It was clear in March that IC's assumption of an IFR of 0.945% to get to 510,000 deaths in unmitigated pandemic was not supported by actual data - Diamond Princess. Studies showing IFR at around 0.22% - lot of data on https://t.co/BSdRIw2jhh pic.twitter.com/4i85vc0JGZ

— Thinking Slow (@ThinkingSlow1) May 5, 2020