Director General of the WHO Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
The Director General of the WHO spoke on March 3, 2020 and shared this related to the coronavirus:
While many people globally have built up immunity to seasonal flu strains, COVID-19 is a new virus to which no one has immunity. That means more people are susceptible to infection, and some will suffer severe disease.This statement led to the greatest panic in world history as the media all over the world shared and repeated that the coronavirus was many, many times more deadly than the common flu.
Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected.
The problem is his statement is false. It was not accurate!
The Gateway Pundit reported yesterday, that the coronavirus fatality rate reported by the media was completely inaccurate and the actual rate is less than the current seasonal flu - the media was lying again. The false reporting of the coronavirus fatality rate of 3.4% in the media started with the statements made by the WHO in early March.
Here's a summary of the analysis from yesterday proving the Director General's statement was very misleading and materially false:
1. The fatality rate of the coronavirus was based on current data available of known positive cases and known deaths.
Oftentimes estimates have to be made because data is just not yet available. The Director General of the World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, used the fatality rate of coronavirus with known numbers and used this as his prediction of eventual mortality rate. This was a faulty assumption. Estimates usually involve obtaining information that is available and making estimates on what is not. We cannot tell the future but we can make educated guesses based on information available. This is what has been done with the coronavirus because this type of virus has apparently never been seen before.
2. Sometimes estimates are reasonable and sometimes they are wrong, and even way off.
The point is that whenever estimates are made of large unknown values they are always wrong because no one can tell the future. Sometimes estimates end up close and sometimes they are not and sometimes they are way off.
3. The current "estimate" for the coronavirus fatality rate according to the WHO is about 3.4%.
The estimate used most often is from the WHO based on the Director General's comments. The WHO estimates the mortality rate of the coronavirus to be around 3.4%:
The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated the mortality rate from Covid-19 is about 3.4%. That is higher than seasonal flu and is cause for concern - but even if it is correct, more than 96% of people who become infected with the coronavirus will recover.4. The same rate for this year's seasonal flu is 10% if you use the known data (but the media tells you it's .1%).
As The Gateway Pundit reported earlier, according to CDC numbers, in the US in the 2019-2020 flu season, there were 222,552 confirmed cases of the flu from testing and an estimated 36 million flu cases in the United States. There were 22,552 confirmed deaths from the flu.
The rate of the number of individuals who died from the flu to the number of individuals who were estimated to have had the flu is .1% (22,552 / 36 million). This is an estimate and the amount used above by the Director General of the WHO.
However, the rate of individuals who died from the flu to the number of individuals who were confirmed to have had the flu is around 10% (22,000/ 222,552). This is based on actual data similar to the rate for the coronavirus above.
5. Actual results for the coronavirus are lower than the flu.
Based on the above numbers, the actual fatality rate for those who were confirmed to have had the coronavirus is 3.4%.
The actual rates for those who were confirmed to have had the flu are around 10%.
The actual data shows that the fatality rate for those who had the flu (10%) is 6% higher than for those with the coronavirus (3.8%).
6. Current estimates between the flu and the coronavirus are not comparing 'apples to apples'.
The fatality rate that is commonly referred to in the media for the coronavirus is 3.4% from the WHO. This number is based on confirmed cases of people with the coronavirus.
The flu fatality rate provided by the CDC of .1% includes an estimate of individuals who had the flu (36,000,000). This rate includes an estimate of all people with the flu, most who were not tested for the flu.
The fatality rate for the coronavirus does not include those who had the coronavirus but were not confirmed. This is why the flu fatality rate is .1% and the coronavirus fatality rate is 3.4%!
The two rates are like comparing apples to oranges. By doing so the coronavirus fatality rate is way overstated when compared to the flu and the WHO and the media has created a worldwide crisis and panic by reporting these rates simultaneously!
The coronavirus is not more fatal than the flu based on current data available. It is much less fatal than the flu based on current data.
7. Those most at risk from the coronavirus are the elderly and sick (similar to the flu).
Similar to the flu, those most at risk of dying from the coronavirus are the elderly and the sick. The average age for those who died from the coronavirus in Italy is 81 years old. This is consistent around the world. There have been no known fatalities for any children 10 and under.
The sick are also at a higher risk similar to the flu. Current data shows that if you have no pre-existing conditions, your fatality rate if you contract the coronavirus is .9% (and what proportion of these cases are the elderly).
In summary, President Trump was right when he said the WHO's coronavirus fatality rate was much too high. Evidence proves the coronavirus is not as deadly as what was reported by the WHO and is continually repeated in the media. In fact, current data shows it is not as deadly as the flu. The elderly and the sick should be concerned and protected. Everyone else has little to worry about.Again, don't believe what the media is telling you. They are lying again.
Reader Comments
Every aspect of human life is impacted....from the cradle to the grave
And for what...a science that is based on the most illogical hypothesis known to man... I remember the words of Dr. Spock..highly illogical.
But of course, he was an alien species..
And the average age of deaths in italy is 80+ and, while it is not a nice thought, the terminal sick and elderly are the predominant ones affected. The average healthy person rides it out with minimal issues.
The government of Italy, as everyone knows, has locked down the whole country of 60 million people. So how many Italians have died from COV? Even by the standards of the useless and misleading diagnostic tests?
Ready?
As far as the Italian Higher Institute of Health knows, at this point: Maybe two. Maybe. Try to wrap your mind around that.
Seems the president of the Italian Higher Institute has some smarts. He understands that people who already have other serious health conditions, which have nothing to do with COV, can and do die from those other conditions, regardless of the fact that they’ve tested positive (on useless tests) for COV. He gets it. I predict a great future for him. If he keeps shooting his mouth off, he might find himself working as a weed puller in a forest. Or he might suddenly be diagnosed with the virus and find himself in isolation.
Grit your teeth and plow through this piece from Rome, 13 March 2020, Agenzia Nova: “Coronavirus: ISS [Italian National Institute of Health]: in Italy there are only two deaths ascertained so far due to Covid-19” (Italian, English)
“There may be only two people who died from coronavirus in Italy, who did not present other pathologies. This is what emerges from the medical records examined so far by the Higher Institute of Health, according to what was reported by the President of the Institute [Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS), Italian National Institute of Health], Silvio Brusaferro, during the press conference held today at the Civil Protection in Rome.
SOTT Focus:Breathe! Don't Succumb to the Pathological Hysteria from the Coronavirus Madness
I practice Family Medicine in Europe and as everybody knows by now, we're in the midst of Coronavirus madnessTM which we are told is now an official global pandemic. It's true that we're living...So for the people drowning in hand sanitizer and making forts out of copious amounts of bog roll you crack on and make sure your first in line to get your experimental vaccine 💉 like a good little Lemming.
Amazing everyone’s short memories. Two years of Russiagate lies by the media, about something that’s been PROVEN false and now they are to be believed verbatim about this Wutang virus.
CHILL. THE. F**K. OUT.
As the lyrics in this song point out wonderfully; You all will be just fine, don’t believe the hype. [Link]
He’s even wearing a mask so that should make ya feel better 🤣🤣🤣
Giggles
Good. Ok. Hadnt seen ya.... yea.. its nutso out there. Look!!
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[Link] UTAH
Hey...anyone in the Salt Lake City area to report on the earthquake swarm they had this morning?
The beginning reminded me of
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And the end of...
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The virulence (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 is between 1.4-6.5, with an average of 3.3. This means each person infected infects an average of 3-4 others. This mean estimate is much higher than the seasonal flu, which has an R0 average of 1.3. What this means is that SARS-CoV-2 spreads signficantly faster than the seasonal flu... it can go exponential very quickly where flu does not.
The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of SARS-CoV-2 is seen to be 2-3%. This is 20-30 times higher than the CFR of the season flu, which is around 0.1%. Most people with seasonal flu won't even report it, we just don't know about CoV2 yet.
SARS-CoV-2 can be transmitted without the infected showing any symptoms. This makes it much more difficult to prevent and manage. A literal time bomb / trojan horse.
Roughly 20% of SARS-CoV-2 infections result in serious symptoms that require medical intervention. This is more than 10 times the hospitalization rate of the seasonal flu.
Symptoms from SARS-CoV-2 can persist over a month compared to the seasonal flu where symptoms typically tend to clear after 5 days.
There is no vaccine for SARS-CoV-2 whereas people regularly get annual flu shots.Hence there is no herd immunity for SARS-CoV-2 to inhibit transmission across the population - which means that it can theoretically infect the entire population - no biological firewalls.
Now, consider the multiplicative effect that all of these attributes have for the virus.
Compared to the seasonal flu, SARS-CoV-2 (1) spreads faster; (2) kills far more; (3) is harder to control; (4) requires use of far more medical resources; (5) for far longer a period of time; (6) has no effective treatment; and (7) can infect entire populations.
These factors mean that SARS-CoV-2, if left unchecked, is far more likely to overwhelm a country's medical infrastructure quickly, as we are seeing already. And that is already WITH drastic action. Additionally, when medical infrastructure is overwhelmed, the CFR will skyrocket because we know that 20% of cases require medical intervention. It doesn't take a genius to piece it all together. This virus is potentially devastating if containment measures fail. Far worse than the seasonal flu.
It's that simple.
SOTT Focus:US CDC statistics seem to suggest seasonal flu twice as deadly as Coronavirus. So why the hell has civilization ground to a halt?
I've been warning for the past few weeks so just take a look at the numbers from the W.H.O. and in an "apples to apples" comparison, the Coronavirus has HALF the mortality rate of the seasonal flu...6.1-magnitude earthquake hits off coast of Vanuatu - USGS
A 6.1-magnitude earthquake has hit off the coast of the island state of Vanuatu in the South Pacific, according to the US Geological Survey (USGS). The earthquake was registered at 03:13 UTC. The...BB: also
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The Achilles Heel of viruses: They are generally pH-sensitive
There are certain important subjects that doctors and world health officials do not want you to know about. The fact that most viruses and all physiological processes in the body are pH sensitive...