|
Signs Supplement: Climate
and Earth Changes
September 2002
SEOUL, South Korea -- South
Korea has begun a massive clean up in the wake of the worst typhoon
to hit the country in 40 years. Officials say at least 88 people
are dead and 70 are missing after Typhoon Rusa pummeled eastern
and southern areas of the country over the weekend.
Rusa dumped up to 89 centimeters (36 inches) of rain within 30
hours in the eastern city of Gangneung, as winds tipped 200 kilometers
an hour, before moving out of the peninsula Sunday afternoon.
Roads and railways were submerged, thousands of houses were flooded,
leaving more than 25,000 homeless, while high waves swept away more
than 200 ships and wrecked mooring facilities in 24 ports.
Meanwhile, Rusa has also killed scores of people in North Korea
and left many missing or injured, the North's official KCNA news
agency said on Monday.
Most costly
Rescue workers, police and soldiers battled to reconnect roads,
and clear tons of mud off flooded South Korean streets on Monday,
with damage to properties expected to be the largest in history.
While property losses were initially estimated at over 260 million
dollars, South Korea's disaster prevention headquarters says losses
are heading towards the 300 million dollar mark.
But insurers say it will be at least a week before realistic estimates
will be known.
Many neighborhoods in worst hit east coast region of Kangneung
were cut off on Monday, without electricity or drinking water.
Tens of thousands of acres of farmland were reportedly ruined,
triggering worries about a steep hike in food prices.
Red Cross and government authorities rushed blankets, instant noodles
and other relief goods to flood victims. Soldiers and police were
mobilized for the relief work.
Rail and highway traffic between Seoul and Busan, the nation's
second largest city on the south coast, was partly open Monday after
workers repaired damaged sections overnight.
Domestic air services, which had been crippled over the weekend,
returned to normal Monday, airport officials said. Ferry services
were partly restored.
Rusa, the Malaysian word for deer, was the most powerful typhoon
to hit South Korea since Sarah in 1959, which left over 840 people
dead or missing. |
MIAMI, Florida (CNN) --
A tropical storm warning stretching from the north Florida coast
to the Georgia-South Carolina border was downgraded to a watch Monday
evening as Tropical Storm Edouard continued to drift off the coast.
As of 11 p.m., Edouard with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph was
about 175 miles east of Jacksonville, Florida. The storm was nearly
stationary.
With the tropical storm warning being dropped, the watch now extends
from Titusville, Florida, to the South Santee River in South Carolina.
"It's just drifting around," said Robert Molleda, a meteorologist
with the National Hurricane Center.
He said the storm was expected to remain "slow and erratic"
in the coming days. The heaviest rain accompanying the storm is
east of Edouard's eye, so the land areas closest to the storm have
yet to be seriously affected.
Tropical storm watches were in effect from north of Titusville,
Florida, to Fernandina Beach and from the Savannah River to the
South Santee River in South Carolina.
Forecasts from St. Augustine, Florida, to Savannah, Georgia, called
for thunderstorms and strong winds during the day Monday.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Dolly -- which rushed toward hurricane
strength (74 mph) late last week before backing off short of the
mark and turning north well out to sea -- continued to weaken Monday.
The storm was centered 550 miles east-northeast of the Leeward
Islands in the southeastern Caribbean Sea, moving north-northwest
near 9 mph. |
GALVESTON, Texas (CNN) --
The remnants of Tropical Storm Fay dumped heavy rains and spawned
tornadoes Saturday as they moved inland over Texas.
The slow-moving, poorly defined storm was downgraded to a tropical
depression Saturday morning.
Up to a foot of rain fell in Freeport and West Columbia, in coastal
Brazoria County and 5 to 8 inches were reported in Matagorda and
Wharton counties, according to The Associated Press. Storm surges
in the warning area were expected to top 4 feet to 6 feet above
normal.
Street flooding, coastal erosion and scattered power outages were
reported in southeastern Texas, but the storm caused no serious
injuries, The Associated Press reported.
Ankle-deep water damaged some homes in Wharton County, about 60
miles southwest of Houston.
Two tornadoes were reported there, according to The Associated
Press -- one destroyed a mobile home near Bolig and another damaged
a house in Hungerford. A tornado was also reported in Fort Bend
County.
The National Weather Service issued flash flood warnings for much
of the southern part of the state, including Austin and San Antonio,
where there was severe flooding in July.
Severe weather advisories were also issued for southern Louisiana
and much of Mississippi.
Fay failed to become the Atlantic season's first full-fledged hurricane.
Last June, the remnants of Tropical Storm Allison caused widespread
flooding in the region, particularly in Houston. The deluge caused
billions of dollars in damage and killed 22 people. |
BEIJING, China -- Nine
people were killed and three missing as Typhoon Sinlaku unleashed
heavy rains and winds on China's southeast coast, state media said
on Sunday.
Hundreds of thousands of people were forced to move to safety as
torrential rains and high winds battered the area.
The official Xinhua news agency said Sinlaku hit land on Saturday
evening near the coastal city of Wenzhou in Zhejiang province --
China's cradle of private enterprise.
Disaster relief officials said nine people were dead and three
missing, Xinhua said.
The Shanghai Morning Post newspaper quoted provincial officials
as saying the typhoon had caused 310 million yuan ($37.45 million)
in property damage and had knocked down at least 1,000 homes in
Wenzhou.
Wenzhou, where about 300,000 people were forced to leave their
homes, is home to tens of thousands of family firms that churn out
everything from telecommunications circuits to cigarette lighters
Two people were missing in Taiwan after the storm hit the north
of the island on its way to the coast of the mainland.
The China Meteorological Administration has said Sinlaku packed
sustained winds of 133 kph (81 mph).
Up to 90 millimeters (3.5 inches) of rain inundated Zhejiang, Lu
said.
Reservoirs and drainage systems were being monitored, according
to Xinhua.
On Saturday, about 48,000 people working on fish and shellfish
farms outside Wenzhou were moved to safety inside the city's seawall,
Xinhua and China Central Television reported.
Children and elderly residents of Qidu, an island off Wenzhou with
a population of 10,000, were evacuated to the mainland in anticipation
of high tides, gales and torrential rains, the reports said.
An unspecified number of others were also evacuated from mountain
villages vulnerable to flash floods and landslides.
The storm has since moved south to the coastal Fujian province
and inland to Jiangxi province, officials said Sunday, but gave
no details of injuries or damage.
Sinlaku -- named after a Micronesian goddess -- battered Japan's
Okinawa island on Thursday, leaving five Philippine sailors missing
and injuring at least 29 people. |
MANTI, Utah (CNN) -- A
tornado swept through central Utah on Sunday afternoon, ripping
apart roofs, telephone poles and trees, and causing an estimated
$1 million in damage, officials said.
The twister, captured on amateur video as a long, thin, brown funnel,
moved through the Sanpete Valley near Manti about 1:49 p.m. (3:49
p.m. EDT), said Jeff Craven, a meteorologist with the National Weather
Service.
"The amazing thing: not an injury reported," said Lt.
Rick Howe of the Sanpete County Sheriff's Office.
Howe said the twister touched down three times -- first southwest
of town in a ranching area, then in the central part of Manti, and
finally on the east side of town, where it caused extensive damage
to homes.
"Where it touched down is just devastating," Howe said.
"There are garages where the walls are gone and the roof is
just sitting on the ground. There's a home where part of the home
is simply missing. One house -- it didn't really do a lot of damage
to the house, it just simply blew all the windows out."
He said the garage over one woman's car has disappeared, her car
apparently OK and still parked in its place. In another instance,
the twister destroyed a travel trailer, blowing the trailer one
way and its axles and frames another way.
Sheriff's officials estimated the twister had winds of more than
113 mph.
The tornado brought with it golf-ball-size hail, Craven said.
At the second place where the tornado touched down, it struck Anderson
Lumber, destroying the building and spewing lumber and plywood in
all directions, Howe said.
"As I'm watching, I'm watching it just tear the roof off Anderson
Lumber," said Carolyn Nordell, who lives a quarter-mile away.
"It was like a Discovery Channel special on tornadoes."
"Big chunks" of the roof went in the air, and then the
entire aluminum roof was rolled off the building like the top of
a can of sardines. "I was in shock," she told CNN.
"We've got four 100-year-old pine trees in front of our house,
and I'm looking in between the pine trees and you can see all this
debris twirling up just 1,000 feet up towards the sky," she
said.
"I see the funnel cloud go up into the sky, and then it went
back down again, and then it went back up -- and then it was gone,"
she said.
Spotters for the local branch of the weather service reported seeing
the funnel cloud move into the mountains to the east of Manti, where
it weakened and disappeared, Craven said.
Nordell said her house was spared, but the tornado caused a quarter-mile
swath of damage on the east side of State Highway 89.
Howe of the Sheriff's Department said volunteers had come in from
neighboring towns, along with Red Cross officials, and power company
workers were trying to restore electricity. A local store also donated
food and drinks for the volunteers, he said. |
NIMES, France -- At
least 20 people have died and a further 12 are missing in the floods
and storms that have hit southern France.
Three children are among those who have perished. Sixteen of those
killed were mainly from the area around Nimes, famous for its Roman
ruins.
Rescuers are searching for the missing residents in areas around
the Gard region which has been hardest-hit by the violent weather
system.
Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin toured the area by helicopter
early on Tuesday and has pledged to release 10 million euros ($9.8m)
of state aid for the region.
"I have come here to show emotion and national solidarity
for all our compatriots, Raffarin said in Sommieres.
Train services remain suspended across parts of southern France
and many roads are still closed.
About 500 rescue workers have been joined by 300 soldiers after
authorities declared a state of alert.
Amphibious armoured cars were used to try to gain access to roads
cut off by fast-flowing, waist-high water.
About 250 people were evacuated from their homes by helicopter
while a further 900 were forced to flee to temporary shelters set
up by the Red Cross and local authorities.
Electricity is gradually being restored but 15,000 homes remain
without power, LCI television reported.
Fourteen of those killed were from the area around Nimes, a town
with famous Roman ruins.
Emergency teams rushed overnight to the village of Aramon, near
Nimes, after a dam burst its banks and left most of the village
submerged, officials told The Associated Press.
"An embankment gave way and released a huge swell of water
on the village," a spokesman for the local prefect's office
told Reuters.
Rescue units said they are still searching for three residents.
Violent rainstorms that started on Sunday have caused rivers to
burst their banks, forcing more than 1,000 people to flee their
homes.
The weather improved on Tuesday morning and high-speed TGV trains
running between Paris and Marseille resumed normal service after
delays of several hours on Monday, the SNCF state railways said.
The TGV rail service between Nimes and Montpellier was suspended,
along with trains between Montpellier and Marseille.
The floods are the second in two weeks to have hit France.
Last month about 150 homes were flooded around the northern town
of Lille while a "mini-tornado" ripped through parts of
the French Riviera, including Nice and Cannes.
The heavy rain in France follows disastrous flooding in Germany,
Russia, Austria and the Czech Republic earlier this summer which
killed at least 98 people and drove hundreds of thousands from their
homes. |
Look west during the evening
this month and you will see the brightest "star" become
even brighter.
Venus will burn brighter each night in the coming weeks, making
September a good opportunity to spot extremely rare astronomical
treats: planetary pillars or dogs.
The sun and occasionally the moon are known to produce pillars
and dogs, optical illusions formed in the atmosphere when either
object is near the horizon.
Sunlight reflecting in the ice crystals of cirrus clouds, for example,
can create glittering vertical shafts of light above or below the
sun, known as sun pillars.
The same high-altitude ice crystals can produce sun dogs, or bright
spots to the left and right of the low-lying sun and at about the
same altitude.
Similar atmospheric conditions can make moon pillars and dogs,
but Venus versions of the light tricks remain elusive.
Carol Lakomiak of Tomahawk, Wisconsin, captured perhaps the first
Venus pillar on camera in April.
"Venus looked very strange," she told the Science@NASA
Web site. "I saw beams of light jutting from the top and bottom
of the planet, and there were moments when they were visible without
optical aid."
If the evening star boasts pillars, astronomers speculate it has
dogs as well, even though no one has yet reported seeing them.
Les Cowley, a retired physicist, suggests that venusian pillar
and dog hunters search the night sky when cirrus clouds are near
the horizon or when sun pillars or dogs were seen earlier in the
evening.
The ideal time to look is between 9:30 and 10:00 p.m., when Venus
approaches the horizon and the sky is dark.
Venus also starred in a more dependable celestial show this week.
The planet teamed up with the crescent moon Monday evening. The
two appeared quite close together, low in the western sky near the
constellation Virgo. |
Tropical Storm Gustav, which
buffeted the coasts of North Carolina and Virginia, became the first
hurricane of the 2002 Atlantic season on Wednesday.
The storm traveled up the eastern seaboard Wednesday and gathered
enough punch to be declared a hurricane by the National Weather
Service.
Hurricane Gustav, with 90 mph winds, was still 275 miles from land,
south- southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia, at 5 p.m. ET., heading
northeast at 38 mph.
The Meteorological Service of Canada issued rainfall and wind warnings
for much of Newfoundland, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island as
the hurricane was expected to merge with a low pressure system from
the Great Lakes and become a massive post-tropical low pressure
system.
Hurricane force winds extended 85 miles out from the center, while
the tropical storm wind boundary reached out 260 miles.
Six earlier tropical storms failed to reach the 74 mph mark that
indicates a hurricane.
National Weather Service forecasters in Miami said they expected
little change in Gustav's strength over the next 24 hours, but said
the storm's forward march should pick up.
The rain and wind should diminish later Thursday as the storm heads
farther out to sea, Canadian forecasters said.
As a tropical storm, Gustav drove strong riptides and high surf
onto the North Carolina and Virginia coasts, temporarily knocking
power out on parts of North Carolina's Outer Banks. |
Coronal holes appear as dark areas
of the corona when viewed in ultraviolet light. This large hole area
seen here on 10 September 2002 had a direct impact on Earth. Coronal
holes are often the source of strong solar wind gusts that carry solar
particles into space. This one spewed a large stream of charged particles
out to our magnetosphere and beyond. Solar wind streams take 2-3 days
to travel from the Sun to Earth, so it probably originated from the
Sun about 9 September. The CELIAS/MTOF chart (link above) shows the
erratic but definite increase in velocity and density of the solar
wind on 11 September. Spaceweather.com reported that a moderate geomagnetic
storm from the solar wind stream triggered aurora 11 September that
were visible from the higher latitudes on Earth.
The magnetic field lines in a coronal hole extend out into the
solar wind rather than coming back down to the Sun's surface as
they do in other parts of the Sun. Although they are usually located
near the poles of the Sun, coronal holes can occur other places
as well. |
MIAMI, Florida (CNN) --
A tropical depression churning over the central Gulf of Mexico
strengthened Friday morning and became Tropical Storm Hanna, the
season's eighth named storm.
The National Weather Service issued a tropical storm warning from
Grand Isle, Louisiana, to Apalachicola, Florida. A tropical storm
warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within
the next 24 hours.
Hanna is expected to turn to the north later today, the Weather
Service said. The center of the storm is expected to reach the coast
within the warning area sometime Saturday morning.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect from east of Apalachicola
to the Suwanee River in Florida.
Hanna's maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts.
Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, although
Hanna is not expected to reach hurricane intensity prior to landfall.
At 4 a.m. CDT Friday, the center of the storm was 255 miles south-southwest
of Pensacola, Florida. It was moving toward the northwest at about
8 mph.
Rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated higher amounts,
can be expected near the path of Hanna, the Weather Service said.
Large waves and dangerous rip currents will gradually increase across
the watch and warning area on Friday.
Isolated tornadoes are possible, forecasters said, mainly to the
east of where the center of Hanna makes landfall.
The first six storms of the Atlantic season all reached tropical
storm strength but fell short of hurricane force 74 mph winds. But
the seventh storm, Gustav, barreled offshore from the Atlantic seaboard
and reached hurricane status near the Canadian east coast, far from
its tropical origins.
Gustav spread heavy rain and high winds over Nova Scotia, Prince
Edward Island and Newfoundland before heading off to the Labrador
Sea, where it lost its hurricane status but remained a very large
and strong extratropical storm.
Earlier this week, as a tropical storm, Gustav tormented North
Carolina's Outer Banks. |
PENSACOLA, Florida (CNN) --
Residents in drought-stricken states in the South monitored Tropical
Storm Hanna on Friday, hoping the weak system would chug ashore
with much needed rain.
Hanna already has dumped heavy rain in parts of the Florida Panhandle,
a region that has an annual rainfall deficit of up to 13 inches.
According to the National Weather Service, 4 to 5 inches of has
fallen along the Florida coast in Wakulla and Franklin counties.
Bands of rain also moved into north Georgia.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
about half the nation has been affected by drought this year and
many residents in the storm's projected path welcomed the rain. |
The climate record for the past
100,000 years clearly indicates that the climate system has undergone
periodic—and often extreme—shifts, sometimes in as little as a decade
or less. The causes of abrupt climate changes have not been clearly
established, but the triggering of events is likely to be the result
of multiple natural processes.
Abrupt climate changes of the magnitude seen in the past would have
far-reaching implications for human society and ecosystems, including
major impacts on energy consumption and water supply demands. Could
such a change happen again? Are human activities exacerbating the
likelihood of abrupt climate change? What are the potential societal
consequences of such a change?
Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises looks at the current
scientific evidence and theoretical understanding to describe what
is currently known about abrupt climate change, including patterns
and magnitudes, mechanisms, and probability of occurrence. It identifies
critical knowledge gaps concerning the potential for future abrupt
changes, including those aspects of change most important to society
and economies, and outlines a research strategy to close those gaps.
Based on the best and most current research available, this book surveys
the history of climate change and makes a series of specific recommendations
for the future.
"...a thorough and readable look at the evidence
for quick climate changes, theories about what is behind them, global
warming as a possible trigger for such changes in the future, and
the potential economic and ecological impacts of sudden climate
changes."
-- USAToday.com
"The book is interdisciplinary and written in an accessible
style. It is a must-read for anybody interested in long-term climate
policy."
-- Climatic Change, 2004
"Very important, perhaps more so in the long run than human
terrorism, which has elicited a robust response."
-- Future Survey, June 2002
|
Most of the studies
and debates on potential climate change have focused on the ongoing
buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual
increase in global temperatures. But recent and rapidly advancing
evidence demonstrates that Earth’s climate repeatedly has shifted
dramatically and in time spans as short as a decade. And abrupt climate
change may be more likely in the future. Common
Misconceptions about Abrupt Climate Change
Several decades of scientific research have yielded significant
advances in understanding the ocean's role in regulating Earth's
climate. This summary covers some of the major points about abrupt
climate change that are often misunderstood.
Are
We on the Brink of a ‘New Little Ice Age?’
By WHOI scientists Terrence Joyce and Lloyd Keigwin
The authors discuss the paradox that global warming could, counterintuitively,
instigate a new ‘Little Ice Age’ in the northern hemisphere.
August 06, 2002
Ice
Age in Europe
WBUR’s Here & Now Interview with WHOI Scientist Ray Schmitt
(Click on "Listen to the Show" icon.
Interview is approximately 14 minutes into the show.)
April 18, 2002
The
Heat Before the Cold
A New York Times Op-Ed by WHOI Scientist Terrence Joyce
__________________
Tropical Storm Fay formed in the Gulf of Mexico
on Thursday and threatened coastal areas of Texas and Louisiana with
heavy rains. -Tropical Storm Edouard, downgraded
to a depression, was expected to bring bands of heavy rain, wind and
high surf as it moved through Florida and Georgia on Thursday.
At least five people were swept away
by the flooded Narmada river in India's Gujarat state, a senior
government official said Thursday. |
Scanning the universe with
the most powerful orbiting observatories, scientists have discovered
different types of black holes in the most unexpected places.
The findings could shed light on how galaxies form and interact
with surrounding star groups as well as revamp theories on the evolution
of the universe.
Using the Hubble Space Telescope, researchers confirmed for the
first time the existence of medium-size black holes, according to
NASA, which announced the findings Tuesday.
"Black holes are more common in the universe than previously
thought," said Hubble scientist Roeland van der Marel. "These
findings may be telling us something very deep about the formation
of star clusters and black holes in the early universe."
Van der Marel and colleagues found the elusive class of black holes,
previously only the subject of speculation, in the hearts of globular
star clusters.
Finding the 'missing link'
The thick star swarms formed billions of years ago, possess the
oldest stars in the cosmos and hover around more conventional galaxies
such as the Milky Way.
"These new data from the Hubble help us connect globular clusters
to galaxies," said Michael Rich of the University of California,
Los Angeles, another of the black hole hunters.
One of the black holes, about 32,000 light-years away in the globular
cluster M15, has an estimated mass 4,000 times that of the sun.
To compare, small black holes peppered throughout the cosmos have
only several times more mass than the sun.
The largest known ones, which lurk in the core of many galaxies,
including the Milky Way, are thought to have millions or billions
of times the mass of the sun.
"Medium-size black holes are an astronomical missing link,"
said Steinn Sigurdsson of Pennsylvania State University in University
Park.
Many scientists speculate that small black holes served as seeds
for larger ones, merging with nearby peers into increasingly larger
black holes in galactic cores over the eons.
"These intermediate-mass black holes that have now been found
with Hubble may be the building blocks of supermassive black holes
that dwell in the center of most galaxies," said Karl Gebhardt
of the University of Texas at Austin.
In old galaxies, more surprises
In another cosmic search with unforeseen results, scientists using
the Chandra X-ray Observatory in space and the Carnegie telescope
in Chile detected six times more active supermassive black holes
than expected in a cluster of aging galaxies.
Such black holes are thought to be common in young galaxies, where
the matter gobblers have plenty of material to satisfy their voracious
appetites.
But astronomers presumed such dynamic black holes were rare in
older galaxies, their supplies of gas and dust presumably depleted
over the eons.
"This changes our view of galaxy clusters as the retirement
homes for old and quiet black holes," astronomer Paul Martini
said last week.
Martini and colleagues published their findings in the September
10 issue of The Astrophysical Journal Letters.
Black holes are regions of space so staggeringly warped and dense
that light cannot escape their grasp. Small ones are thought to
be the collapsed remnants of stars much larger than the sun. Supermassive
specimens are squeezed into areas about the size of our solar system. |
Stanford University researchers
theorize that the universe could experience a cosmic crunch in 10
billion or 20 billion years.
Recent cosmological observations have suggested that the universe
will expand at an increasingly rapid rate for at least 100 billion
years and perhaps enlarge forever.
But according to a new scientific model, the universe will slow
its pace of acceleration and then experience a fatal contraction.
"The universe may be doomed to collapse and disappear. Everything
we see now, and at a much larger distance that we cannot see, will
collapse into a point smaller than a proton," said Andrei Linde,
who conducted the research with Renata Kallosh, his wife and physics
colleague at Stanford.
"The standard vision at the moment is that the universe is
speeding up, so we were surprised to find that a collapse could
happen with such a short amount of time," Linde said.
Linde is one of the pioneers of Inflation theory, an increasingly
popular revision of the proposed Big Bang.
First advanced in the 1980s, it suggests that the universe rapidly
inflated into a much larger cosmos only a fraction of a moment after
it began.
Will the universe expand forever and become cool and dark, collapse
into nothingness in a cosmic crunch, or remain in equilibrium between
the forces of gravity and expansion?
Inflationary theory predicts a "flat" universe, or one
where the competing forces pulling and contracting the universe
stay balanced.
The debate, by no means settled among cosmologists, hinges on the
role of mysterious and theoretical phenomena known as dark matter
and dark energy.
Throw into the mix such notions as string theory, supergravity,
extra dimensions and multiple universes, and the question becomes
even more muddled.
Yet looking at some of the best work in the field of dark energy,
Linde and Kallosh concluded it would change from a positive to a
negative force.
Their cosmological model, described in related reports on www.arXiv.org,
a Web site sponsored by the National Science Foundation and Cornell
University, generated another unexpected prediction: the universe,
estimated to be about 14 billion years old, is already middle-aged.
"Physicists have known that dark energy could become negative
and the universe could collapse sometime in the distant future,
perhaps a trillion years," Linde said. "But now we see
that we might be not in the beginning, but in the middle of the
life cycle of our universe."
One noted scientist had a lukewarm response to the hypothesis.
"Because their proposal is based on rather specific models
and assumptions and their is no current evidence for it, I would
say it logically possible, but not compelling," said physicist
Paul Steinhardt.
The Princeton University professor helped developed an alternative
cosmological theory that proposes that the universe began by colliding
with another universe, with both existing in a higher dimensional
medium.
"They are only attempting to explain the evolution of the
universe between now and the collapse, whereas we showed how this
can be embedded in a larger cyclic scenario that leads to an eternal
universe," Steinhardt said.
Linde concedes that the work is raw and that astronomy is an inexact
science at best, and known for continuous revisions. Recalling an
ongoing joke among cosmologists, the Stanford University professor
quipped:
"Astrophysicists are always in error but never in doubt." |
|
Andrea Aletti of the Schiaparelli
Astronomical Observatory captured this 10-minute exposure of
J002E3 gliding among the stars of the constellation Taurus on
Sept. 17th. J002E3 rotates or tumbles every minute or so, which
causes the brightness variations shown in the picture. [more] |
Something odd
is circling our planet. It's small, perhaps only 60-ft long,
and rotates once every minute or so. Amateur astronomer Bill
Yeung first spotted the 16th magnitude speck of light on Sept.
3rd in the constellation Pisces. He named it J002E3.
Automated asteroid surveys scan the skies every few weeks,
yet there was no sign of Yeung's object earlier this year.
"It must have entered Earth orbit recently," says
Paul Chodas of NASA's Near-Earth Object Program at JPL. "But
it doesn't match any recently-launched spacecraft."
In other words, it's a mystery.
Could it be an alien spaceship? "If it is," says
Chodas, "the aliens aren't good pilots. J002E3 is in
a chaotic orbit. It loops around Earth once every 48 days
or so, coming as close to our planet as the Moon and ranging
as far away as two lunar distances." There's no evidence
that the speck is moving under its own power. The orbit is
constantly changing because of gravitational perturbations
by the Sun and Moon.
At first Yeung and others thought J002E3 might be a small
asteroid--a reasonable guess. The object is as bright as a
30m-wide space rock and it's moving about as fast as an asteroid
should move. Mars and Jupiter have captured asteroid moons
before; perhaps Earth had done the same.
It was a good idea, except for the paint.
That's what University of Arizona astronomers found on Sept.
12th when they measured the spectrum of sunlight reflected
from J002E3. "The colors were consistent with ... white
titanium dioxide paint--the type of paint NASA used on Apollo
moon rockets 30 years ago," says Carl Hergenrother, who
conducted the study with colleague Robert Whiteley. |
|
Left: Click on the image
to view animations of J002E3's strange orbit. [more] |
So, J002E3 might
be a spacecraft after all--an old one from Earth. Where has
it been all these years?
"Orbiting the Sun," answers Chodas. "I've
traced the motion of J002E3 backwards in time to find out
where it's been," he explains. Apparently, J002E3 left
Earth in 1971, went around the Sun 30 or so times, and came
back again. Chodas, a expert in planetary motion who has seen
plenty of complicated orbits, says "I've never seen anything
like this."
At first glance, J002E3 would seem to be from Apollo 14.
That mission began in January of 1971, and according to Chodas'
calculations J002E3 broke out of Earth orbit in March of the
same year. There's a problem, though: NASA has accounted for
all the big pieces of the Apollo 14 spacecraft. None are missing.
Chodas inventories the mission: On Jan. 31, 1971, a Saturn
V rocket blasted off from Florida with Al Shepard, Ed Mitchell
and Stuart Roosa inside. Two stages of the rocket fell back
to Earth when they exhausted their fuel. A third stage, the
S-IVB fuel tank and rocket engine, which propelled the crew
from Earth-orbit toward the Moon, was likewise discarded.
The S-IVB, however, did not fall back to Earth; it hit the
Moon. Ground controllers guided it there on purpose to provide
an impact for lunar seismic monitoring stations. The lunar
module Antares was also deliberately crashed--more
data for the seismic network. The command module Kitty
Hawk returned the crew to Earth. |
|
MOSCOW, Russia - An estimated
110 people are feared dead after an avalanche roared through villages
and resort camps in the southern Russian republic of North Ossetia.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has called the tragedy a "major
disaster."
An emergency official at the scene said on Saturday the village
of Nizhny Karmadon in the Caucasus mountain range, where about 50
people lived, was almost entirely covered in ice and that there
was little chance of finding anyone alive there.
North Ossetia's Prime Minister, Mikhail Shatalov, told ITAR-Tass
news agency about 100 people are feared to have perished.
A spokesman for the North Ossetia Presidential Press Service, Lev
Dzugaev, said the avalanche occurred at 9 p.m. local time Friday,
covering the 12 houses in the village of 20 people.
Another 10 visitors are also missing.
Actor Sergei Bodrov Junior, the son of a well-known Moscow film
director, and 23 of his 25-member film crew, who were filming a
movie in the area, are also unaccounted for, a spokeswoman for the
Russian Emergency Ministry said.
After wiping out Nizhny Karmadon, the avalanche swept through a
number of local resorts, where authorities predicted other victims
may be found.
The avalanche came to rest near the entrance to the Karmadon Gorge,
blocking it and raising the danger of flooding.
At that point, Dzugaev said, the ice and debris are approximately
90 metres thick.
The huge lump of ice, which Interfax news agency put at two to
three million cubic metres (70 to 100 million cubic feet) in volume,
clipped the village of Karmadon as it thundered along its path.
"There are 15 homes buried in Karmadon and about 30 people
may live in these homes," an emergencies ministry official
told Reuters.
Interfax news agency quoted local officials as saying the area
now faced the threat of flooding since the main river had been blocked
by the ice-fall.
A 40-member rescue team, accompanied by dogs trained to detect
people entombed in debris, was crossing rough terrain to reach the
disaster site on foot and 100 more people are set to join the search
party later on Saturday.
Search and rescue helicopters flew over the area from first light
to detect signs of survivors from the air.
The Russian Emergency Ministry in Moscow has sent rescuers with
sniffer dogs to search for buried survivors.
The North Ossetia region lies on the northern edge of the Caucasus
range on Russia's border with Georgia. |
|
JACKSON, Mississippi (CNN)
-- The much-feared Isidore whimpered out over land Thursday,
but the heavy rain it brought left swaths of flooding in Mississippi
and Louisiana. The rain continued into the evening in the northern
part of the Magnolia state as the system moved into Tennessee.
Middle and west Tennessee will spend the night under a flood watch
after Isidore dumped up to 6 inches of rain on the state.
Two people in Mississippi were killed as a result of the tropical
storm. Amy Carruth, spokeswoman for the Mississippi Emergency Management
Agency, said a 67-year-old man in Henderson Point died of a heart
attack early Thursday morning. Rescue crews were unable to reach
his home due to high waters and flooded roads in the area.
A 31-year-old man in Scott County died Thursday afternoon when
he drove his car off a highway to dodge a falling tree in the heavy
rain, Carruth said. No other serious injuries were reported in the
state.
Isidore's winds have fizzled into a tropical depression, but forecasters
warn life-threatening floods are still a risk from the 4 to 8 inches
of rain expected near the path of the storm system as it heads north
to the Tennessee and Ohio valleys.
Isolated tornadoes are also possible overnight in portions of central
and northern Alabama and parts of central Georgia.
Officials in water-logged Mississippi fear their troubles will
worsen when the rain falling in the north runs down river.
'Worst flood they have seen in probably 20 years'
"The Gulf Coast has really been hit hard as far as flooding
and water damage," Carruth said. "But over the next 24
hours we're really concerned about river flooding -- the storm is
moving upstate, upstream and what is upstream has got to come downstream."
"We're looking at more flooding by this weekend," she
said. "We're not talking about something that's going to stop
today when the rain stops."
Some 10 to 12 inches of rain had fallen, with an additional 8 to
10 more expected said Carruth, who described the precipitation as
"unbelievable."
"We've got two counties -- Pike and Lincoln -- their emergency
management directors said this is the worst flood they have seen
in probably 20 years," said Carruth.
Carruth said those directors called her office from boats to report
the status of their counties Thursday morning -- the rising water
had forced them from their offices.
Five shelters were still open in the state late Thursday afternoon.
Some residents returning to flood-damaged homes found they had no
electricity.
Carruth said damage assessment teams would fan out across the state
Friday to survey the ravages of Isidore.
In neighboring Louisiana, where the storm hit first, Federal Emergency
Management Director Joe Allbaugh toured hard-hit areas in a helicopter
with Gov. Mike Foster. The state has asked for a federal disaster
declaration so it can begin receiving federal aid to help residents.
In Delacroix, a fishing town east of New Orleans, Susan Serpas
told The Associated Press, "I don't know whose they are, but
I've got three recliner chairs in my yard."
Southern Louisiana 'getting back to normal'
Deborah Conrad of Louisiana's Office of Emergency Preparedness
said a preliminary survey shows about 2,300 structures in the state
were flooded and are inaccessible. She said 38 shelters were still
open statewide and about 2,500 residents were in them.
"Most of the south of the state is getting back to normal,"
she said. "People are going back to their homes."
That includes most of the 1,500 residents of Grand Isle, who evacuated
Tuesday. The only road linking the resort island with the mainland
was closed when it flooded. About 50 people, mostly firefighters
and police officers, remained on the island.
"We had to do some relocations last night of residents who
had decided to stay but then got worried when they saw the water
rising," said fire official Laine Landry, adding that the entire
island was still without power.
About one mile of Grand Isle's protection levee on the beach was
lost when Isidore swept ashore, Landry said, and many houses on
the island were flooded.
New Orleans' main expressway, Interstate 10, was reopened Thursday
night, police said, after flooding Wednesday submerged the road
and several cars. Patrick Evans, director of communications for
Mayor Ray Nagin, said there were no reports of serious injuries
or accidents.
He said forecasters called for "gorgeous" weather for
the weekend.
"We want people to come here and have fun," Evans said.
CNN Correspondent Jeff Flock contributed to this report. |
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