OF THE
TIMES
"We have about 50% of the world's wealth but only 6.3% of its population. This disparity is particularly great as between ourselves and the peoples of Asia. In this situation, we cannot fail to be the object of envy and resentment. Our real task in the coming period is to devise a pattern of relationships which will permit us to maintain this position of disparity without positive detriment to our national security. To do so, we will have to dispense with all sentimentality and day-dreaming; and our attention will have to be concentrated everywhere on our immediate national objectives. We need not deceive ourselves that we can afford today the luxury of altruism and world-benefaction."
~ US State Department, 1948
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Depeding on the metrics used to quantify Solar Activity, Solar Cycle 24 is weaker than the 100 yr cycle, and even matches the 200 yr cycle (Dalton Minimum).
It is also doing something akin to the Maunder Minimum, which is diving back down at nearly the same slope it came up on.
And, it's doing some things nobody expected:
1.) Shrinking the umbral (darkest areas) of sunspots, which if continued will make it die off even faster (a la the last cycle before the Maunder Minimum).
2.) Failing to converge the North and South Sunspot belts.
It must be borne in mind that the telescopes used to observe in the early days were far inferior to the optics of even the 19th Century. And they did NOT count sunspots until the 1850's. They counted the Sunspot Groups, and Galileo started that.
What will the Sun do next?
Go half dark, as in the time of Justinian?
Go Maunder and give almost no spots for 80 years, save a few half-hearted sputters?
Go Dalton, and give few spots for 40 years?
Go Sporer or Wolfer Minimums, doing who knows what (we have no data on those times)
Go postal, sending out a monster flare to make up for the lack of other output (Svalgaard)?