One problem with this, Minsk is economically reliant on Russia, so if Moscow tightens the screws it won't be able to pay for American oil. If Lukashenko tries to bring Belarus into the Western camp, the price will be losing his own grip on power, as it'll demand real elections. https://t.co/aeeNKEWfRe

— Bryan MacDonald (@27khv) February 1, 2020