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The extreme weather ravaging the southeastern United States could be the proverbial October Surprise to impact the presidential election, which is only three weeks away.
Political observers often speculate on a wild card event that upends the race to the White House. Usually, it is a debacle over a sudden political scandal involving one of the candidates, or a foreign policy setback such as the failure in 1980 to release American hostages held in Iran, believed to have cost Jimmy Carter that election to Ronald Reagan.
With fears of a looming war between Israel and Iran embroiling the Biden administration, that event might seem a likely risk to damage the chances of the Democrat candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris. Her Republican rival, Donald Trump, would no doubt make plenty of political hay over the Democrats "getting us into another endless war" - at a time when American voters are weary of foreign military misadventures.
However,
the annual hurricane season has wrought unprecedented destruction to multiple states in the U.S. along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. The political repercussions are piling up. As the Associated Press reported this week: "Back-to-back hurricanes are shaping the 2024 election."
Hurricanes Helene and Milton slammed into the U.S. - less than two weeks apart - and have wreaked apocalyptic devastation. Hundreds of people have been killed and hundreds more are still missing. Winds and tidal surges have destroyed millions of homes. It is estimated that the cost of infrastructure damage alone could reach $100 billion and quite possibly much more. Ominously,
there are several weeks left before the hurricane season ends.Compounding the chaos is a storm of political recrimination and disinformation. This election was already supercharged with divisive tensions and bitter polarization. The political atmosphere in the U.S. is as ugly as hell, generating fears of a civil crisis, whatever the outcome on November 7. Trump's bid for election is based on his incendiary claims that Biden and the Democrats stole the last one in 2020.
If he loses this time, there are real concerns that the constitutional order of the U.S. may go into meltdown. Even if he wins, the system faces a crisis from deep-seated opposition to another Trump administration.
Comment: A number in the US establishments would like to welcome more nuclear strikes.
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