© Reuters / Omar SobhaniAn Afghan policeman looks at the bloodstains of victims outside a mosque where a suicide bomber detonated a bomb in Kabul, June 16, 2017.
Will the New Silk Roads, a.k.a. Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) ever manage to cross the Hindu Kush?
Temerity is the name of the game. Even though strategically located astride the Ancient Silk Road, and virtually contiguous to the US$50 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) - a key BRI node - Afghanistan is still mired in war.
It's easy to forget that way back in 2011 - even before President Xi Jinping announced BRI, in Kazakhstan and Indonesia, in 2013 - the
then US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton touted her own Silk Road, in Chennai. No wonder the State Dept's vision bit Hindu Kush dust - because it assumed war-torn Afghanistan as the plan's lynchpin.
The state of play in Afghanistan in 2017 is even more depressing. Dysfunctional does not even begin to describe the administration that emerged out of the fractious 2014 presidential election and which passes for a government.
Since 2002 Washington has spent a mind-boggling US$780 billion on its (unfinished) Operation Enduring Freedom. It has absolutely nothing to show for it - apart from
over 100,000 dead Afghans.
President Obama's much-touted 2009 nation-building-cum-counterinsurgency surge was, predictably, a disaster. Aside from reframing the global war on terror (GWOT) as Overseas Contingent Operations (OCO) it achieved nothing. There was no "clear, hold, and build";
the Taliban are back virtually everywhere.
Comment: Another location we could yet see the 100,000 or so Syraq theater ISIS vets pour into is the Philippines. For now the US is using locally-sourced merc products, but they might soon be injecting amphetamine-fuelled head-choppers into that mix.
Escobar also has good news on the Eurasian integration front: India and Pakistan have joined the Shanghai Cooperation Organization:
Meet the alt-G8: Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) welcomes India and Pakistan to become largest political organization