Earth ChangesS


Cloud Grey

Melbourne tracks towards cold snap record


news.com.au
Tue, 12 Nov 2013 14:11 UTC
Melbourne looks set to shiver through its longest November cold snap in more than 20 years.

The city hasn't hit 20 degrees since Friday and isn't forecast to top that until Sunday.

Senior weather bureau forecaster Peter Blake says that would make it a nine-day cold stretch not seen since 1989.

"At this time of year, to have an extended run of below 20, obviously doesn't happen that often," he said.

Isolated showers, overcast skies and highs of 16 to 19 degrees are forecast for the rest of the week.

But the cloud is expected to clear on Sunday for a mostly sunny afternoon with a high of 21, rising to 23 on Monday.

"So there is relief in sight," Mr Blake said.
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Snowflake

Record snowfall blankets Havre, Montana

Tim Leeds
Havre Daily News
Mon, 11 Nov 2013 14:05 UTC
What the winter will bring is still unclear

A second snowstorm hit north-central Montana over the weekend, bringing enough white stuff to tie a National Weather Service record for Havre on Nov. 10 set at 4 inches in 1916 and bringing some slippery driving conditions to the area.

Once again, the winter conditions are not expected to last, with temperatures expected to be in the 20s to 30s, depending on the forecaster, today and back into the 40s or even 50s later in the week.

The forecast calls for mostly sunny skies through the weekends with temperatures expected to drop some by Saturday or Sunday.

The long-range forecast still is up in the air, with The Farmers' Almanac predicting the region including Montana will be piercingly cold with about-normal snowfall, while the Old Farmers' Almanac predicts colder-than-normal winter temperatures here, with lower-than-normal precipitation and snowfall.
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Blue Planet

SOTT Focus: Preparation for the coming storm

Larry Bowers
Sott.net
Mon, 11 Nov 2013 09:25 UTC
Our current collective condition has never been more precarious - at least not in our lifetime. Worldwide economic collapse seems certain, only the timing and severity can be debated. The planet seems to be convulsing through all kinds of changes, from weather extremes to increased earthquake/volcanic activity, to mass animal die-offs, to greatly increased bolide/fireball events.
Image
© sott.netRecent US fireball reports (including sound and fragmentation)
Some of these changes are reflected in changes we can see occurring on other planets in our solar system, and may be related to the bizarre behavior of our sun and/or the nature of space around our solar system. Respected meteorologists and atmospheric scientists are warning of an impending ice age - the beginning of which could occur rapidly and with little warning. Secondary concerns have been widely expressed regarding worldwide food supply, not to mention rising prices and environmental instability.

The point here is not to stimulate panic. The point is to focus on what we can do as individuals and groups to prepare a living environment that is mindful of potential threats - an environment we can create with the means at our disposal. Just thinking and planning around this is preparation itself.
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Ice Cube

'January temperatures' in November? First snows hit East Coast as arctic blast sweeps across the U.S.


Daily Mail UK
Tue, 12 Nov 2013 08:32 UTC
A biting arctic blast rattled from the Midwest to the Northeast this morning, sending temperatures plummeting and blanketing some areas with snow and sleet. Parts of New York, Chicago and New England, among others, are seeing the first snows of the season while nearly a third of the country can expect temperatures 10 to 20 degrees below normal for this time of the year, meteorologists warned.

Temperatures in the Great Plains and Upper Midwest dropped as low as single digits on Tuesday morning, while Texas and mid-Atlantic states saw temperatures in the 20s, NBC reported.

In Chicago on Monday, the National Weather service recorded 0.4 inches of snow - the first of the season and a week ahead of schedule - and today, the temperature is expected to reach 24 degrees, which is 11 below normal for the date. And the Weather Service reported that even the Southeast can expect surprisingly low temperatures in the teens.
Image
Low temperatures: Nearly a third of the country is experiencing temperatures between 10 and 20 degrees lower than normal for this time of year. This map shows the temperatures this morning
Additional images
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People

Typhoon Haiyan overshadows UN climate change talks in Poland

Monika Scislowska
The Independent
Tue, 12 Nov 2013 07:05 UTC
Philippine delegate weeps at UN climate conference
© UnknownPhilippine delegate weeps at UN climate conference
The devastation caused by Typhoon Haiyan cast a gloom over UN climate talks Monday as the envoy from the Philippines broke down in tears and announced he would fast until a "meaningful outcome is in sight."

Naderev "Yeb" Sano's emotional appeal was met with a standing ovation at the start of two-week talks in Warsaw where more than 190 countries will try to lay the groundwork for a new pact to fight global warming.

UN climate chief Christiana Figueres also made reference to the "devastating impact" of the typhoon in her opening speech, and urged delegates to "go that extra mile" in their negotiations.

Scientists say single weather events cannot conclusively be linked to global warming. Also, the link between man-made warming and hurricane activity is unclear, though rising sea levels are expected to make low-lying nations more vulnerable to storm surges.

Nevertheless, extreme weather such as hurricanes often prompt calls for urgency at the UN talks.

Comment: What happened in the Philippines as a result of the recent typhoon is tragic. It is therefore also important to direct the focus where it belongs and not use this loss of life to propagate false ideas about climate change.

Warming has occurred, also on some of our neigbouring planets such as Mars, but that warming has stopped here on planet Earth and it looks more like a global cooling is on the cards as the activity on the sun is getting eerily quiet.

As for the Philippines, the lack of sufficient infrastructure has more to do with the extent of the damage seen than global warming, and that lack of sufficient infrastructure is in no small amount due to the in all but name colonial exploitation of the Philippines by the ponerological elite of the world.

Rising global temperatures on Mars melt hints at solar-system-wide, not human, cause for warming
German scientists: Solar cycle 24 points to Dalton or Maunder-like minimum, boding ill for a climate cooling
Shock Doctrine in action: Anglo-Saxon elites send warships, destroyers and special forces to 'protect' crisis-hit Philippines

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Arrow Down

Accumulated Cyclone Energy of all cyclones below normal

Bjørn Lomborg
Watts up with that
Tue, 12 Nov 2013 06:23 UTC
It is phenomenal. Climate campaigners like [John] Vidal in Guardian keeps arguing that the terrible typhoon Haiyan shows we need to do more about global warming.

Yet, even *after* Haiyan, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of all cyclones in the Western North Pacific is below normal (99%, http://models.weatherbell.com/tropical.php). The global ACE is at 74%.

As you can see in the graph below (updated Nov 10), both Northern Hemisphere ACE and global ACE are at the lowest since the 1970s.
Global running ACE
© Weatherbell.com

Comment: It is also worth pointing out that there has been no warming for the last 15+ years and that it looks more likely that we are entering a cooling climate if not a full blown ice age.

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Info

USGS: Magnitude 6.6 - 172km S of Ust'-Kamchatsk Staryy, Russia


USGS
Tue, 12 Nov 2013 06:01 UTC
Earthquake, Russia
© USGS
Event Time
2013-11-12 07:03:51 UTC
2013-11-12 19:03:51 UTC+12:00 at epicenter

Location
54.681°N 162.286°E depth=47.2km (29.3mi)

Nearby Cities
172km (107mi) S of Ust'-Kamchatsk Staryy, Russia
300km (186mi) NE of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia
305km (190mi) NE of Yelizovo, Russia
321km (199mi) NE of Vilyuchinsk, Russia
2733km (1698mi) NNE of Tokyo, Japan

Technical details
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Better Earth

Flashback Rising global temperatures on Mars melt hints at solar-system-wide, not human, cause for warming

Kate Ravilious
National Geographic News
Thu, 01 Mar 2007 14:43 UTC
Image
© NASA Mars's southern polar ice cap, seen here in true color, has shrunk in recent years due to planetary warming—similar to what's happening on Earth.

According to the latest science, the simultaneous rise in temperatures on Earth and Mars indicates a natural—and not a human—cause for global warming. But this doesn't stop the politicians maintaining that humans are responsible for Earth's climate changes and that the Mars phenomenon is mere coincidence.
Simultaneous warming on Earth and Mars suggests that our planet's recent climate changes have a natural - and not a human-induced - cause, according to one scientist's controversial theory.

Earth is currently experiencing rapid warming, which the vast majority of climate scientists says is due to humans pumping huge amounts of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

Mars, too, appears to be enjoying more mild and balmy temperatures.

In 2005 data from NASA's Mars Global Surveyor and Odyssey missions revealed that the carbon dioxide "ice caps" near Mars's south pole had been diminishing for three summers in a row.

Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of the St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia, says the Mars data is evidence that the current global warming on Earth is being caused by changes in the sun.

"The long-term increase in solar irradiance is heating both Earth and Mars," he said.
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Igloo

Best of the Web: German scientists: Solar cycle 24 points to Dalton or Maunder-like minimum, boding ill for a climate cooling

Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt
NoTricksZone
Mon, 11 Nov 2013 22:21 UTC
In October 2013 there was a considerable rise in solar activity as the sunspot number (SSN) climbed to 85.6. That's 77% of the mean value reached at this time into a solar cycle since 1750. The following diagram shows the current situation:

IceAge_1
© NoTricksZoneSSN versus months since the start of the cycle.
October 2013 deviates significantly from solar cycle number 5.

However we continue to believe that SC 24 will be similar to SC 5. Just how large the uncertainties of the correct description of the 5th cycle is shown by a recently published paper by Rainer Arlt of the Leibniz Institute Potsdam and Ilya Usoskin of the Finnish University of Oulo, who after examining the solar cycles between 1750 und 1850 reached the conclusion that the sunspot count should be lowered by 20%. SC 24 shown by the blue curve is, however, still very much below average, let alone well below the large cycles of the solar maximums from 1940 - 1990.
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Bizarro Earth

Geophysicists look into cause of earthquake outbreak in Central Oklahoma

Evan Anderson
News 9
Mon, 11 Nov 2013 21:12 UTC
Oklahoma Earthquake
© News9.com
Edmond - It's the question being asked across the state. Why are so many earthquakes rocking Oklahoma? Four hit Edmond Monday.

The answer may come from California.

A group of geophysicists are studying what they're calling "induced earthquakes," or quakes caused by human activity. The number of earthquakes to hit parts of Oklahoma have skyrocketed since 2009.

"It was a little unnerving," said North Edmond resident, Ken Janz.

The number of earthquakes felt over the last few years in Oklahoma have without a doubt been unusual. But, for Edmond resident Ken Janz and his family, it's almost becoming the norm.

The latest earthquake was a 3.3 magnitude around 3:15 Monday afternoon outside Edmond.

"It didn't sound like the last earthquake I was in, it was more just a loud boom, house shook momentarily," said Janz. "I thought maybe a tree or something had fallen over and hit the house."

"We've been aware of earthquakes caused by human activity for many, many, years," said California Research Geophysicist, Justin Rubinstein.
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