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Thu, 08 Dec 2022
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Stromboli volcano eruption triggers 1.5m tsunami

stromboli volcano italy
© Valery Hache/AFP/Getty
Smoke rises from the Stromboli volcano on September 13, 2022. Stromboli, one of Europe's most active volcanoes, is part of the seven-island Eolian Archipelago of Sicily in southern italy.
The Italian authorities have reported 4.6-magnitude earthquakes near the Aeolian Islands

Earthquakes and tsunami waves have been registered in the Tyrrhenian Sea off the coast of Sicily after a volcano violently erupted on the Italian island of Stromboli on Sunday.

According to Italy's National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (INGV), the tsunami was caused by the detachment of a large piece of the Sciara del Fuoco section of the Stromboli volcano, which slammed into the sea, creating tsunami waves one and a half meters high.

Sirens were triggered on the island to alert the population, but the civil protection department has said that no people were injured in the incident and reported that the property damage was "insignificant," as the waves barely managed to reach the coast.

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Hundreds evacuated after Indonesia's Semeru volcano erupts

A man looks on as Mount Semeru releases volcanic materials during an eruption on Sunday.
© AP
A man looks on as Mount Semeru releases volcanic materials during an eruption on Sunday.
Indonesia's highest volcano on its most densely populated island erupted early on Sunday, spewing a column of ash 1.5km into the air and prompting evacuations of residents from the eruption area.

Lava flowed down Semeru's slopes, traveling toward a nearby river, while several villages were blanketed with falling ash, blocking out the sun, but no casualties have been reported.

Several hundred people were moved to temporary shelters or other safe areas, according to Joko Sambang who heads the disaster management agency in Lumajang, East Java province.

People were advised to stay 5km from the crater's mouth, and avoid the southeastern sector area along the Besuk Kobokan river located about 13km (8 miles) from the crater.

Bizarro Earth

Volcano eruptions on the rise with Solar Minimum

Solar Cycle 24
© Armstrong Economics
We are now in Solar Cycle 25 with peak sunspot activity expected in 2025. Solar Cycle 24 which ended in December 2019, was of average in length, at 11 years. However, it was the 4th-smallest intensity since regular record keeping began with Solar Cycle 1 in 1755. We're now in Solar Cycle 25 and we are still in Solar Minimum conditions at this time. Solar Maximum is predicted to occur midway through this cycle which may come as soon as November 2024 but no later than March 2026, with this ideal peak reaching most likely by July 2025.

Right now, the solar wave is conforming more to our model than that of NASA. The Sun has become far more active than NASA has forecast or expected. NASA is beginning to worry that this Solar Cycle 25 could become the Strongest Cycle Since Records Began. Effectively, in terms of our model terminology, Solar Cycle 25 may be a Panic Cycle. In other words, we appear to be headed into the strongest cycle on record following the weakest cycle. That is high volatility in cycle terminology.

So what does this mean for Markets?

Socrates Forecast
© Armstrong Economics
Since this Solar Minimum may continue into 2024, that appears to be a very major turning point on our global food index. Most of our models on markets are showing Panic Cycles in the 2027-2028 time period. That appears to be more war than nature.


Mauna Loa eruption: Hawaii residents told to prepare for evacuation amid gas and ash warnings

People living on the slopes of the Mauna Loa volcano on Hawaii's Big Island have been told to prepare for a worst-case scenario as it continues to erupt and belch volcanic ash into the air.

Waves of orange, glowing lava are flowing from the world's largest active volcano in its first eruption in 38 years and officials told residents to be ready to evacuate if lava flows start heading toward populated areas.

While the eruption of Mauna Loa isn't immediately endangering towns, the US Geological Survey has warned the roughly 200,000 people on the Big Island that an eruption "can be very dynamic, and the location and advance of lava flows can change rapidly".

Governor David Ige said: "Lava flows are not threatening any downslope communities at this time and all indications are that the eruption will remain in the northeast rift zone.


Two volcanoes in Russia's far east rumble into action

The Shiveluch volcano on the Kamchatka Peninsula in Russia's east has become extremely active, threatening a powerful eruption.(
© Geophysical Service of the Russian Academy of Sciences
The Shiveluch volcano on the Kamchatka Peninsula in Russia's east has become extremely active, threatening a powerful eruption.
Towering clouds of ash and glowing lava are spewing from two volcanoes on Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula and scientists say major eruptions could be on the way.

The peninsula, which extends into the Pacific Ocean about 4,000 miles east of Moscow, is one of the world's most concentrated areas of geothermal activity, with about 30 active volcanoes.

The sudden new activity followed a strong earthquake on Saturday, news reports said.


Ahyi undersea volcano likely erupting beneath Pacific Ocean

3D model of Ahyi volcano
There are strong indications that an undersea volcano in the Northern Marianas could be in eruption.

For several weeks, scientists of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) have been detecting acoustic underwater signals that bear signatures of underwater explosions and were now able to pinpoint their source to the Ahyi seamount, located in the Pacific about 6,100 km (3,800 miles) west of Honolulu.

If the suspicion is true, the volcano's eruption likely started in mid October when the signals appeared. Ships in the area are advised to avoid the area and be cautions in case the eruption or its products including steam, floating pumice rocks, gasses etc reach the surface.

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Magma rapidly rising beneath 'dormant' volcano Mount Edgecumbe in Alaska, 'rare reactivation' revealed in new study

Edgecumbe mount
© Max Kaufman /Alaska Volcano Observatory
Mt. Edgecumbe rises in the foreground with Crater Ridge behind and to the north on May 19, 2022.
Magma beneath long-dormant Mount Edgecumbe volcano in Southeast Alaska has been moving upward through Earth's crust, according to research the Alaska Volcano Observatory rapidly produced using a new method.

The new approach at the observatory could lead to earlier detection of volcanic unrest in Alaska.

At Mount Edgecumbe, computer modeling based on satellite imagery shows magma is rising to about 6 miles from a depth of about 12 miles and has caused earthquakes and significant surface deformation.


Dramatic video of Stromboli volcano eruption in Italy

Lava spews and smoke billows as Italy’s Stromboli volcano erupts

Lava spews and smoke billows as Italy’s Stromboli volcano erupts
Footage shows an up close view of a volcano erupting on the Italian island of Stromboli.

Arrow Down

'We own the Science' brags UN chief who works with Google to suppress climate skeptics

© Jens Protest against Google’s CCP-compliant-censorship in 2006
Once upon a time Google had the best search engine in the world but solo unfunded skeptics had all the fun and were outscoring the UN, academia, and official government sites.

So the UN stopped competing and just colluded with Google to rig the game:

Melissa Fleming: (Under-Secretary for Global Communications at the UN) "We partnered with Google. For example, if you Google 'climate change,' you will, at the top of your search, you will get all kinds of UN resources. We started this partnership when we were shocked to see that when we Googled 'climate change,' we were getting incredibly distorted information right at the top. So we're becoming much more proactive. We own the science, and we think that the world should know it, and the platforms themselves also do. But again, it's a huge, huge challenge that I think all sectors of society need to be very active in." (Full transcript here)

Naturally this bragging was at the World Economic Forum — the hippest conference-cum-holiday club that can be called a tax deduction for the uber-ultra-rich and their minion political puppets.

Where else could people say smug totalitarian lines with a straight face: "We Own The Science and we think the world should know it".


This week in volcano news; Mauna Loa earthquake swarm, alert level raised at Taupo

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (La Réunion):

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (La Réunion)
This week, the alert level at the Taupo supervolcano in New Zealand was raised for the first time. Meanwhile at Mauna Loa in Hawaii, a new shallow earthquake swarm began during the volcano's continued yellow alert level. And, on Reunion Island, a new volcanic eruption began at the Piton de la Fournaise volcano, sending flows of molten rock down the volcano's edifice. This video will discuss these volcano related news stories, as told and analyzed by a volcanologist.