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Thu, 09 Feb 2023
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Snowflake Cold

1,695 low max records broken or tied from Sept 11 to Sept 20, one broken by 25F - NOAA report

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© Sunshinehours.wordpress.com
NOAA - 1695 Low Max Records Broken or Tied From Sept 11 to Sept 20. One record broken by 25F

Wow. One record was broken by 25F!!!! 1695 Low Max Records Broken or Tied From Sept 11 to Sept 20 according to the NOAA. A "Low Max" means that the maximum temperatures for the day was the lowest it has ever been. This indicates daytime cooling. Above is a screenshot showing location and the biggest difference between old record and new record.

Igloo

Russian national television film warns of cooling...Scientist calls Arctic model runs "Far from ideal"!

Andrey Proshutinsky
© Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Andrey Proshutinsky.
In today's post you will find a Russian National Television film below, viewed only 70 times so far at Youtube, where Russian scientists express doubt on the IPCC's version of the CO2 story, and warn of a coming cold period. It is the kind of film alarmists do not want the public to see. It is dubbed over in English

In fact Russian scientists warn that the recent Arctic melt may actually forbode a coming cold. It's happened before.

In yesterday's post here I wrote about how Max-Planck-Institute Arctic scientist Dirk Notz said he would not bet on the Arctic ice decreasing in the years ahead, saying in a nutshell that there are just too many poorly understood factors and play.

In his response Notz brought up Andrey Proshutinsky (photo above), a senior Russian scientist at the Department of Physical Oceanography at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. I sent him an e-mail for comment, and I'm very pleased to say he replied (my emphasis):
Dear Pierre,

I am sorry for delay with my response. I just got your message because of traveling.

Answering your question I can say that the situation with Arctic ice changes is highly uncertain. Our observational record is too short, models are not perfect and initial conditions used for model runs are also very far from ideal. We speculate that Greenland ice melt could be a factor influencing Arctic-Subarctic processes but how it will work is not clear yet. More observations and modeling studies are needed.

Thanks,

Andrey"
His advisories are unmistakable: 1) initial conditions for model runs are "very far from ideal" and that 2) "the observational record is too short", and thus taken together ought to be a very loud and clear message to policymakers who are in a rush to declare the science settled and to build a phony climate thermostat.

Snowflake Cold

September in Romania - "Snow as in the dead of winter"

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Bucegi Plateau
"Winter weather in September."

Romania, 24 September 2014: All Bucegi Plateau was covered yesterday morning, with a thick layer of snow five inches deep, at over 2,000 meters altitude, temperatures down to - 2 degrees Celsius and snow as in the dead of winter.

Rainfall stopped at dawn, but the wind blew hard and increased, with a speed exceeding 100 km / h and the Busteni cable did not work.

Info

Frozen barley crops will raise craft beer prices higher in N. America

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Beer prices in North America may rise next year as brewers and maltsters face higher costs after cold, wet weather damaged Canadian barley crops and left farmers and tipplers crying in their beer.

Canada, the world's second-biggest exporter of malting barley, was already harvesting its smallest crop since 1968, before a recent dump of snow and freezing temperatures in Alberta, the biggest barley-growing province.

The shortage will hit craft brewers the hardest, since they typically keep less malt inventory on hand than larger breweries that are also better able to absorb costs.

"Prices (going) up means our costs go up and beer prices ultimately go up," said Neil Herbst, co-owner of Edmonton-based Alley Kat Brewery. "Any small brewery is going to be exposed."

With supplies tight, the premium maltsters pay for high-quality malting barley has grown and that cost will pass along to brewers who are not protected by long-term supply contracts.

Craft brewers, the small breweries that are independently owned, typically have shorter-term supply contracts than big brewers to buy malt, which is a product made from germinating and drying cereal grains.

Snowflake Cold

Signs of the Ice Age - summers shorten in Norway

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When it was warmer in the past decade we were told the shortening winters and longer summers were a sign of man made global warming. Now it seems Summers are shortening in the Northern Hemisphere with early snow on both sides of the Atlantic just as the marionettes march world wide to warn of us of the dangers of a [non] warming world many of whom were either not born or too young to remember when we had a wild jet stream. [emphasis added]

Snowflake Cold

Record snowfall for North Karelia, Finland in September

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© Juha Parviainen
Villagers in Ilomantsi, eastern Finland, woke to find their cars underneath 25 centimetres of snow on Tuesday.
Thick snowfall covers eastern Finland

Heavy snow fell in parts of North Karelia during Monday night and Tuesday morning, along the border with Russia.

Residents in the small town of Ilomantsi, the easternmost in Finland, woke up to find a blanket of over 25 cm (10 inches) of snow. Authorities warned that roads in the area are very slippery and said there have been reports of minor collisions.

Snowy conditions are forecast to continue into the week.

Chalkboard

On the Information Superhighway, there's no such thing as a true science denier

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© Tinadupuy.com
Science isn't like religion in that you can't just pick and choose the science you don't concur with. You can't, say, believe in evolution, but not for species you think are gross. Or think gravity is a sound theory but it only pertains to left-handed Oregonians. Or accept atomic theory but only for people named Adam.

You get the idea; that's not by definition scientific. If you trust in the rigors of science: evidence, testing, peer review etc. - you're used to the fact that science is completely indifferent to your feelings. Yes, we all want the sun to revolve around the Earth and for plastic to be nutritious for sea creatures, but in science, wishing it were true doesn't make it so.

Religion, on the other hand, gets to be custom fitted. You can be a Christian and if you don't like the part in the Bible about being happy when smashing babies against rocks (Psalms 137:9), you can just ignore it. Or if you no longer think it's kosher to even say publicly, "I do not permit a woman to teach or to assume authority over a man; she must be quiet (1 Timothy 2:12)," you can be mum on that one too. Disagree with slavery? No problem. Want to wear something besides linen? That's fine. Go to Red Lobster religiously? Still OK.

Islam is the same in that respect. President Obama said ISIS, the insanely well-funded terrorist group (who are also don't believe in evolution), isn't Islamic. This is how sectarian wars start - one group degrading the piety of another group claiming to be more pure/better/cleaner/uncorrupted then they are. Instead of a holy war about whose god is better, it's a splinter fight over whom god likes more.

Comment: The author should take her own advice and support real science instead of Zombie science. The data and research behind global cooling and an impending ice age is growing and growing.

Below is a definition of Zombie science from Not even trying... The Corruption of real science:
When a branch of science based on incoherent, false or phoney theories is serving a useful but non-scientific purpose it may be kept-going by continuous transfusions of cash from those whose non-scientific interests it serves.

For example, if a branch of pseudo-science based on a phoney theory is nonetheless valuable for political purposes (e.g. to justify a government intervention such as a new tax) or for marketing purposes (to provide the rationale for a marketing campaign) then real science expires and a 'zombie science' evolves.

Zombie science is science that is dead but will not lie down. It keeps twitching and lumbering around so that (from a distance, and with your eyes half-closed) zombie science looks much like real science.

But in fact the zombie has no life of its own; it is animated and moved only by the incessant pumping of funds.

*
Real science is coherent - and testable (testing being a matter of checking coherence with the result of past and future observations).

Real science finds its use, and gets its validation, from common sense evaluation and being deployed in technology.

Real science is validated (contingently) insofar as it leads to precise predictions that later come true; and leads to new ways of solving pressing problems and making useful changes in the world.

But zombie science is not coherent, therefore cannot be tested; its predications are vague or in fact retrospective summaries rather than predictions.

*
In a nutshell, zombie science is supported because it is useful propaganda; trading on the prestige which real science used-to have and which zombie science falsely claims for itself.

Zombie science is deployed in arenas such as political rhetoric, public administration, management, public relations, marketing and the mass media generally. It persuades, it constructs taboos, it buttresses rhetorical attempts to shape opinion.

Furthermore, most zombie sciences are supported by moral imperatives - to doubt the zombie science is therefore labelled as wicked, reckless, a tool of sinister and destructive forces.

To challenge zombie science is not merely to attack the livelihoods of zombie scientists (which, considering their consensus-based power, is itself dangerous) - but opens the attacker to being labelled a luddite, demagogue, anti-science, a denialist!

For all its incoherence and scientific worthlessness, zombie science therefore often comes across in the sound bite world of the mass media as being more plausible than real science; and it is precisely the superficial face-plausibility which in actuality is the sole and sufficient purpose of zombie science.
Climate Science is Zombie Science


Snowflake Cold

Burlington NY temperatures reach freezing mark for first time since 1964

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© Fox44/ABC22
Low temperatures versus records
In Burlington the temperature reached the freezing mark for the earliest time in the season since 1964! That data is according to the National Weather Service in Burlington.

Low temperatures dropped into the 20s and 30s across the area and broke/tied records in some cases. A record low was established in Massena, NY for Thursday and Friday. A record low was tied for Friday in Burlington and St. Johnsbury. These temperatures were 10-20 degrees below average for this time of the year!

It means the end of the growing season for 2014 for many. This is particularly early to see this kind of cold weather. Typically the Champlain Valley does not get frost until the first week of October. However this year for the Champlain Valley it has come nearly three weeks early.

Attention

Rare Arctic muskox spotted in northern Manitoba

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© Dan Wettlaufer
Manitoba hunters spotted a muskox, similar to the one pictured here, near Tadoule Lake recently and reported it to Manitoba Conservation. It's the first sighting in over a century in this province. This is a photograph of a muskox spotted at the Northwest Territories-Alberta border two years ago.
Conservationists are thrilled to hear hunters in northern Manitoba have spotted a muskox.

Hunters from Tadoule Lake told provincial officials last week they spotted a muskox from their canoe during a hunting trip.

Manitoba Conservation biologist Bill Watkins said the animal hasn't been seen in this province since the late 1800s.

While there are 75,000 muskox in the north, the Arctic animals named for the strong smell they give off during the rutting season, disappeared from this province during the fur trade.

Snowflake Cold

Killing freeze, widespread frost to seize the Northeast U.S. later this week

The chilliest air of the season so far will settle over much of the Northeast Thursday into Friday and will bring frost to more areas than experienced frost early this week.

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The pattern through this week will bring cooler-than-average temperatures to the region with a reinforcing push of cool air forecast to settle in Thursday night and Friday.

Where skies become clear and winds diminish Thursday night over the interior, the stage will be set for a frost and even a freeze in the coldest locations.