Your central claim then is 'nursing homes are not testing deaths for Covid, and this continues today...'

An interesting claim, however, it is not 'obvious' at all, nor is it the null hypothesis - it must be SHOWN to be true by deductive evidence.

'Obvious' is a huckster line. pic.twitter.com/01pEpbY7bF

— Ethical Skeptic ☀ (@EthicalSkeptic) October 10, 2020