
New research predicts new Ebola cases could reach 6,800 in West Africa by the end of the month if new control measures are not enacted.
New research published today in the online journal
PLoS Outbreaks predicts new Ebola cases could reach 6,800 in West Africa by the end of the month if new control measures are not enacted.
Arizona State University and Harvard University researchers also discovered through modelling analysis that the rate of
rise in cases significantly increased in August in Liberia and Guinea, around the time that a mass quarantine was put in place, indicating that the mass quarantine efforts may have made the outbreak worse than it would have been otherwise. Deteriorating living and hygiene conditions in some of the quarantined areas sparked riots last month. Sierra Leone began a three day country-wide quarantine today, where all citizens have been asked to stay at home, said Sherry Towers, research professor for the ASU Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modelling Sciences Center (MCMSC).
"There may be other reasons for the worsening of the outbreak spread, including the possibility that the virus has become more transmissible, but it's also possible that the quarantine control efforts actually made the outbreak spread more quickly by crowding people together in unsanitary conditions," Towers said.
The study, "Temporal variations in the effective reproduction number of the 2014 West Africa Ebola outbreak," is authored by Towers, Oscar Patterson-Lomba of the Harvard School of Public Health and Carlos Castillo-Chavez, ASU Regent's professor and MCMSC executive director.
Comment: It is disturbing to discover that a single dose of these drugs can alter the brain, considering the vast independent research studies that have shown that these drugs can provoke suicidal thoughts, violent behavior and can be extremely dangerous to one's health. What is worse, they are useless considering that they have about the same efficacy as placebos, and in many cases are less effective than exercise and meditation in treating depression.