime's foreign mercenaries and homegrown fascists enjoy slaughtering civilians (Aug 2014)
Ex-Ukraine security chief claims foreign mercenaries took part in Maidan violence (Mar 2014)

Intelligence officers
Bombshell NYT report confirms CIA built "12 secret spy bases" in Ukraine & waged a 'shadow war' on Russia for the last decade
Kremlin responds to CIA 'revelations'
CIA has built vast anti-Russian spy network in Ukraine over the last 10 years - NYT
How the CIA destabilizes the world