In late January, the British government warned "that more terrorist attacks in Russia (following the Volgograd attack in December) are "very likely to occur before or during the Winter Olympics in Sochi". (BBC, January 27, 2014).
As the Olympic torch reaches Sochi, CNN released, in a timely fashion, the results of an "authoritative" opinion poll (based on a meager sample of 1000 individuals): "57% of Americans think terror attack likely at Sochi Games".
Earlier news reports focussed on the mysterious menace of a so-called "Black Widow" terrorist attack emanating from Chechnya, Russia's hotspot of Islamic terrorism. According to a so-called "catastrophe expert" Dr Gordon Woo, a Black Widow attack "is almost certain to happen":
"Because of the history between the Russians and the Chechen people who splintered to form the Caucasus Emirate, Sochi is a prime target for terrorism," said Woo, who has advanced insurance modelling of catastrophes, including designing a model for terrorism risk. (International Business Times)
Comment: This is bad news for the German people. The constraints placed on the military in Germany and Japan in the postwar period, by freeing them from the burden of an imperialistic war machine, led to a golden age of export-led economic growth. Here's a crazy idea: maybe all countries should follow the policy of Ohnemicheltum (not with me).