The research, published this week in the International Journal of Clinical Practice, used local authority data to predict the cumulative spread of the virus since the beginning of the outbreak.
"What we're saying in this study is that far more people than was thought may actually have had some exposure to the virus," Heald said.
The researchers calculated the R rate (by which contagion reproduction is measured) within each local authority area going back to the second half of April. From there, looking at variations across areas with more or fewer cases, they extrapolated that one in four people, or 25 percent, could already have had the infection. However, Heald cautioned that this is "not an absolute number." Rather, he said, it is a "projection, an estimate that was based on the data that was available at the time."
We certainly feel as physicians... that many people have had what we call a mild dose of this virus and may not have noticed that they had it.Asked if authorities should begin lifting restrictions in areas where people are less likely to get affected, Heald said it was a "difficult" question to answer because, while "in theory it's a great idea," in practice it may be harder to police.
"The notion that I, sitting in Manchester, would have a different level of restriction to someone living in central London is maybe good in theory, but actually making that work in practice is very hard," he said.
Reader Comments
they have the heavy duty stuff. and will probably sell it to you if you carry yourself properly.
while you are there, ask for a case of "PLEATED' air filters. most residential systems utilize 1 inch air filters. if you can modify the opening to accept a 2 inch commercial type filter. you should do so.
if you really want or need to get serous. ask them for some 'filter spray'.
either way, always remember Love, that HEPA means 'high efficiency particulate arrestance' ergo, the dirtier that it gets... the better that it works.
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