Society's Child
In its chart of the day, BofA showed that the US is now clearly over the hump, with 142,000 COVID cases in the US on Monday, down 32% from the prior Monday with the seven day average also dropping to 209,000, down 16% from the peak on January 8th.
In another good sign, the bank said that "testing is increasing and the share of tests that come back positive is falling" and cheerfully adds that "It seems clear that an end to the holiday season, a modest increase in restrictions and a small increase in herd immunity is bending the COVID curve."
So is the beginning of covid's end truly nigh (coincidentally, just as Joe Biden walked into the White House)?
It would appear that the answer is yes: as Goldman predicted last month, now that the US has administered 17.5 million vaccines and the pace has picked up to 6.4 million per week (19 per every 1000 people and almost 1million per day), Bloomberg today announced that Covid-19 hospitalizations in the U.S. fell by the most ever on Thursday, the latest sign that not only "relief may be coming to a health-care system that's been fighting the virus for almost a year", but that the pandemic appears to finally be under control.
Bloomberg cites the latest Covid Tracking Project data according to which, the number of people currently hospitalized with Covid dropped by 2,773 in a single day to 119,927, while the one-week drop of 9,020 was also a record, the data show. More importantly, the decrease is accelerating on a percentage basis.
To be sure, the absolute number of people with Covid-19 in hospitals is still extraordinarily high, and while the virus remains prevalent in much of the country, it is now following the hospitalization scenario laid out by Goldman...
... which said that "as vaccinations ramp with the targeted population we see the potential for significant further declines in US hospitalizations in the coming weeks" and in fact predicts no more covid-related hospitalizations in just a few months. The data also corroborates what we published in mid-December when we used Goldman's analysis when we explained "Why Covid Hospitalizations And Deaths Are About To Plunge."
Meanwhile, as Bloomberg notes "the U.S. is also entering the second month of its vaccination push, with 18 million doses of the vaccine administered, or 5.62 people per 100, according to the Bloomberg Vaccine Tracker. Fauci has estimated that the U.S. needs to vaccinate more than 70% of its people to return to a degree of normalcy."
Which means that between those Americans who already have natural immunity to covid (from having survived it) and those who will get the vaccine in the next several months, herd immunity should be a fact of life by the late spring (unless, of course, Fauci moves the goalposts again, or a new mutant strain with immunity to all vaccines mysteriously emerges in the next few weeks).
Reader Comments
A question: I recall reading a SOTTite saying that Zerohedge had joined the cancel culture? Censor culture? Something anti-freedom, anyway. Anyone recall?
RC
BBub: LOVE THE ZIGGY! I had to cram so many things to store everything in there . . . FIVE YEARS!
That CD is in my car's CD player right now. I once knew the whole album. I have a cool memory about when I first heard Star Man on the radio at about 3a.m. Got me looking out the window for UFO's. (Of course I had some creative assistance going.) DB RIP.
R.C.
Ps, SOTTites: If there's anything else about Z-Hedge, please advise. Thanks all.
RC
I have not thought of that LR song, Tight Rope in YEARS! Putting it on now. [Link] (That beginning sounds like an ELO song Mr. Blue Sky or whatever.) (Love "rubber-necked giraffe" et al. +Rhyming it with 'past'. )
I saw him in Orlando ~
RC
That line of his from A Song For You, "I love you where there is no space and time" is probably one of the coolest lines I have ever heard in a song...[Link]
LR RIP.
*Did you know that his dad was an LA gangster - crony of Bugsy? See McGowan at [Link]
RC
Again: you don’t have to “prove” you’re a woman, (snip) You can just check “female” on the gender form, and you have immediate and unrestricted access to all women’s sports, and their locker rooms. You can go in there jacked, in a Gucci bathrobe, and just start jerking it at these whores.Check it out.
Unlike the army of teenage boys calculating their strategy once they’ve gained access to the girl’s locker room, I don’t think it is possible the Biden people have any strategy. It’s a full frontal assault (pun intended) on the middle class women who have remained their most powerful voting bloc. I don’t think it will make any of them rethink their absolute devotion to the establishment, but it will put them in a position where a few brave perverts might be able to land a load of hot jizz right between their eyes.
I want to see girls demonized as “Karens” by the media and kicked out of school for going on social media and complaining about how some dude jacked off on her face in the locker room, after dominating her in track and field. [Link]
RC
Nah, I’m just joking. If I was 14, I’d be registering my gender as “female” right now, and strategizing plans to blow loads on the most obnoxious of these sluts first, calculating the trajectories like of the ejaculatory explosions like I was Chris Kyle.RC
covid reverts to flu after trump murdered millions of democrats in NY
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