|
Signs Supplement: Climate
and Earth Changes
October 2004
DHAKA, BANGLADESH - A series of tornadoes ripped
through parts of Bangladesh on Thursday, killing seven people and
injuring hundreds more.
Five people died when the storm touched down on a field where
a large number of Muslim devotees had gathered to pray.
The storm lasted just a few minutes but destroyed several houses
and uprooted trees.
In southwestern Faridpur, one person died and 40 people were injured
when a tornado hit the area. Another tornado in northwestern Bogra
left one dead and 30 injured.
Meanwhile, five people died in heavy rains in the Indian city
of Calcutta, when their homes collapsed. Parts of the city have
been flooded, along with hundreds of villages. |
BOULDER, COLO. - Sea ice in the
Arctic is melting at an increasing rate, researchers at the University
of Colorado say.
Satellite information shows the ice coverage was 13.4 per cent
below its average in September, the university's National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) said.
"This is the third year in a row with extreme ice losses,
pointing to an acceleration of the downward trend," NSIDC's
Walt Meier said.
The ice loss is roughly equal to the area of Ontario.
The decline in 2003 was 12 per cent. The long-term average is eight
per cent.
Global warming may be to blame, although natural shifts in the
climate are probably contributing to the melting, the researchers
said.
Antarctic warming?
Another U.S. study suggests it will soon be the Antarctic's turn.
While the climate there has been cooling for 30 years, the trend
is likely to rapidly reverse, researchers from NASA's Godard Institute
of Space Studies concluded.
The prediction, based on a model, matched observations, they said.
While there are factors that are working against melting, "global
warming is expected to dominate in future trends," said researcher
Drew Shindell.
Georgiy Mamedov visited Manitoba to push for a shipping route between
Murmansk and the port of Churchill on Hudson Bay.
"I think it has huge potential," he said.
While the route is covered by ice eight months of the year, the
shipping season is a week longer than it used to be.
|
MONTREAL - Imagine an ocean on the
Prairies and mountains higher than the Himalayas in Ontario.
That's part of the picture unveiled by Lithoprobe, a 20-year examination
of Canada's ancient geological history. Named for the probe of the
lithosphere (the earth's outer shell) the project used 20-tonne
trucks dubbed "dancing elephants" to generate some of
its data.
Since 1984, more than 800 university, government and industry scientists
have been examining the movements of ancient continents, oceans
and islands, piercing together the evidence to draw a map of Canada's
origins.
They call it "Canada's basement," a view of the country
80 kilometres deep and 6,000 wide.
"Underneath the surface of Alberta, we found a subsurface
mountain range," said Dr. Ron Clowes, Lithoprobe's head and
a professor of earth and ocean sciences at the University of British
Columbia.
Even more spectacular, "There was once an ocean ... on the
scale of the current Pacific" under modern day Saskatchewan
and Manitoba.
Often working in groups of four, the dancing elephants –
more properly called vibroseis trucks – created seismic waves
by co-ordinated bouncing on a pad. The waves are reflected back
from the earth, but the reflections vary, depending on what the
waves hit.
The reflected waves are then recorded, producing data and charts.
The information is already being used by mining companies to explore
for minerals, and is providing data on the process that might lead
the volcano in Mount St. Helens, Wash., to erupt.
|
GUWAHATI (AFP) - At least 38 people have died
and hundreds have been injured as torrential rains lash parts of
Bangladesh and India, inundating large towns and forcing thousands
to flee their homes, officials said.
Eleven people died in landslides in Guwahati, taking the overnight
death toll to 18 in the northeastern Indian city, officials reported
on Friday.
Witnesses said cars and homes were submerged by the worst deluge
in a decade in Assam's biggest city.
Guwahati residents took to makeshift bamboo rafts, an AFP reporter
said from his flooded office in the town.
In neighbouring Bangladesh, at least 11 people died and hundreds
more were injured by a series of tornadoes that ripped through towns
and villages on Thursday, officials said.
Eight people were killed when a whirlwind crashed into a field
where a large number of Muslims had gathered to pray in central
Bangladesh on Thursday, a police official said. Eight of the injured
were in serious condition.
In the eastern Indian city of Calcutta, which also adjoins Bangladesh,
rains caused by a low pressure in the Bay of Bengal, have claimed
nine lives since Thursday, officials said. |
ISTANBUL (AFP) - Heavy rainstorms flooded
roads and homes and paralysed traffic in Istanbul, but there were
no immediate reports of deaths or injuries, rescue officials said.
Five schools were closed in the worst-hit area of Alibeykoy, a
low-lying neighborhood on the European side of this city that spans
two continents, while dozens of kilometers (miles) of jams halted
traffic on the beltway and the two bridges linking Europe and Asia.
"More than 30 kilos (eight gallons) of rain
per square meter (10.8 sq feet) fell on Istanbul over the past few
hours, peaking at 100 kilos (26 gallons) in some areas," Cengiz
Ozturk, a spokesman for the city's Disaster Coordination Center,
told AFP.
"Traffic is paralysed, there are lots of accidents, cellars
and ground floors are flooded, but we have no reports of dead or
missing," he said.
By midday, firemen in this sprawling city of 12 million had been
called on more than 600 times, Ozturk said, while media reports,
quoting firemen, said flood waters had reached heights of more than
1.5 meter (five feet) in some areas.
The main road was inundated in the leafy Bosphorus suburb of Istinye
where the Istanbul Stock Market is located on the European side
of the city and flood waters mixed with waste gushed out of sewage
holes.
Istanbul's notoriously inadequate sewage system quickly overflows
with almost every heavy rain, and most of the damage occurs in low-lying
neighborhoods with almost non-existant infrastructure that mushroom
around the city as a result of uncontrolled urbanization.
Heavy rains in August, said to be the worst in
decades, had again flooded Alibeykoy, where Istanbul Mayor Kadir
Topbas had pledged to expropriate property and move people to safer
areas, but action has yet to be taken.
Dozens of houses and workplaces were isolated by flood waters in
Beykoz, on the Asian shore, and firemen came to the rescue of a
stranded school bus, the Anatolia news agency reported.
Two subway stations were evacuated and there were power cuts in
some areas, city officials said.
Ironically, the downpour, which began around midnight (2100 GMT)
Wednesday and is expected to last for three more days, according
to the weather department, came after a 40-hour cut in the water
supply in wide swathes of the city's European side. |
SUZUKA, Japan - The qualifying sessions for
the Japanese Grand Prix were cancelled and moved to Sunday because
of the threat of a typhoon scheduled to hit the Suzuka track.
Typhoon Ma-on is due to hit the region at 9:00 am local time (0000
GMT) on Saturday and officials have decided to close the track because
of concerns over possible winds of up to 200km/h. [...]
The typhoon, which is yet to hit land, has
intensified in strength to a super typhoon but it is understood
that once it has passed through the weather will improve significantly.
[...] |
TOKYO (Reuters) - Two people were missing
as powerful typhoon Ma-on made landfall on Japan on Saturday, lashing
the nation with heavy rains and high winds, snarling transport and
prompting thousands to evacuate.
The storm, which threatens to strike Tokyo, is the record ninth
typhoon to hit Japan this year and comes just a week after another
deadly storm, Meari, killed 27.
"The storm is definitely going to come very close to Tokyo,
and may directly hit it," a Meteorological Agency official
said.
Heavy rain was lashing Tokyo as evening approached, and floodgates
throughout the city had been closed. A highway over the landmark
Rainbow Bridge in central Tokyo was also closed as the storm bore
down.
The storm forced the cancellation of some 184 domestic flights
and 44 international flights, Kyodo news agency said. NHK national
television said virtually all flights from Tokyo's Haneda airport,
which mainly serves domestic destinations, were canceled as Ma-on
neared the capital.
The storm made landfall in Shizuoka, 150 km (93 miles) west of
Tokyo. Record strong gusts of 243 km (151 miles) an hour were recorded
in one Shizuoka town.
Two people were missing, including a 74-year-old newspaper delivery
man on his rounds in Chiba who was believed to have been swept into
a river. The other was a man in his 60s carried away by rising floodwaters.
Around 2,400 people throughout Japan were evacuated from their
homes, seeking refuge in schools and public halls, Kyodo news agency
said. [...] |
An unexplained and unprecedented rise in carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere two years running has raised fears that
the world may be on the brink of runaway global warming.
Scientists are baffled why the quantity of the main greenhouse
gas has leapt in a two-year period and are concerned that the Earth's
natural systems are no longer able to absorb as much as in the past.
The findings will be discussed tomorrow by the government's chief
scientist, Dr David King, at the annual Greenpeace business lecture.
Measurements of CO2 in the atmosphere have been continuous for
almost 50 years at Mauna Loa Observatory, 12,000ft up a mountain
in Hawaii, regarded as far enough away from any carbon dioxide source
to be a reliable measuring point.
In recent decades CO2 increased on average by 1.5 parts per million
(ppm) a year because of the amount of oil, coal and gas burnt, but
has now jumped to more than 2 ppm in 2002 and 2003.
Above or below average rises in CO2 levels in the atmosphere have
been explained in the past by natural events.
When the Pacific warms up during El Niño - a disruptive
weather pattern caused by weakening trade winds - the amount of
carbon dioxide rises dramatically because warm oceans emit CO2 rather
than absorb it.
But scientists are puzzled because over the past
two years, when the increases have been 2.08 ppm and 2.54 ppm respectively,
there has been no El Niño.
Charles Keeling, the man who began the observations in 1958 as
a young climate scientist, is now 74 and still working in the field.
He said yesterday: "The rise in the annual rate to above
two parts per million for two consecutive years is a real phenomenon.
"It is possible that this is merely a reflection of natural
events like previous peaks in the rate, but it is also possible
that it is the beginning of a natural process unprecedented in the
record."
Analysts stress that it is too early to draw any long-term conclusions.
But the fear held by some scientists is
that the greater than normal rises in C02 emissions mean that instead
of decades to bring global warming under control we may have only
a few years. At worst, the figures
could be the first sign of the breakdown in the Earth's natural
systems for absorbing the gas.
That would herald the so-called "runaway
greenhouse effect", where the planet's soaring temperature
becomes impossible to contain. As the icecaps melt, less
sunlight is refected back into space from ice and snow, and bare
rocks begin to absorb more heat. This is already happening.
One of the predictions made by climate scientists in the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change is that as the Earth warms, the absorption
of carbon dioxide by vegetation - known as "carbon sink"
- is reduced.
Dr Keeling said since there was no sign of a dramatic increase
in the amount of fossil fuels being burnt in 2002 and 2003, the
rise "could be a weakening of the Earth's carbon sinks, associated
with the world warming, as part of a climate change feedback mechanism.
It is a cause for concern'.'
Tom Burke, visiting professor at Imperial College London, and
a former special adviser to the former Tory environment minister
John Gummer, warned: "We're watching
the clock and the clock is beginning to tick faster, like it seems
to before a bomb goes off." [...]
The heatwave of last year that is now believed to have claimed
at least 30,000 lives across the world was so out of the ordinary
that many scientists believe it could only have been caused by global
warming
But Dr Cox, like other scientists, is concerned that too much
might be read into two years' figures. "Five or six years on
the trot would be very difficult to explain," he said.
Dr Piers Forster, senior research fellow of the University of
Reading's Department of Meteorology, said: "If this is a rate
change, of course it will be very significant. It will be of enormous
concern, because it will imply that all our
global warming predictions for the next hundred years or so will
have to be redone."
David J Hofmann of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
centre, which also studies CO2, was more cautious.
"I don't think an increase of 2 ppm for two years in a row
is highly significant - there are climatic perturbations that can
make this occur," he said. "But the absence of a known
climatic event does make these years unusual.
"Based on those two years alone I would say it was too soon
to say that a new trend has been established, but it warrants close
scrutiny." |
Temperatures in the Sydney CBD hit a record
high for October today.
Meteorologist Peter Dundah, says the highest temperature has been
recorded at Observatory Hill.
"We've had records since 1859 - the previous hottest October
day was in October 4, 1942 when Observatory Hill recorded 37.4 degrees,"
he said.
"Today we surpassed that and actually recorded 38.2 degrees
at about 1:30pm." |
NEW YORK - Hurricane Ivan battered US crude
oil production to a 50-year low in September and repairs to Gulf
of Mexico operations may not finish before 2005, officials and analysts
said.
Disruptions in the Gulf of Mexico, along with temporary dips in
Alaskan operations, cut US output 15 percent from last year to 4.85
million barrels per day, according to the private American Petroleum
Institute.
It was the lowest monthly output rate in half
a century.
The Gulf of Mexico region usually produces about 1.7 million barrels
of oil per day.
But latest government figures showed 471,328 barrels per day were
still out of production.
Based on preliminary information supplied by operators, 150,000
barrels per day may be back on line by the end of October, according
to the Department of Interior's Minerals Management Service (MMS).
But for the longer term, the agency said operators could only promise
that about 96 percent of the normal daily Gulf of Mexico production
"should be back on line within six months."
"We have already lost 19 million barrels so far and it looks
like by the time we're done with repairs it is going to be closer
to 30 million barrels," said PFC Energy analyst Jamal Qureshi.
Ivan, which careened into the Gulf of Mexico September 16, may
be the most damaging hurricane yet for the oil industry.
Ten platforms in the Gulf are still evacuated.
The hole in US supplies is widely blamed for pushing up the oil
market, where New York's light sweet crude price has jumped about
60 percent since the start of this year.
Unlike other, sometimes more powerful hurricanes
that crossed the southwestern United States in mid-August -- Charley,
Frances, Jeanne -- or others of previous years, Ivan's trajectory
took it on a particularly devastating path for the oil industry.
Its point of impact was to the west of Florida, in Alabama, near
the mouth of the Mississippi, a region hosting a quarter of the
US petroleum infrastructure.
"Ivan had a very heavy concentration in production areas,"
Qureshi said.
The result: landslides, massive waves and powerful
winds damaged 16,000 kilometers (10,000 miles) of pipelines and
150 platforms.
ChevronTexaco, Shell, El Paso and Noble Energy were among the worst
hit.
"The companies are engaged in around the clock repair operations
and only bad weather is slowing down further progress," MMS
Gulf of Mexico regional director Chris Oynes said in the service's
latest report October 8.
Pipelines in mud slide areas off the mouth of the Mississippi River
failed and would require a "significant effort" to locate
and repair because they were buried in 20 to 30 feet (seven to 10
meters) of mud, the MMS said. |
(New Zealand) - Severe gales lifted roofs, skittled
trees, cut power and closed roads, causing chaos for emergency services
at the top of the South Island.
Hundreds of homes in Motueka, Golden Bay and Marlborough were without
power this morning as Network Tasman battled to restore services.
Fallen trees delayed firefighters getting to a small blaze that
began on the Takaka Hill about 5.30am after power lines were brought
down by the winds.
State Highway 60, from both sides of the Takaka Hill, was closed
until about 8.30am while emergency services cleared the debris.
[...] |
Large parts of Sydney were left without power
for a night after a substation overheated in an unseasonal heatwave,
the electricity supply firm said.
Power was restored early Thursday to the roughly 22,000 homes
and businesses affected, Energy Australia spokeswoman Sandy Olsen
said.
The blackout began late Wednesday on a searingly hot day when
temperatures reached 38.2 degrees Celsius. Company officials said
they did not believe the substation failure was directly related
to the heat, although it came hours after a fire at an underground
transformer of a separate substation in Sydney.
Olsen said power was restored around 4:30 a.m. (1830 GMT Wednesday).
The unusually hot weather in the southern spring has also raised
fears of a new wave of bushfires. Dozens of fires have broken out
across Australia's densely populated eastern states in the last
few days and a fire ban has been imposed in the northeastern state
of Queensland. |
CHICAGO (AP) — A fish known for its voracious
appetite and ability to wreak havoc on freshwater ecosystems has
been found in Chicago's Burnham Harbor, alarming state biologists.
An angler caught the 45-centimetre fish last weekend and thought
it looked peculiar, so he posted a picture of it on the Internet.
Scientists recognized it as a northern snakehead, a native of China,
Korea and Russia.
Officials said Thursday they would scan the harbour near Lake
Michigan with electronic equipment to verify whether other northern
snakeheads are present. If so, they are concerned the fish could
multiply and gobble up native fish.
"I'm hoping this is just a random fish dumped out of an aquarium
by somebody who didn't know what to do with it," said Tom Trudeau,
head of the Lake Michigan fisheries program at the state Department
of Natural Resources. "The fear is seeing their young in the
lake. If that happens, we're in trouble."
The northern snakehead can grow to a metre in length and has large
teeth and a voracious appetite for other fish. It is usually imported
for food or aquariums.
Scientists call it a "frankenfish"
for its ability to survive in oxygen-depleted water, move over land
from one pond to another, and devour other fish.
Chicago imposed a ban on northern snakeheads two years ago after
an angler discovered one in Maryland. The fish have also been spotted
in Philadelphia and Wisconsin. |
KYBURZ, Calif. Two major blazes continue to
burn in the Eldorado National Forest, while steady rain helped put
out a 2,000-acre fire ignited by a suspected arsonist in Yosemite
National Park.
The Power Fire, which has has spread to 16,800 acres near Highway
88, is now about 50 percent contained.
Heavy rain has helped contain the fire, but it also prevented
fire crews from working. Highway 88 has been reopened, but drivers
were warned of "extremely hazardous conditions."
The Fred's Fire has burned about 7,700 acres in the Kyburz area
of the Eldorado National Forest. It is expected to be fully contained
by tonight. Highway 50 remained closed between Pollock Pines and
Myers.
Park rangers in Yosemite National Park say they believe a body
found yesterday belonged to the arsonist who ignited the 2,000-acre
blaze.
Park officials say it appears the person died from a self-inflicted
gunshot.
Firefighters had planned to begin suppression efforts today, but
steady rain has put out most of the fire. |
TOKYO (AFP) - A powerful typhoon was expected
to hit parts of Japan this week on the heels of a storm that killed
at least six people, the meteorological agency said.
Typhoon Tokage was located 390 kilometers (241 miles) southeast
of Miyako island in the Pacific region and packing wind speeds of
144 kilometers (90 miles) per hour, the agency said.
It was moving northwest at a speed of 20 kilometers (12 miles)
an hour and was forecast to hit southwestern Japanese islands including
Okinawa as early as Tuesday, the agency said.
According to the agency's computer simulation, the typhoon is expected
to move northeast through the Japanese archipelago on Wednesday
and Thursday, with strong winds, heavy rain and high waves.
Ma-on, the most powerful typhoon to hit eastern Japan in a decade,
slammed into the Tokyo metropolitan area on October 9, leaving six
people dead and three others missing and paralyzing the capital's
transport systems.
Just a week before Ma-on, Typhoon Meari wreaked havoc in the Japanese
islands, leaving 22 dead, six missing and presumed dead, and 89
injured in floods, landslides and other storm-triggered accidents.
|
SARDIS, Ark. - Driving rain and high wind
caused heavy damage and injured at least 10 people Monday as storms
moved through Arkansas, knocking out power to thousands of customers,
authorities said.
Near the town of Sardis, Fire Chief Rick Morris said about 45 structures
were damaged or destroyed. Several tornados were reported.
"When I looked out the window I saw the tornado swirling and
I heard it hit," said sign painter Doug Hethcox. "All
I could do was dive for the floor. The next thing I knew it was
over. My trailer was knocked about 4 feet off its foundation."
Near Hethcox's mobile home, 50-foot pine trees were snapped and
others were pulled out at their roots. Twisted metal and insulation
from destroyed mobile homes sat in the top of trees.
Tthe top and front of John Harris' home near Sardis was ripped
away. He said his wife and preschool-aged daughter were in the residence
just before storm hit.
"It's all gone," Harris said, as he sat on what used
to be the front steps of his blown-out brick and frame structure
in central Arkansas. |
The biggest typhoon to hit Japan
in more than a decade roared over the country's main island Wednesday,
with heavy rain and fierce winds leaving at least 16 people dead and
12 others missing, officials said.
Typhoon Tokage also injured at least 62 people, police said, after
becoming a record 10th major storm to land on the archipelago in
the past year. The typhoons have claimed at least 118 lives.
Packing windspeeds of 144 kilometers (89 miles) per hour, Tokage
triggered landslides and sent objects flying while bullet trains
between Tokyo and Osaka had to be cancelled. |
Six … long
… years.
Solar physicist David Hathaway has been checking the sun every
day since 1998, and every day for six years there have been sunspots.
Sunspots are planet-sized "islands" on the surface of
the sun. They are dark, cool, powerfully magnetized, and fleeting:
a typical sunspot lasts only a few days or weeks before it breaks
up. As soon as one disappears, however, another emerges to take
its place.
Even during the lowest ebb of solar activity, you can usually find
one or two spots on the sun. But when Hathaway looked on Jan. 28,
2004, there were none. The sun was utterly blank.
It happened again last week, twice, on Oct. 11th and 12th. There
were no sunspots.
"This is a sign," says Hathaway, "that the solar
minimum is coming, and it's coming sooner than we expected."
The blank sun on Oct. 11,
2004, photographed by the ESA/NASA Solar and Heliospheric Observatory.
Solar minimum and solar maximum--"Solar Min" and "Solar
Max" for short--are two extremes of the sun's 11-year activity
cycle. At maximum, the sun is peppered with spots, solar flares
erupt, and the sun hurls billion-ton clouds of electrified gas toward
Earth. It's a good time for sky watchers who enjoy auroras, but
not so good for astronauts who have to be wary of radiation storms.
Power outages, zapped satellites, malfunctioning GPS receivers--these
are just a few of the things that can happen during Solar Max.
Solar minimum is different. Sunspots are fewer--sometimes days
or weeks go by without a spot. Solar flares subside. It's a safer
time to travel through space, and a less interesting time to watch
polar skies.
Hathaway is an expert forecaster of the solar cycle. He keeps track
of sunspot numbers (the best known indicator of solar activity)
and predicts years in advance when the next peaks and valleys will
come. It's not easy:
"Contrary to popular belief," says Hathaway, "the
solar cycle is not precisely 11 years long." Its length, measured
from minimum to minimum, varies: "The shortest cycles are 9
years, and the longest ones are about 14 years." What makes
a cycle long or short? Researchers aren't sure. "We won't even
know if the current cycle is long or short--until it's over,"
he says.
Above: Astronomers have been
counting sunspots for centuries. This plot shows sunspot numbers
from 1610 to 2000. Data are also available for the current cycle
(1996-2004): click
here.
But researchers are making progress. Hathaway and colleague Bob
Wilson, both working at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, believe
they've found a simple way to predict the date of the next solar
minimum. "We examined data from the
last 8 solar cycles and discovered that Solar Min follows the first
spotless day after Solar Max by 34 months," explains
Hathaway.
The most recent solar maximum was in late 2000. The first spotless
day after that was Jan 28, 2004. So, using Hathaway and Wilson's
simple rule, solar minimum should arrive
in late 2006. That's about a year earlier than previously
thought.
The next solar maximum might come early, too, says Hathaway. "Solar
activity intensifies rapidly after solar minimum. In
recent cycles, Solar Max has followed Solar Min by just 4 years."
Do the math: 2006 + 4 years = 2010.
By that time, according to NASA's new vision for space exploration,
robot ships will be heading for the moon in advance of human explorers.
If Hathaway and Wilson's prediction is correct, those robots will
need good shields. Solar flares and radiation storms can damage
silicon brains and electronic guts almost as badly as their organic
counterparts.
For now, says Hathaway, we're about to experience "the calm
before the storm." And although he's a fan of solar activity--what
solar physicist isn't?--he's looking forward to the lull. "It'll
give us a chance to see if our 'spotless sun' method for predicting
solar minimum really works."
Solar Max will be back soon enough. |
SAN FRANCISCO - Heavy rains in northern California
knocked out power to at least 144,000 customers on Tuesday and forced
the evacuation of 200 residents, many in areas where wildfires burned
as recently as a week ago.
The unusually early winter storm was concentrated over Napa and
Sonoma counties north of San Francisco, where winds gusted to nearly
60 mph and some hilly and mountainous regions received more than
a half-inch of rain per hour.
"It's coming down hard and the winds are just incredible,"
said Lt. Kevin House of the El Dorado County Sheriff's Department.
About 200 residents in hamlets along the South Fork of the American
River were told to clear out Sunday because authorities feared mudslides
could occur on hillsides cleared of vegetation by fires.
Just last week, a 37,000-acre fire burned in Napa and Yolo counties,
and another wildfire covered 7,700 acres in the Eldorado National
Forest.
"There's no vegetation holding anything up on the hill anymore
because it all got burned out," House said.
Many of the evacuees had been allowed to return home just two
days earlier as the fire danger abated. Some were staying at a temporary
shelter, officials said.
Pacific Gas & Electric Co. said most of the power outages
were in pockets across northern California.
Officials said the storm was headed toward southern California,
where up to 6 inches of rain were expected in some areas. Emergency
crews were bracing for potential flooding and mud and rock slides,
particularly in areas ravaged by last October's disastrous wildfires.
"If it comes down slowly and easy, it's a blessing. If we
get a deluge all at once, it's a curse," Marvin McMain said
Tuesday as he filled sandbags to protect his home in the San Bernardino
Mountains. |
CHATTANOOGA, Tenn. (AP) - Strong storms continuing
to surge across the U.S. South dumped more than 12 centimetres of
rain in Tennessee on Tuesday, causing flash floods and at least
one death.
A day after tornadoes destroyed homes in Arkansas and Alabama
and left three dead in Missouri, heavy rain caused a Tennessee driver's
vehicle to hydroplane, jump a guardrail and overturn. Police said
the woman died instantly.
Rain also swamped a water-treatment plant in Waynesboro, Tenn.
Officials said residents were not affected but water from other
sources was being delivered to hospitals and nursing homes.
At Tennessee State University in downtown Nashville, rain caused
a nine-metre section of portico over the main entrance of a building
to collapse. No classes were in session because of fall break and
no one was injured.
Elsewhere, residents were cleaning up from Monday's tornadoes,
which claimed three lives in southeastern Missouri.
Three family members died and other relatives were injured when
a tornado destroyed three homes and a farm shop near the small town
Cooter, the Pemiscot County Sheriff's Department said Tuesday.
The tornado touched down Monday night on Don Tims' property, killing
his sister, his brother-in-law and his father.
Tims, his wife and sister-in-law were also in hospital. Three
or four children in the homes were treated for minor injuries.
"We had a problem finding some of the victims," Sheriff's
Deputy Ferrell Stewart told the Kennett Daily Dunklin Democrat newspaper.
"One was found across the roadway from the residence."
Parts of the trailers were found two kilometres away, he said.
In Arkansas, authorities said at least 118 buildings were damaged
and about 15 people were injured in two tornadoes. No deaths were
reported.
With her trailer destroyed and her daughter injured, Virginia
Ragan burst into tears Tuesday.
"The wind started crashing in," she said, standing amid
the rubble that was once her home.
"I thought, it's just a storm, it's just a storm. But then
the trailer started raising up."
"The windows were busted." |
Strong thunderstorms swept into metro Atlanta
late Tuesday morning, and forecasters warned the risk of severe
weather will continue through the afternoon and into tonight.
The National Weather Service said isolated severe thunderstorms
are possible, mainly north of a line from Columbus to Atlanta to
Blue Ridge. The greatest threat will be damaging winds, the Weather
Service said.
At noon, a line of storms stretched from Birmingham, Ala., eastward
through downtown Atlanta to Athens. Other strong storms were moving
through the northwest corner of Georgia.
It was not yet known whether the stormy weather contributed to
the late-morning crash of a twin-engine plane near downtown Atlanta.
[...] |
Heavy rain and high winds in excess of 90
kilometres per hour caused havoc on the mid-north coast of NSW overnight,
police said today.
State Emergency Services (SES) received more than 50 telephone
calls from residents in the Coffs Harbour district as adverse weather
conditions damaged buildings and vehicles.
Motorists were stranded as storms battered the area, causing flooding
and debris from fallen trees and powerlines to block roads, NSW
police said.
An SES spokesman said the service was continuing to receive calls
as people woke this morning to the aftermath of the storms.
"Coffs Harbour has been a bit wild and woolly overnight and
SES volunteers have responded to some 50 calls for help," he
said.
"It appears there has been some pretty strong wind - exceeding
90 kilometres per hour - and there have been a number of trees uprooted
and limbs fallen."
The spokesman said the service would send in workers from other
areas during the day to help with the clean up. [...] |
Houston's autumn heat wave is continuing to
set records, and forecasters say there's little chance of
a reprieve until next week.
A record-breaking temperature of 94 degrees steamed up Bush Intercontinental
Airport on Tuesday, and it would only take a temperature of 92 degrees
to beat today's record. Clouds from this morning lingered longer
than usual, however, keeping a lid on the heat so far.
No real relief is possible until a cold front breaks through early
next week, said National Weather Service meteorologist Paul Lewis,
and that's by no means a sure thing.
This week's scorcher can be blamed on a broad area of high
pressure over the Gulf of Mexico that forecasters expect to strengthen.
By the weekend, daytime highs may moderate a little, but the downward
shift is expected to be slight. |
It is thought
to be the most extreme example of global warming on the planet.
Some estimate that the sea moves inland
three metres a year
The village of Shishmaref lies on a tiny island on the edge of the
arctic circle - and it is literally being swallowed by the sea.
Houses the Eskimos have occupied for generations are now wilting
and buckled.
Some have fallen into the sea. Not only is the earth crumbling
underfoot, but the waves are rising ominously all around.
As we walked across the narrow strip of beach that was his playground
as a kid, village elder Tony Weyiouanna pointed to a series of barricades
that have been erected over the years in the hope of stemming the
tide.
"All of our efforts have been to protect our community,"
he told me. Has it worked? "Not yet."
Tony estimates the tide moves an average of 10
feet (three metres) closer to the land every year. When he was growing
up, it was roughly 300 feet (91 metres) from where it is now. |
To visit the Maldives is to
witness the slow death of a nation.
For as well as being blessed with sun-kissed paradise islands and
pale, white sands, this tourist haven is cursed with mounting evidence
of an environmental catastrophe.
To the naked eye, the signs of climate change are almost imperceptible,
but government scientists fear the sea level is rising up to 0.9cm
a year.
Since 80% of its 1,200 islands are no more than
1m above sea level, within 100 years the Maldives could become uninhabitable.
|
YOSEMITE NATIONAL PARK, Calif. (AP) —
Rangers completed a dramatic rescue Thursday of two climbers from
a snowy mountain and removed the ice-encrusted bodies of two other
hikers who died on the peak in an unexpected early blizzard in the
Sierras.
A man tries to dig his camper free on a blocked road Wednesday
in Yosemite National Park, Calif.
The deaths occurred on El Capitan, a forbidding 3,200-foot granite
mountain at Yosemite National Park, following a fierce blizzard
that stranded nearly two dozen hikers and climbers across Northern
California this week. Other than the two deaths, everyone was found
or rescued.
The two deaths created a gruesome sight for a helicopter crew
that managed to fly close enough Wednesday to spot the bodies, which
were blue and dripping with icicles as they dangled from their ropes
about two-thirds the way up the precipice.
To retrieve the corpses, rangers rappelled down El Capitan and
carried the bodies on their backs hundreds of feet to the summit.
Rescue crews also rappelled down the mountain to get the surviving
climbers, who were expected to be airlifted off the mountain later
Thursday.
"They're cold and they're tired but they're in fine condition,"
said Jen Nersesian, a park spokeswoman.
The two victims — a Japanese man and woman — had been
ill-prepared for the weather, a ranger said.
The surviving climbers had spent the night on a portable ledge
secured high above the valley floor. A team of 12 began trying to
reach them late Wednesday.
The blizzard blew in early Sunday and continued through Wednesday,
creating deadly white-out conditions and 50 mph gusts as it dumped
several feet of snow across the Sierra Nevada [...] |
CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. -- A small tornado that
tore through a Port Canaveral cargo area caused moderate damage,
officials said Thursday.
Weather Calculators The tornado started as a waterspout in the
Banana River about 6 p.m. Wednesday, then came ashore on the north
edge of the port. There were no injuries, although there was damage
to property and cargo, and power lines were pulled down.
"We're just so very blessed that it wasn't more," Port
Authority spokeswoman Roslyn Postell said Thursday. [...]
The tornado came with little warning because the waterspout was
spawned by a 20-mile line of thunderstorms that developed rapidly,
said meteorologist Scott Spratt with the National Weather Service's
Melbourne office.
"It was a real experience, after all the hurricanes we've
been through and everything. It was just another thing about living
in Florida," said eyewitness Jim Johnson.
Reported damage included the flipping of several used cars that
were part of a shipment waiting at the port and the destruction
of an office trailer. "It looks like Bigfoot stepped on it,"
Postell said. [...]
Ironically, earlier in the day the port held a grand reopening
ceremony to honor those who got the facilities running again following
the three hurricanes to hit Florida's Atlantic coast. [...] |
TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) - Typhoon Nock-ten lashed
northern Taiwan with powerful winds and driving rain Monday, disrupting
international flights and closing financial markets, schools and
government offices.
Flash floods killed three people, including a TV cameraman and
a firefighter. The typhoon's eye passed just north of the capital,
Taipei, and forecasters said the storm would churn northeast toward
Japan, still recovering from another typhoon that killed 83 people
last week.
But Nock-ten, which was weakening, could be downgraded to a tropical
storm before reaching Japan, Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau said.
[...] |
A powerful Alaskan storm began sweeping across
California on Tuesday, flooding homes in San Francisco, cutting
power to thousands and leading to a record-breaking snowfall in
the Sierra.
The University of California, Berkeley's Central Sierra Snow Lab
reported that 48 inches of snow have fallen this month at Soda Springs
by Tuesday afternoon, the most at the site for October since it
began keeping records in 1945. That eclipsed the previous record
of 36 inches in 2000.
Many Sierra ski resorts were reporting their earliest openings
in years.
"It's snowing like a son of a gun," said Norm Sayler,
owner of Donner Ski Ranch at 7,200-foot Donner Summit, just up the
highway from the snow lab.
A surprise storm last week already had dumped 2-to-3 feet of snow.
The storm is expected to linger through Thursday, dropping several
inches of rain across the state and 2 feet of snow or more in the
mountains. The National Weather Service forecast called for intense
rain in Southern California, prompting flash flood warnings and
fears of mudslides in mountain areas scarred by wildfires over the
past year. [...] |
The Met Office has issued a flood alert as
Ireland prepares for gale-force storms and heavy rains in the coming
days.
The eastern and southern coasts are expected to be worst-hit by
the storm, which will be exacerbated by high tides.
Met Eireann said the combination of these two factors and a low-pressure
system approaching the south-west coast would create a high risk
of floods. |
ROOFS were torn from sheds, houses damaged,
silos toppled, and trees uprooted when a heavy storm buffeted southern
Queensland overnight.
Counter Disaster and Rescue Service acting Toowoomba area manager
Bob Bundy said the storm began battering the Darling Downs towns
of Millmerran, Tara, Elton, Clifton and Dalby - all west of Toowoomba
- about 7pm (AEST) - refusing to let up for three hours.
He said Tara was the worst hit, struck by strong winds and heavy
hail which left several roads closed by debris.
Six emergency service volunteers had worked for most of the night
in Tara, while 10 were now clearing debris from roadways and houses.
"There is apparently a huge number of trees down, damage
to sheds and that sort of thing," he said.
So far only two houses had been reported to have suffered minor
damage during the storm.
But he said calls were still coming in from people who had only
just assessed the damage to their properties. |
STRONG winds and heavy rain in Melbourne
have kept State Emergency Service crews busy, with about 100 calls
for help this morning.
Heavy rain overnight and this morning, and south-westerly winds
gusting up to 80km/h, had resulted in roof damage, mainly to homes
in Melbourne's east, SES spokesman Peter Cocks said.
"Our volunteers are out there ... having a lot of people
being affected by this heavy rain," Mr Cocks told radio station
3AW today.
"And of course, just to make it worse, the strong winds that
are crossing Melbourne ... are creating a different range of hazards,
with tree branches and trees being blown on to roads and lots of
other debris flying around." [...] |
A top NASA climate
expert who twice briefed Vice President Dick Cheney on global warming
plans to criticize the administration's approach to the issue in
a lecture at the University of Iowa tonight and say that a senior
administration official told him last year not to discuss dangerous
consequences of rising temperatures.
The expert, Dr. James E. Hansen, director of the NASA Goddard Institute
for Space Studies in Manhattan, expects to say that the
Bush administration has ignored growing evidence that sea levels
could rise significantly unless prompt action is taken to reduce
heat-trapping emissions from smokestacks and tailpipes.
Many academic scientists, including dozens of Nobel laureates,
have been criticizing the administration over its handling of climate
change and other complex scientific issues. But Dr. Hansen, first
in an interview with The New York Times a week ago and again in
his planned lecture today, is the only leading scientist to speak
out so publicly while still in the employ of the government.
In the talk, Dr. Hansen, who describes himself as "moderately
conservative, middle-of-the-road" and registered in Pennsylvania
as an independent, plans to say that he will vote for Senator John
Kerry, while also criticizing some of Mr. Kerry's positions, particularly
his pledge to keep nuclear waste out of Nevada.
He will acknowledge that one of the accolades he has received for
his work on climate change is a $250,000 Heinz Award, given in 2001
by a foundation run by Teresa Heinz Kerry, Mr. Kerry's wife. The
awards are given to people who advance causes promoted by Senator
John Heinz, the Pennsylvania Republican who was Mrs. Heinz Kerry's
first husband.
But in an interview yesterday, Dr. Hansen said he was confident
that the award had had "no impact on my evaluation of the climate
problem or on my political leanings."
In a draft of the talk, a copy of which Dr. Hansen provided to
The Times yesterday, he wrote that President Bush's climate policy,
which puts off consideration of binding cuts in such emissions until
2012, was likely to be too little too late.
Actions to curtail greenhouse-gas emissions "are not only
feasible but make sense for other reasons, including our economic
well-being and national security," Dr. Hansen wrote. "Delay
of another decade, I argue, is a colossal risk."
In the speech, Dr. Hansen also says that last
year, after he gave a presentation on the dangers of human-caused,
or anthropogenic, climate shifts to Sean O'Keefe, the NASA administrator,
"the administrator interrupted me; he told me that I should
not talk about dangerous anthropogenic interference, because we
do not know enough or have enough evidence for what would constitute
dangerous anthropogenic interference."
After conferring with Mr. O'Keefe, Glenn Mahone, the administrator's
spokesman, said Mr. O'Keefe had a completely different recollection
of the meeting. "To say the least, Sean is certain that he
did not admonish or even suggest that there be a throttling back
of research efforts" by Dr. Hansen or his team, Mr. Mahone
said.
Dr. Franco Einaudi, director of the NASA Earth Sciences Directorate
at the Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., and Dr. Hansen's
supervisor, said he was at the meeting between Dr. Hansen and Mr.
O'Keefe. Dr. Einaudi confirmed that Mr. O'Keefe had interrupted
the presentation to say that these were "delicate issues"
and there was a lot of uncertainty about them. But, he added: "Whether
it is obvious to take that as an order or not is a question of judgment.
Personally, I did not take it as an order."
Dr. John H. Marburger III, the science adviser to the president,
said he was not privy to any exchanges between Dr. Hansen and the
administrator of NASA. But he denied that the White House was playing
down the risks posed by climate change.
"President Bush has long recognized the serious
implications of climate change, the role of human activity, and
our responsibility to reduce emissions,'' Dr. Marburger said in
an e-mailed statement. "He has put forward a series of policy
initiatives including a commitment to reduce the greenhouse gas
intensity of our economy.''
In the interview yesterday, Dr. Hansen stood by his assertions
and said the administration risked disaster by discouraging scientists
from discussing unwelcome findings.
Dr. Hansen, 63, acknowledged that he imperiled his credibility
and perhaps his job by criticizing Mr. Bush's policies in the final
days of a tight presidential campaign. He said he decided to speak
out after months of deliberation because he was convinced the country
needed to change course on climate policy.
Dr. Hansen rose to prominence when, after testifying at a Senate
hearing in the record-warm summer of 1988, he said, "It is
time to stop waffling so much and say the evidence is pretty strong
that the greenhouse effect is here." |
The Sun has
been more active in the last 70 years than it has for the previous
8000, according to an analysis of tree rings dating back 11,400 years.
But researchers say its recent bout of hyperactivity does not
account for the rapidly rising temperatures recorded on Earth over
the last three decades.
Sunspots are surface concentrations of the star's magnetic field
and the more there are, the more energy the Sun is emitting. The
dark features have been observed and recorded regularly since 1610.
Scientists have tried to reconstruct previous sunspot activity
using ice cores and tree rings. These contain isotopes, such as
carbon-14 and beryllium-10, created when high-energy particles from
deep space, called cosmic rays, slam into the atmosphere. Fewer
cosmic rays reach the Earth when the Sun is very active, because
the charged particles from the Sun deflect them.
Now, a team led by Sami Solanki of the Max-Planck-Institut fur
Sonnensystemforschung in Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany, has analysed
records of trees preserved in riverbeds and bogs that date back
11,400 years to produce the most precise study yet of sunspot history.
Back in time
The team started by using sunspot records to calibrate models of
how carbon-14 in tree rings correlate withsolar activity. The models
"reproduce the observed record of sunspots
extremely well, from almost no sunspots during the seventeenth century
to the current high levels", writes Paula Reimer, a
paleoclimate expert at Queen's University, Belfast, UK, in an article
accompanying the research paper in Nature.
They then extrapolated the tree ring data backwards
in time and discovered that no period in the last 8000 years has
been as active as the last 70. About 75 sunspots have appeared every
year in this period, compared to an annual average of about 30 over
the last 11,400 years.
"We are living in extraordinary times as far
as solar activity is concerned," says study co-author Manfred
Schussler. "Extended periods of high activity seem to be much
more rare than we previously thought."
Indeed, the data also showed that high activity periods only occurred
for about 10% of the period studied, and tended to last for about
three decades. "That's one of the interesting
things - this latest cycle has already lasted longer than most do,"
says Reimer.
Inside the Sun
Models of the Sun can account for the well-known 11-year-long cycle
of solar activity but the underlying reason for the 70-year high
is unknown. "There is a consensus that the magnetic field underlying
the solar activity is generated in the solar interior, but the details
of this mechanism are still not understood," Schussler told
New Scientist.
Furthermore, previous data from carbon-14 studies of tree rings
suggest patterns change on scales of 200 years. "It seems like
that periodicity should be driven by the Sun, but people argue back
and forth on this all the time," Reimer told says. That is
because the total energy emitted by the Sun actually changes by
a relatively small amount as the number of sunspots varies.
The new research will allow scientists to see if past climate changes
"are too large to be explained by the sunspot cycle alone",
Reimer says.
She notes that the current upsurge in sunspots is not enough to
account for the approximate 0.5°C rise from pre-industrial temperatures
over the last 30 years.
Journal reference: Nature (vol 431, p 1047, p 1084) |
DUBLIN, Ireland - The city of Cork and several
towns were severely flooded Wednesday as the year's strongest Atlantic
storm arrived with heavy rain and wind gusts of more than 70 mph.
No deaths or injuries were reported.
The River Lee, which runs through Cork, burst its banks and flooded
the southwestern city's main roads with up to 9.5 feet of water.
Records indicated it was the worst such flood
since 1962.
The surging tide caught shop workers in Ireland's second-largest
city and homeward-bound commuters by surprise. Scores of cars, with
water lapping at their windows, were abandoned on roads. Flotillas
of beer kegs bobbed from pubs' cellars as shop owners scrambled
to erect makeshift — and largely ineffective — barricades
at their front doors.
Firefighters escorted to safety people trapped in their cars by
the flooding.
Flooding in towns to the east of Cork, like Waterford and Dungarvan,
was nearly as bad. The River Suir also burst its banks, flooding
key roads, forcing people to abandon waterlogged cars and sending
workers into a frantic, often-futile battle to sweep back the tide
with brooms.
Thousands of homes along Ireland's southern coast suffered periodic
blackouts as the state-owned Electricity Supply Board struggled
to repair downed lines.
Cork's airport also diverted many flights to other Irish airports
and outbound passengers faced delays averaging four hours.
Authorities warned that worse was likely to come,
with at least another day of harsh weather forecast and coastal
residents braced for more possible flooding as high tides approached.
Most ferry services on routes to Britain and France were canceled.
But one Irish Ferries ship with more than 200 people aboard was
caught in the storm as it crossed the Irish Sea to the southern
Wales port of Pembroke. The captain, unable to dock the ship safely
in Pembroke because of choppy seas, kept the ship at sea for several
hours after its intended arrival.
In Dublin, the storm caused a tidal surge that trapped a Dutch
man on a seaside walkway. Rescue workers in a helicopter used a
line to pull him to safety.
The Irish Coast Guard advised people to avoid harbors, piers, cliffs,
coastal walkways and other exposed seaside spots because of the
risk of being blown or swept into the ocean. |
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