
© Flo Smith/NurPhoto/MCTA child walks between dusty tents to look for his family in the Quru Gusik refugee camp set up near the border with Syria, August 24, 2013. United Nations aid agencies say the number of children fleeing Syria has now reached one million.
Ahmad Nemah, a midlevel Syrian rebel commander, is certain there's sound military logic behind President Barack Obama's decision to delay U.S. missile strikes against the Syrian regime, but he's having a hard time persuading his subordinates. "I know that this is not a postponement but a strategic pause to . . . set up for a surprise attack," insisted Nemah, a former colonel in Syrian air force intelligence. "Of course, people are depressed, and I'm having trouble convincing everyone that there will be a strike."
There's a good reason why Nemah is having difficulty selling his argument to his fighters of the Free Syrian Army, the loose tangle of disparate guerrilla bands nominally backed by the United States and its European and Arab allies. Obama's abrupt decision on Saturday to delay the strikes that seemed just hours away is being seen in the region as the latest confirmation of an incoherent U.S. approach of mixed messages and unfulfilled threats that have driven America's standing to a new low.
"Washington doesn't understand the Middle East. His (Obama's) image here is of someone who is afraid of getting enmeshed in the machinations of the Middle East," said Maher Abu-Teyr, a political columnist with
Ad-Dustour, a semi-official Jordanian daily newspaper. "There is no trust in Washington in the area because (people) think Obama is weak."
He cited a "constant change in rhetoric and hesitation" by the United States since the brutal conflict erupted in Syria in mid-2011. Among other missteps, he said, was the U.S. reluctance to take action early in the conflict that might have bolstered moderate rebel factions before the rise of al Qaida-linked groups, which now dominate the opposition.
"Obama should have moved in the first six months of the Syria crisis, not now," said Abu-Teyr. "Now, all of his choices are very difficult because he took all of this time."
Obama has shifted several times since the August 2012 "red line" he first set against Syrian President Bashar Assad's use of chemical weapons. After cautioning Assad against even moving a "whole bunch of chemical weapons around," he didn't enforce the warning when the regime allegedly was detected in December mixing components for the nerve gas sarin, or when in March the United States followed Britain and France in accusing Assad of having used chemical weapons "on a small scale."