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Wed, 30 Nov 2022
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Health & Wellness


The Infection fatality ratio: the errors in the early estimates

graph IFR country
Recent data shows that early estimates of fatality in the covid pandemic over-predicted deaths by as much as tenfold in younger populations.

The Infection Fatality Ratio (IFR) estimates the percentage deaths in all those with an infection: the detected (cases) and those with undetected disease (asymptomatic and the not-tested group).

The IFR is used to model the estimated number of deaths in the population at large. If it's a large number approaching one percent, then the modelled outputs can report an alarming number of fatalities - providing the impetus for lockdowns.

Early in the pandemic, Imperial College London's Report 9 modelled the impact of covid based on a publication by Verity et al. on 13 March 2000, which estimated the IFR as 0.9 percent.

This IFR gave rise to the modelled estimates 'in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in GB and 2.2 million in the US.'

The authors wrote this: "However, the resulting mitigated epidemic would still likely result in hundreds of thousands of deaths and health systems (most notably intensive care units) being overwhelmed many times over. For countries able to achieve it, this leaves suppression as the preferred policy option."

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mRNA vaccines injure the heart of all vaccine recipients and cause myocarditis in up to 1 in 27, study finds

New evidence has emerged that the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines are routinely injuring the heart of all vaccine recipients, raising further questions about their safety and their role in the recent elevated levels of heart-related deaths.

The latest evidence comes in a study from Switzerland, which found elevated troponin levels - indicating heart injury - across all vaccinated people, with 2.8% having levels associated with subclinical myocarditis.

The official line on elevated heart injuries and deaths, where they are acknowledged, is that they are most likely caused by the virus as a post-Covid condition rather than the vaccines.


Can gut bacteria cause rheumatoid arthritis?

rheumatoid arthritis
Researchers at the University of Colorado School of Medicine have discovered that a unique bacteria found in the gut could be responsible for triggering rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in people already at risk for the autoimmune disease.

Kristine Kuhn, MD, Ph.D., associate professor of rheumatology, led a team of researchers from the Division of Rheumatology on the study, which published on October 26 in the journal Science Translational Medicine. CU School of Medicine student Meagan Chriswell is the lead author of the paper.

"Work led by co-authors Drs. Kevin Deane, Kristen Demoruelle, and Mike Holers here at CU helped establish that we can identify people who are at risk for RA based on serologic markers, and that these markers can be present in the blood for many years before diagnosis," Kuhn says. "When they looked at those antibodies, one is the normal class of antibody we normally see in circulation, but the other is an antibody that we usually associate with our mucosa, whether it be the oral mucosa, the gut mucosa, or the lung mucosa. We started to wonder, 'Could there be something at a mucosal barrier site that could be driving RA?'"

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Is too much medicine making us sick?

tablets pills medicine pharmaceuticals
Thérèse Coffey, the new Health Secretary, was accused of "monumental stupidity" recently for giving leftover antibiotics to a friend. Doctors rounded on her as they described her actions as both dangerous and against the law. Medical professionals fear the public might think it safe and lawful to share unused medicines. This news came amid reports of plans to allow pharmacies to prescribe antibiotics without patients first being examined by their GPs. U.K. pharmacies will be allowed to manage and supply more medicines including contraception without a doctor's prescription under the plans to overhaul the creaking National Health Service. It comes after complaints from the public about a lack of face-to-face GP appointments since the Covid restrictions began.

This story appears to be a further example of our Government's Covid policy mindset, where the public are merely fodder for mass experimentation and where the politicians are absolved of any of the possible dire consequences. The harms of over-prescribing antibiotics and medicines may have been underestimated in the Government's Covid strategy.

An example of the mindset described above is the manner in which dental access was restricted during lockdown. An 'AAA' approach of advice, analgesics (painkillers) and antibiotics was instigated. A CQC report highlights some of the problems: there was already a serious access issue before Covid and the response to it resulted in further reduced capacity; there were more negative feedback accounts of patients searching for dentists many miles away, reeling in pain and even attempting to remove their own teeth with pliers; antibiotic prescribing increased by over 25% and in some areas such as London by 60%, according to a recent study in the British Dental Journal; patients were asked to attend alone and be masked; there were problems with dental services not being able to work well with other health and care providers and difficulties that prevented patients from receiving a prompt, joined-up experience of care.

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Arrow Down

UK regulator mulls Covid vaccination for babies despite high injury rate - as Moderna trial finds vaccine can cause diabetes in infants

baby needle
The U.K. regulator may decide on whether Covid vaccines should be approved for British babies before Christmas. The Mail has the story.
The Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), which polices the safety of drugs used in the U.K., told MailOnline it is currently reviewing data on Moderna's vaccine.

The pharmaceutical firm has submitted evidence in the hope of getting its jab approved for children aged six months and older, as it is in the EU and U.S. Only over-fives can currently get Covid vaccines in the U.K.

Any approval of jabs for babies would cause huge controversy. British authorities have so far held out on approving jabs for infants despite massive pressure, due to concerns that the benefits do not outweigh any potential risks. Children rarely get seriously ill with Covid and the majority are thought to have already been infected.

Experts said today that, even if approved, the jab must not be rolled out "en masse" to healthy infants.

Dr. Laura Squire, the MHRA's Chief Healthcare Quality and Access Officer, revealed the regulator was processing an application from Moderna. But she added the mRNA jab, which works in a similar way to Pfizer's, would only be approved if it met strict safety and efficacy standards.

Comment: As for Pfizer, here's an interesting document on its contract with the Slovenian government:
Note that there are 4 different contracts here dated 10 Dec 2020, 4 March 2021, 7 April 2021 and 28 Sept 2021. The documents show the number of doses ordered per month (but the price is redacted). But, note that even the latest of these contracts (dated 28 Sept 2021) contains the following statement in Article 1 (it's on page 17/25 of the scanned document)

"The ...State further acknowledges that the long-term effects and efficacy of the Vaccine are not currently known"

While that may have been a reasonable statement to include in the December 2020 contract, it is curious that no update at all had been added by the end of September 2021 given all the data on hundreds of millions of doses that had been adminstered by then.

Regarding the Pfizer contract with the UK (which presumably has the same wording) it is very interesting to note that this UK Government report ("Conditions of Authorisation for COVID-19 Vaccine Pfizer/BioNTech (Regulation 174", updated 16 Aug 2022) says:

"Pfizer/BioNTech must provide a regular analysis of safety data based on the MHRA's specifications relating to booster or supplementary doses"

I assume we are still waiting....


What was the Halloween death smog disaster? And other questions related to the fluoridation chemicals added to US water supplies

Killer smog
© Unknown
Killer smog in the Monongahela River Valley town of Donora, Pennsylvania
Why would anyone be opposed to water fluoridation? Doesn't fluoride occur in the water naturally anyway?
The fluoride products used in water fluoridation (sodium fluoride or fluorosilicic acid) are classified as hazardous waste products of the fertilizer, aluminum, and nuclear industries. They are even more toxic than naturally-occurring fluoride, since they contain other components, such as arsenic, lead, barium, and/or aluminum. See this.
However, even naturally-occurring fluoride, in areas with high concentrations (over 1 ppm) has been found to have extremely adverse health effects. Even before additional fluoride is added, the level of natural fluoride in the water in many areas in the U.S. is already equal to the amount of naturally-occurring fluoride that has been found to cause skeletal fluorosis in other countries.

Studies done in India and China found skeletal fluorosis in areas containing naturally occurring fluoride as low as .7 ppm. (Gupta et al 2007, Skeletal fluorosis mimicking seronegative arthritis. Scandanavian Journal of Rheumatology 36(2):154-5.) That same amount, .7 pmm is the current amount recommended by the CDC to be added to community water supplies.


The spike protein is disrupting immunity in millions after Covid infection OR vaccination

spike protein

A spike protein
Multiple studies have shown that the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein is a highly toxic and inflammatory protein, capable of causing pathologies in its hosts.

The presence of spike protein has been strongly linked with long COVID and post-vaccine symptoms. Studies have shown that spike proteins are often present in symptomatic patients, sometimes even months after infections or vaccinations.

The numbers of long COVID and post-vaccine cases have been climbing in the United States, increasingly posing as a healthcare problem.

Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates that around 7 percent of Americans are currently experiencing long COVID symptoms, which would be over 15 million people. Some people with long COVID have been so debilitated that they cannot go to work, the same has been reported in people experiencing post-vaccine symptoms.

Comment: Another interview by The Epoch Times with pathologist Dr. Ryan Cole on the same subject.


Unvaccinated children are 'our only hope' in generating herd immunity: Geert Vanden Bossche

child vaccinated
© David Ryder/Getty Images
Nora Burlingame, 3, sits on the lap of her mother, Dina Burlingame, and gets a fist bump from nurse Luann Majeed after receiving her first dose of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccination at UW Medical Center-Roosevelt in Seattle, Wash., on June 21, 2022.
For nearly two years, vaccine expert and virologist Geert Vanden Bossche has been on a mission to raise awareness of why healthy children should not receive COVID-19 vaccines.

Vanden Bossche, who has 30 years of experience in the vaccine industry, claims that it is primarily the unvaccinated children and adults who can generate herd immunity.

"The children are our only hope still, to generate herd immunity," Vanden Bossche told The Epoch Times. "And herd immunity means, thanks to their natural immunity, they can kill the virus, they can sterilize the virus."

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Microscope 2

US children's hospitals overflowing with respiratory illness patients

johns hopkins surgery
© Johns Hopkins Medicine
Children with a specific respiratory illness have been overwhelming hospitals, mainly in the Southern and Northeastern areas of the United States.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported recent data showing Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) cases have spiked over the past month. RSV usually causes children to contract the usual mild-cold symptoms, but the impact could be much worse for those immunocompromised or with a heart defect.
"We have observed a rise in RSV in multiple U.S. regions, and some regions are nearing seasonal peak levels," a CDC spokesperson told NBC News.

Comment: Since it is a common virus among children with usually mild symptoms, is all this a result of forcing people to wear masks, stay at home, and get vaccinated with dangerously mRNA shots?

Is this the price that the children have to pay for the most unscientific and inhuman behavior of the so-called "health authorities" in the past 2 years?
The children's immunity is so compromised that they can't fight even ordinary cold live viruses now.

We knew that so-called antiCovid measures will eventually lead to what we can see today among children. Many real scientists were alarmed and tried to publicly speak about that, but the psychopathic elites masked as health authorities were just fulfilling their Covid agenda.

Today, about two years after the start of the plandemic, they are still forcing people and children to mandatory take dangerous and ineffective mRNA injections.

See also:


One in every 500 small children who receive the Pfizer vaccine are hospitalised by it, study finds

One in every 500 children under five years who received the Pfizer mRNA Covid vaccine were hospitalised with a vaccine injury, and one in 200 had symptoms ongoing for weeks or months afterwards, a study has found.

The study published in JAMA included 7,806 children aged five or younger who were followed up of for an average of 91.4 days following their first Pfizer vaccination. It was a retrospective cohort study done as an authenticated online survey (response rate 41.1%) in spring 2022 which included parents or caregivers who registered children for SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in outpatient care facilities in Germany. It compared the adverse events to those of the same children with other vaccinations in order to control for over-reporting.

It concluded that the symptoms reported after Pfizer vaccination were "comparable overall" to those for other vaccines. Let's see.

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