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Lockdowns will cause 10 times more harm to human health than COVID-19 itself, says infectious disease expert

corona dilemma

The Corona Dilemma, as described by economist Paul Frijters, The London School of Economics
The harm caused by lockdowns is much worse than the disease of COVID-19. That's the argument from numerous public health officials and economists around the world, including an Alberta expert in infectious disease and critical care, Dr. Ari Joffe of the Stollery Children's Hospital and the University of Alberta.

"I'm truly worried the (lockdown) approach is going to devastate economies and the future for our children and our grandchildren," says Joffe, who has practised at the Stollery for 25 years and has now written a review paper on the impacts of the lockdown.

The cost of lockdowns in Canada is at least 10 times higher than the benefit in terms of population health and well-being, he estimates, at least if you account for numerous variables such as economic recession, social isolation and impacts on life expectancy, education and the full gamut of health-care priorities.

If you look at the issue worldwide, lockdowns will cause at least five times and, more likely, as much as 50 times more harm than benefit.

Many public health experts continue to implement mandatory lockdowns, as seen recently in Ontario and Quebec. But Joffe no longer supports most such measures, which is an about-face from his position in March.

Comment: Meanwhile, there is this bit of correspondence from Ellen Townsend, published the Lancet:
The lockdown to "flatten the curve" of COVID-19 has caused harm to many people globally. Over the past 6 months it has been nearly impossible to discern what the UK government strategy is in relation to the virus: suppression, or following of the model used in Sweden to foster community immunity? In mid-September, things became clearer: the UK is on a course for suppression until a vaccine or effective mass testing is in place. For good measure, UK residents have all been punished by new limits to the number of people socialising together, and have been warned that further restrictions could be imposed unless their supposedly reckless social behaviour improves. Frightening graphs depicting scenarios rather than predictions have been used to terrify people about the resurgence of the virus. However, it might be years before a safe vaccine is available, and the mass testing proposal dubbed moonshot is scientifically unsound and could do more harm than good.

There is another way. One which takes account of the fact that COVID-19 does not have equal effects across age groups: for young people the risk of COVID-19 seems to be very low but the mental health of young people has been disproportionately affected during this crisis. We should allow young people to go about their lives normally and protect those who are older and more susceptible in a humane and compassionate manner; infectious diseases specialists have good ideas about implementing this suggestion. However, in late September, hundreds of healthy, young students in Scotland and Manchester, UK, have been locked down, banned from visiting home and family, and threatened that they might not be able to go home for Christmas. It is hard to see how this policy is within the bounds of human rights and I am deeply concerned about the impact of such measures on mental health and wellbeing.

Many people have highlighted the need not to medicalise natural reactions to the global crisis that the global community is facing as a mental illness. However, the global community cannot, and should not, ignore the evidence amassing to suggest that people of all ages are struggling. Increases in suicidal ideation and self-harm have been observed among young people in China before and after lockdown according to prospective studies that were able to collect cohort data. It is clear that young children have been badly affected by lockdown.

Moving forward, nations should prioritise young people. They have suffered immensely in this crisis and sacrificed a lot. Moreover, the economic devastation will have an enormous impact on young people who will bear this burden for years to come. The association between economic downturn and suicide has been shown repeatedly across the globe.Services and support for those in distress should now be prioritised and made easily accessible, in the virtual and real world. Mental health should not be left behind in this crisis. For young people, whole-school approaches involving mental health awareness have been shown to reduce suicidal ideation and behaviour. Such evidence-based mental-health interventions should be implemented, urgently, at scale in the community.



Bad Guys

Authorities: Damascus Grand Mufti killed in targeted terrorist attack

missile attack damascus
© SANA
Explosions over Damascus
Sheikh Muhammad Adnan Al-Afyouni was "martyred" as an explosive device planted in his car was detonated on Thursday night.

Damascus' grand mufti has been killed in a reported IED attack on his vehicle in the Syrian city of Qudsaya, according to state news agency Sana.

Info

New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: Half of Trump supporters believe QAnon's imaginary claims

QAnon protester
© Brian Snyder/Reuters
A man wearing a QAnon vest attends a "No Mandatory Flu Shot Massachusetts" demonstration in Boston on Aug. 30.
A full 50 percent of President Trump's supporters now believe the bizarre, made-up claims about an international ring of child sex traffickers at the core of the extremist conspiracy theory known as QAnon, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll — a disturbing sign of how susceptible partisans have become to bogus stories in an age of rampant polarization and unbridled social media.

The survey, which interviewed 1,583 registered voters from Oct. 16 to 18, shows that most of the registered voters (55 percent) say they've never heard of QAnon, including 44 percent of Trump supporters. And 59 percent of voters who have heard of QAnon describe it as "an extremist conspiracy theory with no basis in fact." (The survey has a margin of error of about 4 percent.)

Yet these numbers understate the degree to which awareness and even acceptance of QAnon's underlying falsehoods have permeated the right, regardless of how many unwitting adherents explicitly realize such fictions originate with QAnon itself.

Comment: Much of the nonsense spouted by Q is rather easily debunked. But does that mean there are no Democrats engaged in child sex-trafficking? Keep in mind that evidence for elite pedophile rings was around long before Q drops started showing up on 8chan. It's almost as if the entire idea is being dismissed due to its association with Qspiracies. Funny, that.

See also:


Bizarro Earth

Deadly knife attacker in Dresden was under German 'intelligence surveillance' on the day of the attack

dresden stab
German police say they have arrested an asylum seeker suspected of killing one person and wounding another in Dresden two weeks ago. Prosecutors are now treating the deadly stabbing as a possible terrorist attack.

A 20-year-old Syrian who stabbed one person to death and wounded another in Dresden was likely motivated by Islamic extremism, German prosecutors said on Wednesday.

The man was arrested on Tuesday evening, police and prosecutors in the eastern German city said. They said the suspect came to authorities' attention as a result of examining evidence at the crime scene.

Comment: RT provides more details:
The suspect was being monitored by Germany's domestic intelligence agency on the very day of the attack, following his release from prison just days before, the state of Saxony's head of police, Petric Kleine, confirmed on Thursday.


This begs the question as to where German intelligence, that were monitoring him on that very day, were at the time of the attack. This is a reccurring situation with terrorists committing atrocities whilst at the same time being under surveillance:

He added that the man was on security officials' radar as early as 2017. Police said that some 600 suspected Islamists in Germany are classed as posing a threat to the public.

The man was released from prison in late September, after serving a two-year sentence for promoting the Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS) terrorist group, according to local reports.

Kleine said the authorities had flagged up that the man was likely to commit further offences on his release. The head of the Saxony branch of the domestic intelligence agency, Dirk-Martin Christian, stated that round-the-clock surveillance had not been in place, but did not comment further.
A violent stabbing occurred in Paris just yesterday, and this comes on the heels of numerous other violent incidents in France in just the last month: Two women arrested for racially aggravated knife attack near Paris' Eiffel Tower

See also: 9 dead after 'racist' man goes on shooting spree at two hookah bars in Hanau, Germany - UPDATE

And check out SOTT radio's:


Sheriff

Third-degree murder charge dismissed against Derek Chauvin in death of George Floyd

derek chauvin
© Minnesota Department of Corrections/via Reuters
Former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin poses for an undated booking photograph taken after he was transferred to a Minnesota Department of Corrections state facility, June 2, 2020.
A judge on Thursday dismissed a third-degree murder charge against Derek Chauvin, one of four former Minneapolis police officers charged in the death of George Floyd.

Chauvin, who was released from custody this month on $1 million bond, will still face charges of second-degree murder and second-degree manslaughter, Hennepin County Judge Peter A. Cahill ruled.

Video shows Chauvin pressing his knee onto Floyd's neck for almost nine minutes while he is handcuffed and yelling that he can't breathe.

Comment: See also:


No Entry

Facebook fact checkers CENSURED me when I said Covid infection fatality rate was around 0.1%. But what do the latest studies say?

censored smartphone
© Getty Images / klevo
The world's top scientists can't yet be certain how deadly Covid-19 is, so why are Facebook's censorial police consistently flagging stories saying this is 'misinformation' & claiming the rate is NINE times worse than my estimate?

Covid-19 has impacted the world with massive force, a pandemic beyond anything seen in living memory. There has been an unprecedented reaction - some would say an unprecedented over-reaction. But what are the real figures, what is the true risk from the virus?

It is very difficult to know. At the start of any pandemic, no one knows how many people have been infected. As the World Health Organization states:

"Under-detection of cases may be exacerbated during an epidemic, when testing capacity may be limited and restricted to people with severe cases and priority risk groups (such as frontline healthcare workers, elderly people and people with comorbidities)."

Comment: See also:


Eye 1

UK lockdown: Supermarkets in Wales to remove 'non-essential items', Scotland told to prepare for 'digital Christmas'

supermarket

Wales lockdown: Supermarkets told to sell only essential items
Supermarkets will be unable to sell items like clothes during the 17-day Covid firebreak lockdown in Wales.

First Minister Mark Drakeford said it would be "made clear" to them they are only able to open parts of their business that sell "essential goods".

Many retailers will be forced to shut but food shops, off-licences and pharmacies can stay open when lockdown begins on Friday at 18:00 BST.

Retailers said they had not been given a definition of what was essential.

The Association of Convenience Stores and the Welsh Retail Consortium have written urgently to the first minister, expressing alarm over the new regulations.

Comment: Meanwhile in Dublin:

And so as we enter our dystopian future it is essential that people realise what this is really all about: Also check out SOTT radio's:


X

Then they came for the LEFT? Facebook 'mistakenly' deletes account of biologist & Big Tech critic Bret Weinstein

Bret Weinstein
© YouTube
Bret Weinstein, shown in a screenshot from his DarkHorse podcast, has warned of Big Tech's impact on free speech.
Facebook has been accused of trying to silence biology professor Bret Weinstein, after his account was deleted without explanation. Following an internet outcry, it restored his account, claiming it had been removed in error.

Weinstein, who rose to national prominence when he opposed a 2017 event at Washington's Evergreen State College banning white people from campus for one day, said on Thursday on Twitter that he had been "evicted" from Facebook. "No explanation, no appeal."


Comment: See also:


Bullseye

Great VIRAL Debate: Round 2: Dr Rancourt's Second Response

great viral debate rancourt
The gong sounds for Round Two of The Great VIRAL Debate. Track this debate's progress in our Coronavirus Debate Section. Dr Piers Robinson is our chair. Off-Guardian is your host. The proposition under debate is:
SARS-COV-2 merits suppression measures in order to combat the virus rather than the herd/community immunity approach
Dr Rancourt, arguing against the proposition, responds to Tim Anderson's first response from 17 Oct:

Tim spins a narrative about COVID-19, which is primarily intended to validate the state practice of medicine in select socialist jurisdictions ("China, Vietnam, Cuba, Venezuela, Syria"), while invalidating the state practice of medicine in select neo-liberal jurisdictions ("UK, USA, Sweden, Brazil").

Tim is focussed on political doctrine, and thus unable or unwilling to address my criticisms of his partisan views about COVID-19. I reiterate my criticisms below.

Likewise, it appears that Tim (who is in Australia) is significantly mistaken in terms of what actually occurred in Syria, according to a report by on-site investigative journalist Eva Bartlett.[1] Are Tim's interpretations of the actual events for other countries also mistaken?

Comment: See also:


Syringe

Lockdown till a Covid vaccine comes? It's too long to wait, and there's no guarantee it will be effective anyway

Vaccination
© Getty Images / Marcelo Hernandez
If you're pinning your hopes on a vaccine for Covid-19 bringing back 'normal life', think again. We won't see one until next year, not everyone will get it and it may not even stop transmission.

Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are all heading into lockdown in one form or another, and restrictions are being cranked up in England and Scotland. Cheerleaders for lockdowns say that we need to keep cases low until a vaccine arrives. But it is becoming increasingly apparent that such a policy would cost millions of jobs, discourage or prevent people from seeking treatment for other conditions and destroy basic freedoms long before mass vaccination is available.

The popular perception is that vaccination is a panacea. We get given a jab and, hey presto, we're immune from disease. But that doesn't really accord with reality in many cases. In an article for the Guardian, David Salisbury, the former head of immunisation for the Department of Health, says that the seasonal influenza vaccinations are only about 75 percent effective. On top of that, not everyone will get the jab. Salisbury notes that the seasonal flu vaccinations only reach 75 percent of over-65s. Doing the maths, 75 percent of 75 percent means that just 56 percent of that target group will actually get protected.

Moreover, as Salisbury points out, targeting the most vulnerable means that transmission won't be reduced much. For a vaccine to do that, we would need high levels of vaccination across all age groups, a far bigger task. He concludes, "We need to communicate the clear message that although targeted vaccination may offer some protection, it will not simply deliver 'life as we used to know it.'"

Comment: See also: