|
Signs Supplement: Climate
and Earth Changes
October-December 2002
- Severe to exceptional drought
continued throughout much of the western United States, specifically
the Intermountain West. A continuation of above average precipitation
in the eastern U.S. brought significant drought recovery, as a
turn toward wetter weather which began in September continued
in December.
- Unseasonably warm temperatures exacerbated severe drought conditions
across Australia. Maximum temperatures in Melbourne reached 35.6°C
(96°F) on the 2nd, which is over 11°C (20°F) above normal for
the month of December. Temperatures throughout much of Australia
were 1-2°C (1.8-3.6°F) above average for the month
of December.
- Wildfires which continued in New South Wales in early December
were characterized as the worst in nearly 30 years (BBC News).
Around 70 brush fires burned north, south and west of the city
of Sydney, with about 20 houses destroyed by the flames. Nearly
3,000 firefighters had responded to the blazes.
- An unusual drought that began during the summer of 2002 has
left Scandinavians with soaring electricity prices and possible
power outages. In Finland, reservoir levels which dropped to 10-year
record lows resulted in a 10 percent increase in energy costs
(Reuters).
- Precipitation in Helsinki, Finland totaled 9 mm (0.35 inches)
for the month of December, which is 49 mm (1.93 inches) below
normal.
- Across Africa, drought in Mauritania is described as the worst
in 20 years (World Vision). Malnutrition rates for children under
5 years of age rose to between 10 and 15 percent in parts of the
country.
- While locally heavy showers fell across parts of Ethiopia during
December, ongoing drought in the country was responsible for producing
food shortages for nearly 11 million people, as the drought cut
cereal production by an estimated 20 to 30 percent in 2002 (WFP/FAO).
- A large dust storm affected parts of Chad and Niger around December
3, significantly reducing visibility
|
TOKYO, Japan -- Four people are
dead after Tokyo was lashed with heavy rains and high winds from
the fast-moving Typhoon Higos.
Two people were killed by fallen power lines in Chiba prefecture
(state) near Tokyo, The Associated Press news agency reported a
National Police Agency spokesman as saying.
A building guard died in Yokohama when he was struck by a steel
window frame. In Miyagi prefecture, a 20-year-old Indonesian man
drowned while attempting to dock his boat, AP reported.
A woman is still missing and 55 others were wounded in the storm.
The eye of Higos, which means "fig" in the native language
of the Pacific island of Guam, passed over a peninsula 45 kilometers
(28 miles) west of Tokyo.
Because the typhoon was moving so quickly -- about 80 kilometers
an hour -- the destructive power of the weather dissipated.
But the strong winds and fierce rains forced the cancellation of
more than 200 flights before the weather system raced north to the
island of Hokkaido.
Higos, with occasional gusts as high as 180 kilometers per hour
(120 mph), also halted trains and prompted officials in some northern
cities to urge people to evacuate, fearing landslides, Reuters news
agency reported. At least 23,000 households lost power.
The typhoon was downgraded to a tropical storm as it passed over
Hokkaido on Wednesday. It was the third-strongest typhoon to ravage
Tokyo since World War II.
Almost a month ago the southern island of Okinawa was lashed by
Typhoon Sinlaku, bringing with it winds of up to 145 kph (90 mph),
injuring 29 people and cutting power to tens of thousands of homes. |
It is July 4, 1054 AD: At
dawn, astronomers in China and cave artists of the Anasazi and Mimbres
Indian tribes of the future desert southwest of the United States
gaze into eastern sky, as they often do. These people know the sky,
know each and every star as an old friend. But suddenly there shines
a dazzling star where none had been seen before.
Imagine their amazement.
In terms of brightness, the object initially seemed at least several
times brighter than Venus and for 23 days was readily visible against
a clear, blue daytime sky before it slowly began to fade. For a
total of 653 nights it could be seen with the naked eye, before
it finally faded completely out of sight.
The Chinese called it a "Guest Star," because it visited
for a while and then left. |
Leonardo, a mummified, 77-million-year-old
duck-billed dinosaur was only about three or four years old when
he died, but he's proving to be a bonanza for paleontologists today.
His fossilized skeleton is covered in soft tissue—skin, scales,
muscle, foot pads—and even his last meal is in his stomach. The
actual tissue has decayed over the millennia, and has been replaced
by minerals. What's left for scientists to study is a fossil of
a dinosaur mummy.
"For paleontologists, if you can find one complete specimen
in a lifetime, you've hit the jackpot," said Nate Murphy, curator
of paleontology at the Phillips County Museum, Montana, where Leonardo
makes his home. "To find one with so much external detail available,
it's like going from a horse and buggy to a steam combustion engine.
It will advance our science a quantum leap."
Leonardo is one of the most complete brachylophosaurus dinosaur
fossils uncovered to date, and the first sub-adult. He is also only
the fourth dinosaur fossil in the world to be classified as a "mummy"
because of the soft tissue that is preserved.
An onsite restoration drawing of how "Leonardo" may have
looked before burial based on observations and measurements of the
specimen. The drawing was done by paleolife artist Greg Wenzel.
The other three mummies were uncovered in the early 20th century,
when excavation and preservation techniques were not as advanced
as they are today.
"Paleontologists back then didn't have the techniques we have
today to coax out the secrets these fossils are holding," said
Murphy. "This specimen gives us a chance to apply modern scientific
techniques to answer old questions."
The mummified fossil was named Leonardo because graffiti near its
burial site in northern Montana read "Leonard Webb and Geneva
Jordan, 1917." Leonardo made his debut to the scientific community
today at the 62nd Annual Meeting of the Society of Vertebrate Paleontology,
taking place October 9-12, in Norman, Oklahoma.
Remarkable State of Preservation
When he died, Leonardo was a 22-foot-long (seven meters) teenager,
weighing between 1.5 to 2 tons. He sported polygonal, five-sided
scales that ranged from the size of a BB (airgun pellet) to the
size of a dime, and soft-tissue structures on his back suggest that
he had a little sail frill running up it.
Scales and tissue parts have been found on less than one-tenth
of one percent of all dinosaurs excavated. Leonardo's fossilized
skeleton is about 90 percent covered in soft tissue, including skin,
muscle, nail material, and a beak.
Skin impressions have been found on the underside of the skull
and all along the neck, ribcage, legs, and left arm.
"When the animal was alive, the skin was almost as soft as
your earlobe," said Murphy.
A three-dimensional rock-cast of the right shoulder muscle and
throat tissue, and the pads on the bottom of the three-toed foot
were also preserved.
Leonardo's stomach contents are so well-preserved that researchers
can tell what he had for his last supper; a salad of ferns, conifers,
and magnolias. The stomach also contained the pollen of more than
40 different plants.
All of these qualities should go a long way to providing concrete
information about the diet, range of movement, methods of locomotion,
and paleo-environment dinosaurs during the late Cretaceous (89 to
65 million years ago) experienced.
"We have the shoulder muscle to look at, so we can see how
much range of motion he had," said Murphy. "We should
be able to tell the size of his average step, how his chest muscles
worked, and if he was truly a quadruped or if he was bipedal."
"Paleontology is not an exact science," he said. "All
we have are bones, and from there we develop theories about what
the animals looked like, how they moved, and what they ate. A specimen
like Leonardo will take a lot of guess work out and really tell
us if Steven Spielberg's getting it right."
Discovery and Excavation
Dan Stephenson, of Minot, North Dakota, discovered Leonardo during
the last hour of the last day of a summer expedition in 2000 sponsored
by the Judith River Dinosaur Institute.
"He had the wisdom to not mess with it," chuckles Murphy.
"He went and got me and I knew right away we had a complete
skeleton. Looking at the geology, I told the team that this was
a great scenario for skin fossilization."
Excavation began in the summer of 2001, when a demolition expert,
using low-impact charges, cleared away the huge boulders on the
top of the hillside. A road to the site was cut, and a bulldozer
was called in to scrape off the hilltop. Team members dug a six-foot
-deep (two meters) trench around the fossil's perimeter, and then
went in with hand tools—the scalpels, brushes, and dental picks
that are a paleontologist's tools of trade.
Leonardo was disinterred from his cement-like grave as a single
6.5-ton block to preserve the skeleton. "He's in the record
books as the largest dinosaur taken out in one chunk; it was a monumental
undertaking," said Murphy.
The scientific work on Leonardo will keep paleontologists occupied
for years.
"It's like looking through a frosted glass window. With bones
you get an idea of what the animal looked like, but with soft tissue
you get to see how the animal is put together—it goes a long way
to clearing the frost," said Murphy. |
Packing winds of 160 miles per hour
(257 km per hour), Hurricane Kenna intensified into a Category 5 storm
on Oct. 25, 2002. Kenna is shown in this true-color image bearing
down on Mexico’s west coast.
This scene was acquired by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer
(MODIS), flying aboard NASA’s Terra satellite, on October 24. Category
5 hurricanes, the strongest category, are capable of causing catastrophic
damage. The storm is predicted to make landfall by late morning
on Oct. 25.
Image by Jesse Allen, NASA Earth Observatory; data provided by
the MODIS
Land Rapid Response Team, NASA GSFC
Monster
Hurricane Kenna Poses Severe Threat to Mexican Coast Hurricane
Kenna, the sixteenth tropical disturbance of the 2002 eastern Pacific
hurricane season, explosively intensified from a tropical storm
to a Category 5 hurricane in less than 48 hours. On October 25,
2002, Kenna made landfall on the western Mexican coast as a Category
4 storm. Kenna was born in the warm tropical waters of the eastern
Pacific south of Mexico on October 22 to become the strongest storm
to threaten the Americas in 2002.
This Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) overpass from
the afternoon of October 23 shows the rain structure inside the
rainbands and inner core of Kenna. Red and yellow colors indicate
the most intense rains. TRMM shows that the rainfall pattern is
highly asymmetric, with most of the rain falling west of the storm
center. TRMM also reveals that the tight, compact eye is well formed
and is flanked by towering thunderstorm clouds. These towers, which
are 16-17 km tall, contain the heaviest rains and act to energize
the core of the storm, sustaining winds of nearly 140 mph.
Images of Kenna and other 2002 hurricane season storms can be found
by visiting the official TRMM website at http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/. |
Four times since the last ice age,
at intervals roughly 3,000 years apart, the Northeast has been struck
by cycles of storms far more powerful than any in recent times, according
to a new study. The region appears to have entered a fifth era in
which such superstorms are more likely, the researchers say.
No one should necessarily start building dikes right away, say
the researchers, who reported their work yesterday in the journal
Nature. The stormy periods they identified each lasted a millennium
or more, and giant floods occurred only sporadically in those stretches.
Still, the work illustrates that natural extremes of weather —
what one researcher, Paul R. Bierman, a geologist at the University
of Vermont, called a "drumbeat of storminess" — are many
times greater than those experienced in the modern era.
The researchers spent several years extracting 12- to 20-foot-long
cores of sediment that accumulated over 13,000 years in the beds
of 2 lakes in eastern New York and 11 in Vermont.
Buried in the muck were layer-cake patterns of sandy soil, each
layer evidently formed when slopes crumbled under torrents of water
and were washed into the lakes. Some of these layers are 10 times
as thick as one apparently left by the greatest flood recorded in
Vermont, which killed 84 people, drowned thousands of cows and demolished
1,200 bridges in November 1927.
Layers that thick could be explained only by deluges far more
potent than the storm of 1927, the scientists said.
By helping to reveal elusive long-term patterns, the findings
could eventually improve long-term climate forecasts and models,
said Richard B. Alley, a Pennsylvania State University geologist
who is an expert on post-ice-age conditions and was not involved
with the new study.
"This work shows that extremes are not just acts of God that
happen to happen," Dr. Alley said. "They are linked to
larger patterns in the climate system that may prove to be predictable."
Experts in the emerging science of paleotempestology, which uses
such buried clues to discern past patterns of destructive weather,
called the work a significant advance. In particular, it is the
first study to compile data from many separate lake beds, reducing
the chance that the patterns resulted from fluky local conditions,
said Kam-biu Liu, a geographer at Louisiana State University who
has used the technique to study ancient hurricanes. Dr. Liu called
the new work "a triumph."
The clues from the lakes appear to mesh with evidence of other
periods of stormy weather around the North Atlantic, including variations
in traces of salt from sea spray locked in layers of Greenland glaciers,
the authors said. They also appear synchronized with the occasional
cold snaps in Europe that sent glaciers grinding forward down alpine
valleys, the study says.
The similar storm rhythms seen around the North Atlantic may mean
that the overall pattern is driven by slow cycles in a pole-girdling
wind and pressure pattern called the Arctic oscillation, which in
turn could be caused by cycles of solar activity, they said.
The lake records from the Northeast show that the region had much
stormier eras that peaked 11,900, 9,100, 5,800 and 2,600 years ago.
Then, about 600 years ago, another period of storminess appeared
to begin and has been "ramping back up again," Dr. Bierman
said.
The current trend is so prolonged and diffuse that the century-plus
history of recorded weather data is not long enough to pick up a
pattern. But it is etched quite clearly in the lake beds, said another
author, Eric J. Steig, a climatologist at the University of Washington.
The scientists checked to see whether influences other than big
storms might have made the surrounding earth more apt to crumble.
They considered forest fires, but found no evidence of raised concentrations
of charcoal in the lake bottom.
The likeliest source of each layer is an intense burst of precipitation,
perhaps on already soggy soil, over just a day or two, the researchers
said. Given the much greater thickness of many of the ancient layers
compared with those left by floods like the 1927 disaster in Vermont,
they said, society should at least ponder the potential for much
greater catastrophes.
In an interview, the researchers emphasized that there was no
way to quantify how severe the flooding might be, but they said
rainfall could reach several inches an hour — easily enough to cause
massive landslides, particularly if the soil was already soggy.
"This shows that in human experience, at least historical
human experience, we don't know what this climate system is capable
of," Dr. Steig said.
While revealing the rising potential for epic storms, the new
findings are likely to confound efforts to discern whether human
alterations of the atmosphere, particularly a buildup of heat-trapping
greenhouse gases, are increasing the frequency of severe downpours,
as many climate experts have predicted.
But the research could indicate that engineers and planners, when
considering the design of public works like bridges and reservoirs,
should take into account the possibility of extremely rare, but
extremely destructive, floods, said the study's lead author, Anders
J. Noren, formerly of the University of Vermont and now at the Limnological
Research Center of the University of Minnesota.
"If this cycle continues," Mr. Noren said, "the
frequency and severity of intense rainstorms that can cause massive
flooding should continue to increase for the next several hundred
years." |
Drought in the
western Indian state of Rajasthan has caused food shortages and widespread
migration among villagers, says a UK-based non-governmental organisation.
An Indian NGO recently reported the deaths
of at least 30 children in Baran district, about 400 kilometres
(250 miles) from the state capital, Jaipur.
NGOs say the spectre of starvation looms large
in several parts of the desert state, triggered by drought and subsequent
heavy crop losses.
But the authorities in Rajasthan have strongly
denied these reports. |
newscientist
November 02, 2002 |
The black hole at the heart of
our galaxy is being starved of food, say astronomers studying polarised
radio waves coming from the Milky Way's centre.
"Our observations show that the black hole is on a starvation
diet," says Heino Falcke, of the Max Planck Institute for Radio
Astronomy in Germany. The findings explain why this supermassive
black hole burns less brightly than monstrous black holes in other
galaxies.
The gravitational energy of matter falling into a black hole is
thought to be converted into radiation. Falcke and his colleagues
studied Milky Way's center using the Berkeley Illinois Maryland
Association (BIMA) array telescope.
They found high levels of polarised radiation thought to come from
the black hole's accretion disc - the hot layer of material swirling
around the hole. Radiation passing through the material in the disc
should be depolarized, so the high degree of polarisation observed
indicated that the disc had only a small amount of matter.
"Being able to say it is definitely not being fed very much hangs
together quite nicely with other work," he told New Scientist.
Black holes are thought to show varying activity, he says, and "there
must be something that wakes these monsters up. The most reasonable
explanation is something feeding them." |
Strong winds fanned more than 100
wildfires in eastern Australia yesterday as fresh blazes broke out
in bushland on the suburban fringes of Sydney. |
ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia --
Ethiopia is facing a famine that could affect as many as 15 million
people, the country's prime minister has warned.
Meles Zenawi called for urgent international aid to help avoid
a catastrophe on a scale that would dwarf the country's 1984-85
famine.
He told the BBC's Today programme: "The disaster we had in
84-85, the number involved was roughly one-third to one-half of
the number of people involved now. If that was a nightmare, this
will be too ghastly to contemplate."
Ethiopia needed huge amounts of food aid from international donors
to avoid another famine.
"Even if we had the food available in the domestic market
the government doesn't have the money to buy this surplus food for
redistribution," Mr Zenawi said.
"The current draught is unique because the short rains and
the long rains have failed.
"The latest information we have is that the number of affected
people could be as high as 15 million."
Christian Aid spokesman Andrew Pendleton said part of the problem
was Ethiopia's commitment to repaying international debts."Ten
percent plus of the Ethiopian government's revenues are spent on
repaying international debts.
"That is an enormous amount of money to take away from a country
that is critically poor."
"In the long term we have to take a look at why this keeps
happening again and again. Now we have to respond to the immediate
problem." |
Astronomers have discovered a mysterious
phenomenon that is making the Universe expand at an ever-faster rate.
|
Emergency workers and stunned
residents across the South and Great Lakes regions picked through
shattered homes and buildings Monday after a string of tornadoes
left at least 36 people dead and dozens injured.
Homes, schools, churches and businesses were flattened from Alabama
to Pennsylvania after more than 70 tornadoes touched down.
Most of those killed were in Tennessee, where 17 people died;
12 died in Alabama, five in Ohio, one in Pennsylvania and one in
Mississippi.
One of the hardest-hit communities was Mossy Grove in northeastern
Tennessee, where a tornado cut a swath about a mile wide and a mile
long, killing eight people in the Appalachian town and surrounding
Morgan County.
One of the town's residents remained unnaccounted for Tuesday,
according to Steve Hamby, director of emergency management in Morgan
County. As many as 150 people had been missing as late as Monday
afternoon.
On the wet grass on a rural road lay a television remote control,
prescription bottles and family photographs.
"Everybody's hugging each other and just glad to see that
everybody's all right," said Paulette Dyke, owner of a Citgo
gas station.
Dyke said her store survived intact only because the front and
back doors had blown open, allowing the wind to move through.
Four of the dead were in a car trying to outrun the storm when
the tornado tossed their vehicle. Another was a volunteer firefighter
who rushed to a scene and had a heart attack.
The storm hit during Sunday night services at the New Life Apostolic
Church in Mossy Grove, badly damaging the church. The storm partially
collapsed the building's roof and shattered glass, sending parishioners
scrambling under pews for safety. No one in the church was injured.
David Gunther said he grabbed his 3-year-old daughter, jumped under
a pew and started praying.
"When you have a child, you just want to protect them. That
was my first instinct," he told CNN. "We got in the doors
just in time."
"We were just praying like we had never prayed before. ...
God kept his hand on us," said another congregation member,
Kevin Davis.
In northwest Ohio there was vivid evidence of the devastation that
might have been. Rows of plush blue seats were all that remained
of the movie theater in the town of Van Wert, where dozens of people
were watching a movie minutes before the tornado hit with winds
topping 207 mph.
"All heck broke loose," said Scott Shaffer, who manages
the theater and evacuated the patrons to the cinema's cinder-block
interior. Some told stories of crowding inside the women's bathroom
for cover.
"It was all confusion and chaos. I never want to experience
that again," Shaffer said. "I'm still confused for words."
The town's mayor said an early-warning system gave them enough
time to find safety.
"I'm telling you today, there are 70 people alive, at least
in Van Wert County, that wouldn't have been had that system not
been put in place," said Mayor Steven Gehres.
Five people were killed and dozens more injured in Van Wert, Putnam
and Seneca counties. Ohio Gov. Bob Taft declared a state of emergency
in Van Wert and Ottawa counties.
Alabama officials credited early warnings and watches for saving
lives in their state. Still, the storms left 12 people dead -- 10
of them in Walker County, northwest of Birmingham.
"It's like somebody wrapped up sticks of dynamite and just
blew these homes into little tiny pieces," said Alabama Gov.
Don Siegelman on a tour of Walker County.
Siegelman declared a state of emergency across the state and said
officials with the Federal Emergency Management Agency would be
heading to the state Tuesday.
"This was a huge, devastating impact for the state of Alabama,"
Siegelman said. "We're going to do everything we can to help
get their lives, and their homes, and their businesses back together."
In Walker County, Carbon Hill Junior High was one of many buildings
badly damaged in the storm. That the storm struck on a Sunday, when
school was not in session, was a blessing, the governor said.
"There's always a silver lining on any dark cloud," Siegelman
said. (Read
more about damage in Carbon Hill)
In Mississippi's Lowndes County, a man was killed Sunday night
when storms swept through the area, an official said. Fifty-five
people were injured, 60 homes were damaged or destroyed and 10 businesses
were destroyed in the county, which borders Alabama. |
Introduction
The Hutton Commentaries (THC) has been saying from the beginning
that a shift in the poles of Earth’s rotational axis can only be
caused by a significant shift of mass somewhere within our planet.
Now, two scientists studying data on Earth’s gravity field have
found evidence of just such a mass shift that began in 1998. This
is the year in which Cayce readings 3976-15 and 378-16 said that
a forty-year-long period, from 1958-1998, marking the beginning
of predicted Earth changes would come to an end. Then, in 1998 and
beyond there would be “the changes wrought in the upheavals and
the shifting of the poles.”
We present evidence here that the “upheavals” may have begun in
the inner Earth between 1998 and 2002, where the liquid outer core
meets the overlying plastic mantle. This is the core-mantle boundary,
or CMB. Upheavals along the CMB may have been detected by means
of precision satellite-ranging measurements conducted since 1979.
Interpretations of the voluminous measurements between 1979 and
2002 have been published by two scientists, Christopher Cox and
Benjamin Chao, in the August 2 issue of Science magazine (p. 832).
Here follows their reasoning and their conclusions.
The Measurements
Earth’s equatorial diameter is about 27 miles longer than its polar
diameter. This slight pumpkin-like shape results from axial rotation
and large-scale mantle convection. |
As only 11,000 years has passed
since the last Ice Age, scientists can not be certain that we are
indeed living in a post-glacial Holocene epoch instead of an interglacial
period of the Pleistocene and thus due for another ice age in the
geologic future. Some scientists believe that an increase in global
temperature, as we are now experiencing, could be a sign of an impending
ice age and could actually increase the amount of ice on the earth's
surface.
...and Ice Age Now! |
ZURICH, Switzerland -- Torrential
rain and strong winds have whipped across parts of Europe causing
massive mudslides and severe flooding.
Worst affected are Switzerland where a mud bank swept through the
centre of one town, Austria where a derailed train left one person
dead, and northern Italy where a mother and daughter are feared
dead after their car was swept away.
But the heavy downpour has also forced dozens of residents to find
emergency accommodation in Scotland and tourists to wade knee-deep
in water around Venice.
While some parts have seen the worst of the weather, some heavy
rain was expected in Tuscany, Venice and Lazio in Italy on Monday.
Tonnes of mud dislodged by torrential rain slid through the Swiss
Alpine village of Schlans in the mountainous eastern canton of the
Grisons on the weekend, running right through the middle of the
town but sparing residents' lives.
The 10-metre wide (30-foot) wall thundered down the hill smashing
into a mill and farm buildings. A helicopter was used to evacuate
residents.
Dozens of people were also evacuated from the villages of Clavaniev,
Curaglia and Surrein and 100 more had to leave their homes in the
village of Lully near Geneva.
Landslides in the central canton of Uri and southern canton of
Ticino also shut down several roads and some rail links.
Major rail lines, including the Gotthard and Simpon routes through
the Alps that connect northern Europe with Italy, were closed on
Saturday, but later re-opened, Reuters said.
Hurricane-like winds derailed an Austrian train at Salzburg, killing
one person and injuring others after it came off the tracks, rescue
services told Reuters.
The area has been hammered by winds of up to 160 kilometres (100
miles) an hour since Thursday.
The whole of the Salzburg region was declared a "disaster
zone" on Saturday and a Red Cross spokesperson appealed to
local people to stay indoors.
Rescue workers have been unable to get to a mother and daughter
who had been swept away in their car on Friday near the Italian
Alpine town of Sondrio, 25 kilometres (15 miles) south of the Swiss
border.
Their car slid down a river bank into the water, and searchers
had seen no sign of the victims since, Lombardy region press official
tole The Associated Press.
Days of heavy rain have battered the northern regions of Lombardy,
Piedmont, Trentino-Alto Adige, Friuli-Venezia Giulia and Veneto.
Tourists waded through about a metre of water in St. Mark's Square
in Venice after levels reached their fifth-highest in the past 40
years.
In other parts of the north, a few small towns had been cut off
by landslides, several hundred people had evacuated their homes,
and some roads were closed.
In southern France a high-speed TGV train derailed after a mudslide
engulfed tracks between Lyon and Chambery, authorities told Reuters.
No one was injured.
Almost 200 French homes were evacuated and main roads were cut
off in the Valence area near Grenoble as the Rhone river and tributaries
swelled to more than two metres above safe levels. |
While the total of 12 named storms
in 2002 was higher than the 50-year average of 9.6 storms, the total
number of hurricanes was lower than the historical average and "half
the number we've seen in typical seasons since 1995," said
Gen. Jack Kelly, director of the National Weather Service.
Hurricane experts are attributing the mildness of the season to
a strengthening El Nino system, in which water warms in the Pacific
Ocean off of South America, affecting weather around the world.
Hurricane Lili, which hit the Louisiana coast in early October,
was the only hurricane to make landfall in the United States this
season. Lili reached a strong Category 4 intensity while churning
across the Gulf of Mexico, prompting evacuations. But the storm
weakened considerably in the hours before coming ashore and did
not cause widespread destruction.
However, six tropical storms that didn't reach hurricane strength
hit the mainland in 2002, the highest number since at least 1900,
according to an analysis by hurricane researchers at Colorado State
University. |
CHARLOTTE, North Carolina
(CNN) -- An unseasonably early winter storm bore down on the Carolinas
late Wednesday, bringing with it ice, freezing rain and heavy snow.
The storm already wreaked havoc from the Oklahoma panhandle to
the mountains of Virginia and Tennessee.
Power was cut to thousands in North Carolina, and utilities in
other states like Kentucky and Virginia were still waiting for the
worst to come.
Temperatures plummeted to freezing and below as rain turned to
sleet and ice mixed with snow from the North Carolina mountains
to Charlotte.
Forecasters said the storm could leave parts of the Carolinas coated
with an inch of ice -- and up to a million people without electricity.
"The most dangerous place for icing remains in the western
and central part of the Carolinas," said Wes Junker, a meteorologist
with the National Weather Service. Reports of ice buildup in western
South Carolina were already starting to come in Wednesday night.
Street maintenance crews in Charlotte covered all their streets
with salt and slag, the pumice-like byproduct from the local steel
foundry, said district superintendent Ken Martin. That meant area
roadways were still dangerous, but "in pretty good shape"
by the evening, he said.
Elsewhere in North Carolina, especially in the western part of
the state, most areas were deemed treacherous because of the snow
and ice, said Kelly Hutchinson, an engineer with the state Department
of Transportation.
"We have bad conditions pretty much everywhere west of I-95,
the western two-thirds of the state," she said. The worst areas
are those near the Tennessee state line, she said.
South Carolina transportation officials said interstates around
Greenville and Spartanburg, in the western part of the state, had
ice and slush.
Duke Energy reported 30,000 people without power Wednesday evening,
the bulk of them in Greenville and Anderson, near the Georgia state
line.
South Carolina Gov. Jim Hodges closed state offices in the 22
counties that appeared most likely hit by the storm.
Heavy snow mixed with sleet slipped into east Tennessee's Tri-Cities
area about mid-day Wednesday, and quickly got deeper.
Weather warnings expired for Arkansas Wednesday night, but tens
of thousands were still without power there after the storm went
through the night before.
Some 60,000 people had no electricity at the peak of the outages,
said Jennifer Gordon, a spokeswoman for Arkansas Emergency Management.
Several towns on the storm's path through the northern part of
the state may have to wait longer, perhaps until Saturday, because
of broken power poles as well as downed power lines.
Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Mary Fallin declared a disaster for 42 of the
state's 77 counties, stretching from the southwest corner to the
northeast. The declaration includes portions of the panhandle, which
received as much as a foot of snow, said state Emergency Management
spokeswoman Michelann Ooten.
About 22,000 people in Oklahoma were still without power Wednesday
evening, Ooten said.
"We haven't had a thaw yet," she said. "The tree
limbs are now covered with, in some places, as much as an inch of
ice."
That will cause a problem when the ice melts and the unburdened
tree limbs snap up and hit power lines.
"We're kind of bracing for that to happen tomorrow,"
Ooten said.
Shelters were open in some communities and generators were sent
to public facilities like city halls.
A National Weather Service heavy snow warning covered southern
Missouri, most of Kentucky, the western half of Virginia, and most
of the Carolinas.
Ice storm warnings included northeast Arkansas, northwest and central
Tennessee, and northeast Georgia, including Atlanta. Snow advisories
were issued for areas just outside the warning zones |
Millions of Americans
shivered without electricity Thursday in the Carolinas as one of the
worst ice- and snowstorms in years snapped tree limbs, snarled air
travel around the country and kept children home from school in a
large part of the East.
At least 20 deaths had been blamed on the storm since it blew across
the southern Plains earlier in the week. Up to a foot of snow fell
in places from New Mexico
to North Carolina.
"It's horrible out there," said Errol Carter, a lawyer from
Edison, N.J. "I live less than 10 minutes from the train station,
and I almost got in two accidents on the way there."
"We've got wrecks everywhere," Virginia State Police Sgt.
D.A. Shaver said.
Schools closed in parts of the Carolinas, Pennsylvania, West Virginia,
Virginia, Delaware, New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, Maryland, Missouri,
Arkansas, Tennessee and Kentucky.
The Carolinas were the hardest hit as the weight of ice and snow snapped
tree limbs and sent them crashing onto power lines. In Raleigh, N.C.,
the crack of buckling pines and oaks sounded like gunfire during hunting
season.
Matt and Dawn Heric had been without heat in Durham, N.C., since the
electricity went off late Wednesday. "Unfortunately, none of
the fireplaces are serviceable," Matt Heric said of their 90-year-old
house.
"You just go to the YMCA to take your showers and farm out the
kids and just do what you have to do," said Jill Brehm in Charlotte,
N.C.
North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley declared a state of emergency and
waived most weight limits for trucks removing debris and repairing
utility lines.
The storm was "probably the largest single-event power outage
we've had in this state," said Bryan Beaty, secretary of the
state Department of Crime Control and Public Safety.
Duke Power said about 1.2 million homes and businesses were blacked
out Thursday in North and South Carolina, far surpassing the record
number affected by Hurricane Hugo in 1989. The utility said it could
be days before service is restored.
Carolina Power & Light reported nearly 470,000 customers without
service in North Carolina. Its worst natural disaster was Hurricane
Fran in 1996, which blacked out 791,000 customers.
"We expect to be restoring power through this weekend,"
CP&L spokesman Keith Poston said. "This is a major, major
winter storm."
Other utilities in the Carolinas also had thousands of customers without
power, and outages also hit parts of Virginia and West Virginia. It
was the second day without power in parts of Arkansas, Kentucky and
Oklahoma.
Some 3,000 stranded travelers spent the night at North Carolina's
Charlotte-Douglas International Airport. Travelers faced cancellations
and long flight delays at the New York City area's LaGuardia, Kennedy
and Newark, N.J., airports.
One Delta shuttle left LaGuardia for Washington on time at 7:30 a.m.,
but before it could land, Washington's Reagan National had shut down.
The pilot announced he was returning to LaGuardia, but the flight
was diverted again, eventually landing at Hartford, Conn., shortly
after 10 a.m.
The storm's effects on air travel spread far afield. Northwest Airlines
canceled 14 flights to the East Coast from Minneapolis.
On the ground, highway traffic slowed to a crawl or stalled behind
wrecks. Commuter buses ran behind schedule. And commuter railroads
in the New York City region added trains to cope with an increase
in riders.
About a dozen travelers spent the night on Red Cross cots at the Greyhound
Bus terminal in Charleston, W.Va.
Up to 8 inches fell in the mountains of western Virginia. The Blue
Ridge Parkway was shut down Wednesday in North Carolina as a foot
of snow piled up in some areas. More than 7 inches had fallen by midday
in New Jersey.
Deaths blamed on the storm included six in Kentucky, one in Tennessee,
four in North Carolina, four in Missouri, two in Arkansas, two in
South Carolina and one in Virginia.
The steady snowfall in New York City turned busy avenues and sidewalks
treacherously slick, but tourists busily snapped photos.
"This just seems like the way New York should be, you know?"
said Jennifer McDaniel of Detroit. "The snow and the lights and
decorations - it just seems right."
"I love it," Doris Ross said in Hagerstown, Md., as she
picked her way down a partly shoveled sidewalk. "Everything slows
down. Everything's calmer." |
Blighted by years of failed rains,
villagers cannot survive alone
The village, in Ethiopia's remote, semi-arid West Harange lowlands,
has nothing. This should be harvest time but its sorghum and maize
crops are wilting or dead, its grain stores are empty and its animals
are dying and worthless.
Water is a three hour walk away, the nearest school and health
clinic more than six and the 2,000 people in the scattered community
of subsistence farmers exist only because emergency food aid trickles
in from Save the Children fund each month.
The villagers share their meagre rations, supplement their diets
with nutritionally worthless cactus plants and leaves and fear the
death of their animals, which would mean the total destruction of
their livelihoods. They do not expect to die, but - almost worse
- see themselves becoming permanently dependent on others and unable
to recover.
"We are happy to get food, but it is also a curse. We would
prefer to depend on ourselves," says village leader Ishmael
Youssef. "This is the worst situation we have ever had to face.
We used to be self-sufficient but after four years of droughts we
have no options, money or access to work".
He holds opens the palm of a thin hand to show how much grain he
eats in a day: "The droughts come more often now and each year
we grow weaker," he says. "It is the same for everyone
else in the whole region. There is nothing good here now. We are
illiterate, permanently hungry and must live like animals."
Gewgew is far from alone. On Friday the UN's world food programme
will announce that, following new harvest assessments, 11.2 million
people in Ethiopia will need food assistance for at least a year,
with three million more very likely to need help later.
The figures more or less confirm last month's back-of-the-envelope
forecast by Ethiopian prime minister Meles Zenawi who said that
14 million would need help. But they undermine the assessment by
the development secretary, Clare Short, that the situation in southern
Africa - where the UN's world food programme says up to 28 million
are at risk of malnutrition - is "much more worrying".
Up to 2m tonnes of emergency food aid must now be delivered to
Ethiopia in one of the biggest relief efforts to a single country
in the last 20 years, stretching logistics and donor goodwill to
the limit.
Five million Ethiopians need food aid each year even when harvests
are good, but aid workers, the government and analysts, while confident
of meeting minimum needs, fear that increasing numbers of people
like those in Gewgew are in real danger of slipping into permanent
destitution and total dependency. |
WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The government's
top weather forecasters said Thursday the nation's weather is being
affected by a classic "el Nino" weather pattern that is
bringing needed rain to the South and will result in slightly warmer
temperatures in the North.
"We've already seen the effects," of the el Nino pattern,
said Jack Kelly, director of the National Weather Service. "The
northern half of the country is going to be warmer than normal and
the southern half of the country is going to have more storms than
normal. We've already seen that -- we're in December and we've had
two winter storms."
People in the northern states may not even notice the temperature
difference. "Chicago will still be cold, just not as cold,"
said James D. Laver, director of the Climate Prediction Center.
Kelly said drought conditions in the southern states have been
eased a bit amid recent stormy weather.
"That increased storminess helped relieve the drought that
they had been experiencing for some years," said Kelly. "So,
in truth, where a lot in this country tend to view (El Nino) as
having a negative impact on our weather, from an economic point
of view it actually has a positive impact." |
...into such a fast-flowing torrent
that the city is shifting precious artworks from nearby gallery basements
and lining up a fleet of rescue boats.
A favorite haunt of peace-seeking romantics, the Seine snakes sedately,
in drier times, through the French capital. But weeks of rain soaking
into waterlogged subsoil have set alarm bells ringing. Experts say
it is only a matter of time before the Seine bursts its banks and
spills into underground stations, cellars and sewers -- as it did
almost a century ago.
"It will happen. If not this year then next year. We are not
far from the first alert level, and we're getting a lot of rain,"
said Paris environmental official Alain Pialat.
Dreading being caught unawares by the kind of floods that swamped
central European cities in August, Paris city planners have advised
riverside museums like the Louvre to pack up valuables kept in basement
rooms and move them to safety. |
OKLAHOMA CITY, Dec. 24 (UPI)
-- A Christmas Eve storm pushed toward the east Tuesday after dumping
heavy snow in the southern Great Plains and spawning tornadoes in
Texas.
The storm system was expected to bring snow to the northeast part
of the nation and heavy rain and severe thunderstorms in the southeast.
Tornado warnings were posted Tuesday in parts of Florida.
A blanket of snow stretched from the Texas Panhandle through Oklahoma
to southwest Missouri. Oklahoma City was expected to see its first
white Christmas in nearly 30 years.
More than 12 inches of snow fell across Oklahoma where at least
two traffic fatalities were blamed on snow-packed roads. There were
numerous traffic accidents and injuries reported in Oklahoma City
and Tulsa.
Michaelann Ooten, public information officer for the Oklahoma
Department of Emergency Management, said there were phone outages
in some northeast towns Monday but service was restored by Tuesday.
"The good news is that at the emergency center we have received
no requests for assistance mainly because we had no ice this time,
just snow, which is much easier to handle," she said.
About 5,300 people were also without power in the Tulsa area but
crews were working to restore that service, Ooten said.
Roads in northern Oklahoma, generally north and west of Interstate
44, were still reported slick and hazardous Tuesday, the highway
patrol said.
In Texas, more than 8 inches of snow was reported at Dalhart in
the Texas Panhandle while hundreds of miles southeast in the Houston
area as many as 10 tornadoes were reported late Monday.
Early Tuesday, crews were still cleaning debris blocking all the
inbound lanes of the Southwest Freeway leading into Houston. Several
other streets were reported blocked by fallen trees and limbs from
high winds.
The winter storm also knocked out power to about 120,000 homes
and businesses, damaged homes, uprooted trees and toppled a wall
at a shopping mall. No serious injuries were reported.
12 Dead As Snowstorm Moves to Northeast
By Christmas night, the storm is expected to have painted a broad
streak of snow from the mountains of Arizona, across the Midwest
and all the way to Maine. The forecast was for 10 to 20 inches around
Albany, N.Y., which has not had snow on the ground on Christmas
since 1985. "All those people who wanted a white Christmas
– we are going to give it to them," said National Weather Service
meteorologist Chuck Tingley in Buffalo, N.Y., where up to 11 inches
was forecast. Temperatures Tuesday morning were in the teens as
far south as the Texas Panhandle. Since Monday, the weather has
been blamed for five deaths in Missouri, three in Oklahoma, three
in Kansas and one in New Mexico. |
It was my son that finally
drove home to me the gravity of the situation. With that innocence
that children can only muster until a certain age, Lucas asked:
"But Daddy, if the North Pole ice melts, where is Santa going
to live?"
I was sitting in front of my computer at home. On the monitor
were way-cool maps, with complex patterns of colorful bands, the
results of a NASA research project.
The maps show that the part of the Arctic Ocean covered by ice
at its minimum for an average year had shrunk 9 percent between
the 1980s and the 1990s. And the NASA report warned that if the
pattern continued, by the end of the century the Antarctic's permanent
ice cover could disappear altogether.
So that's what I was looking at when Lucas came up and asked,
"What's that?"
"A study showing the ice at the North Pole is melting,"
I replied. That's what led to his question about Santa.
And it is a good question, because it underlines the tremendous
challenge that the human race is facing from global climate change.
Sorting out the answers
Some people believe that climate change is something new. But
our Native American ancestors arrived in the Western Hemisphere
on foot. An ice age some 15,000 years ago made that possible. And
the global climate has been changing ever since.
Today the ice is retreating, it seems, on virtually all fronts.
We know the ice over the Arctic Ocean is retreating because since
the late 1970s we've had satellites watching the entire globe. And
scientists fear the rate at which the ice disappears could accelerate.
This is because ice and snow reflect a lot more of the sun's heat
and light than liquid water, so the less ice there is in the Arctic
Ocean, the greater the tendency for the zone to heat up.
A lot of people immediately think that the danger is that the level
of the sea will rise, flooding coastal cities from Boston to Buenos
Aires. But in the specific case of sea ice that isn't true, because
the ice displaces in the sea the same quantity of water as is contained
in the ice. |
When North Korean leader Kim Jong
Il visited a factory and saw that no one was wearing overcoat, he
took off his own before having his picture taken with them. The gesture
from their Great Leader deeply touched the workers, state-run media
said. Such tales abound these days from the communist state's Korean
Central News Agency as the isolated regime tries desperately to boost
the morale of people in one of the world's poorest countries.
This year, North Koreans face the prospect of their coldest, hungriest
winter in years. The United States and its allies have stopped supplying
fuel oil ever since the North revealed that it has been running
a secret nuclear program in violation of a 1994 accord with Washington.
And on Friday, the World Food Program said it will not be able to
reach 2.9 million vulnerable North Koreans — barring immediate contributions
from major donors such as the United States and Japan, which are
increasingly unhappy about helping the recalcitrant Pyongyang regime.
The immediate victims will be the North's children and elderly
— including 760,000 children in nurseries — who depended on outside
relief, says the WFP, the Rome-based U.N. relief agency that coordinates
aid shipments to North Korea. - North Korea advocates "juche,"
or self-reliance, as a national philosophy. But it was reduced to
begging for outside aid starting in the mid-1990s when floods devastated
its already inefficient, Soviet-style economy, and triggered widespread
hunger. - The famine sent tens of thousands of people wandering
in search of food, often across the border into China, North Korea's
last remaining ideological ally.
"Trains often sat idle for two or three days in each station,
waiting for electricity," Lim said at a recent lecture to South
Korean college students. |
Continue
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