LAURA KNIGHT-JADCZYK AND JOE QUINN
Since the 9/11 attacks, no book has provided a satisfactory answer as to WHY the attacks occurred and who was ultimately responsible for carrying them out - until now.
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Yes indeed. It would probably take out a whole large county
Mark Boslough, a physicist at Sandia Labs. used their Red Storm supercomputer to simulate the airburst of a 120 meter stoney asteroid.
You can see the simulation at: [Link]
A 400 meter object would do even worse.
"The breakup of comets is now a well recognized path to their destruction" ~Bill Napier
A comet that comes at us "from a sunward direction" will be on the outbound leg of its orbit. And it will have just passed through the most stressful part of its orbit as it went through perihelion. So Yeah, expect a very large cluster of smaller fragments, instead of a single, large chunk.
Instead of a cannon ball, think grape shot, or giant shotgun blast.
"Radar tracking last month, with the asteroid 2.3 million kilometres away, meant "we were able to rule impacts out entirely for the next 100 years." "
This is the most ignorant statement I've read from a so-called scientist in recent times, if I'm interpreting it correctly. Such an idea has been disproven over and over again by the discovery of large objects within our solar system mere *days* before they've come close to Earth, or impacted Jupiter. Steve Chesley should be embarrassed by such a ridiculous statement. Then again, since he's part of NASA, it's hardly surprising that such a statement would be made -- "we have everything under control, the Earth is safe, trust us!"
I think they meant that they can plot its orbit, and that of the Earth for the next 100 years well enough to rule out an impact of the object during that time. That's an easy enough task for any good astronomer, given enough observational data on it's orbit. And the radar gives them that. The thing is, they've only been looking for them at this level of detail for the past couple of years. There are many more out there that remain undetected. And the detailed searches are just getting started.
But in spite of their 'Go back to sleep. There's nothing to worry about' atutide, "from a sunward direction" also means that it's in an Earth-crossing orbit. And it's going to be coming back again, and again, for a hell of alot longer than just the next 100 years. Sooner or later it's gonna make landfall. And we're gonna have our very own celestial train wreck.
Don't worry though. We won't have to wait around another century for that one to hit in order to witness a major impact event. The one to be afraid of is much bigger, much scarrier, and it hasn't been spotted yet.
This a near miss, I mean near hit. It may not hit us this time around but what about the next time? Correct me if I'm wrong, I believe 400 meters wide is big enough to take out a city. Yes?