๐๐Ž๐‹๐˜๐Œ๐€๐‘๐Š๐„๐“: ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘% ๐‚๐‡๐€๐๐‚๐„ ๐’๐๐„๐๐‚๐„๐‘ ๐๐‘๐€๐“๐“ ๐€๐ƒ๐•๐€๐๐‚๐„๐’ ๐“๐Ž ๐Ž๐๐„-๐Ž๐-๐Ž๐๐„ ๐‘๐€๐‚๐„ ๐€๐†๐€๐ˆ๐๐’๐“ ๐Š๐€๐‘๐„๐ ๐๐€๐’๐’ ๐“๐Ž๐๐ˆ๐†๐‡๐“

Polymarket is now pricing a 73% probability that Spencer Pratt advances out of tonightโ€™s LA mayoral primary intoโ€ฆ pic.twitter.com/TlDILDo7Do

— M.A. Rothman (@MichaelARothman) June 2, 2026
๐๐Ž๐‹๐˜๐Œ๐€๐‘๐Š๐„๐“: ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘% ๐‚๐‡๐€๐๐‚๐„ ๐’๐๐„๐๐‚๐„๐‘ ๐๐‘๐€๐“๐“ ๐€๐ƒ๐•๐€๐๐‚๐„๐’ ๐“๐Ž ๐Ž๐๐„-๐Ž๐-๐Ž๐๐„ ๐‘๐€๐‚๐„ ๐€๐†๐€๐ˆ๐๐’๐“ ๐Š๐€๐‘๐„๐ ๐๐€๐’๐’ ๐“๐Ž๐๐ˆ๐†๐‡๐“

Polymarket is now pricing a 73% probability that Spencer Pratt advances out of tonightโ€™s LA mayoral primary into a head-to-head runoff against incumbent Karen Bass. That is when every Angeleno whoโ€™s tired of the encampments has to actually pick a side.

On the polling shape underneath the prediction-market line. ๐Š๐š๐ซ๐ž๐ง ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฐ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐จ๐ง ๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐š๐ฅ ๐›๐ฒ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ก๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ. If the anti-Bass vote consolidates around Pratt โ€” Crenshaw mothers, Palisades fire victims, small-business owners, and the small-but-real conservative bloc โ€” the runoff is a landslide.

On what tonight actually decides. ๐๐จ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ž๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ. Whether the city even gets a binary choice between common sense and four more years of Bassโ€™s tent-city management. The runoff is the whole game.

๐„๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ, ๐‹๐€. ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ. .....