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Putting the pandemic's death toll into perspective

ambulance
There are two 'official' death tolls on the Government's COVID-19 dashboard. 138,852 is the number of deaths within 28 days of a positive test. 162,620 is the number of deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate.

The main reason the latter is larger than the former is lack of testing during the first wave. In the spring of last year, about 15,000 people in whose death COVID-19 was a contributing factor died without being tested.

So is 162,620 the pandemic's true death toll? No. And that's because it includes a large number of deaths that probably would have happened anyway.

How do we know this? Because if we calculate the excess deaths - the number of deaths in excess of what we'd expect based on previous years - we get a much lower number.

The official death toll for England and Wales, based on death certificates, is 147,031. Yet if we add up all the deaths since the start of March 2020, and subtract the average over the last five years, we get a figure of 117,476 (about 20% lower).

What's more, due to population ageing, the average over the last five years understates the expected number of deaths. Hence the true number of excess deaths is about 15% lower. Taking this into account, the pandemic's total death toll in England and Wales is about 100,000.

Stock Up

Comparing all-cause mortality rate by age group: Vaccinated vs unvaccinated

all-cause mortality
In a previous article we argued that to determine the overall risk-benefit of Covid-19 vaccines it is crucial to be able to compare the all-cause mortality rates between the vaccinated and unvaccinated in each different age category. However, current publicly available UK Government statistics do not include raw data on mortality by age category and vaccination status. Hence, we are unable to make the necessary comparison. In a new paper we explain how we attempted to reverse engineer estimates of mortality by age category and vaccination status from the various relevant public Government datasets; unfortunately, we found numerous discrepancies and inconsistencies which indicate that the Office for National Statistics reports on vaccine effectiveness are grossly underestimating the number of unvaccinated people. Hence, official statistics may be underestimating the mortality rates for vaccinated people in each age category. Although we have not subjected this data to statistical testing, the potential implications of these results on the effects of vaccination on all-cause mortality, and by implication, the future of the vaccination programme is profound.

The new paper
Martin Neil, Norman Fenton and Scott McLachlan (2021), "Discrepancies and inconsistencies in UK Government datasets compromise accuracy of mortality rate comparisons between vaccinated and unvaccinated", http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.32817.10086

Comment: From Neil et al.'s conclusions:
Our analysis has discovered that over 10 million people are missing from the PHE/ONS analysis and 1,236 deaths that occurred during week 26 are also missing. The vaccination status of this group is unknown. Furthermore, by reverse engineering the estimates from other ONS sources we have discovered that the PHE/ONS mortality report is underestimating the number of vaccinated people, from an approximate total of 39 million, by over 2 million people. Similarly, we believe the ONS may be underestimating the number of single dose vaccinated people by just over four hundred thousand. Given this, there is the possibility that as many as 22 million people, in week 26, were unvaccinated rather than the 9.5 million reported.

Our analysis clearly suggests that, when compared to ONS death figures from week 26, all-cause mortality (UMR) for vaccinated people, compared to unvaccinated people, is certainly higher in single dosed individuals and slightly higher in those who are double dosed.

Any analysis that relied solely on the PHE/ONS mortality data would be systematically biased by the fact that it would be conditioned on the available data, and how it is queried from available databases, rather than on the prevailing vaccination status of the population at large. In attempting to reverse engineer estimates of mortality by age category and vaccination status from the various relevant ONS datasets we found numerous discrepancies and inconsistencies which indicate that the PHE/ONS reports on vaccine effectiveness are grossly underestimating the number of unvaccinated people.



Syringe

Daily Sceptic: Vaccine safety update

vaccine
This is the 14th of the round-ups of Covid vaccine safety reports and news compiled by a group of medical doctors who are monitoring developments but prefer to remain anonymous in the current climate (find the 13th one here). By no means is this part of an effort to generate alarm about the vaccines or dissuade anyone from getting inoculated. It should be read in conjunction with the Daily Sceptic's other posts on vaccines, which include both encouraging and not so encouraging developments.

At the Daily Sceptic we report all the news about the vaccines whether positive or negative and give no one advice about whether they should or should not take them. Unlike with lockdowns, we are neither pro-vaccine nor anti-vaccine; we see our job as reporting the facts, not advocating for or against a particular policy. The vaccine technology is novel and the vaccines have not yet fully completed their trials, which is why they're in use under temporary and not full market authorisation. This has been done on account of the emergency situation and the trial data was largely encouraging on both efficacy and safety.

For a summary of that data, see this preamble to the Government's page on the Yellow Card reporting system. (Dr Tess Lawrie in June wrote an open letter to Dr June Raine, head of the MHRA, arguing that: "The MHRA now has more than enough evidence on the Yellow Card system to declare the COVID-19 vaccines unsafe for use in humans," a claim that has been 'fact checked' here.) We publish information and opinion to inform public debate and help readers reach their own conclusions about what is best for them, based on the available data.

Syringe

FDA, CDC ignore damning report that over 90% of a hospital's admissions were vaxxed for Covid-19, no one was reporting this to VAERS

NHS hospital uk
© Peter Byrne/PA
Health secretary yet to make final decision on whether to bring NHS in line with care home sector in England
A concerned Physician Assistant, Deborah Conrad, convinced her hospital to carefully track the Covid-19 vaccination status of every patient admitted to her hospital. The result is shocking.

As Ms. Conrad has detailed, her hospital serves a community in which less than 50% of the individuals were vaccinated for Covid-19 but yet, during the same time period, approximately 90% of the individuals admitted to her hospital were documented to have received this vaccine.

These patients were admitted for a variety of reasons, including but not limited to COVID-19 infections. Even more troubling is that there were many individuals who were young, many who presented with unusual or unexpected health events, and many who were admitted months after vaccination.

One would think that after an association was identified by a healthcare professional, our health authorities would at least review this finding, right? Sadly, when Ms. Conrad reached out to health authorities herself, she was ignored. My firm then sent a letter to the CDC and FDA on July 19, 2021 on Ms. Conrad's behalf (see letter below), yet neither agency has responded. Even worse, when doctors came to Ms. Conrad for assistance with filing VAERS report for their patients, the hospital prohibited her from filing these reports.

SOTT Logo Radio

Objective:Health - People Power! Pushback Against Vaccine Mandates

O:H header
The news has been sprinkled with stories of late about people pushing back against the tyrannical vaccine mandates that are threatening the liberty of the citizens of planet earth.

A number of lawsuits have been issued by workers banding together in multiple sectors, including LA firefighters, Los Alamos nuclear scientists and airline employees. Protests have erupted in Italy, Switzerland, Germany, France and England. The LA county sheriff has refused to enforce the vaccine mandate, and a judge has ruled New York has to honor religious exemptions.

It's all heating up as it seems at least some of the people have drawn a line they will not cross.

Join us on this episode of Objective:Health as we share a bit of good news (for a change) - People Power!


For other health-related news and more, you can find us on:

♥Twitter: https://twitter.com/objecthealth
♥Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/objecthealth/
♥Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channel/objectivehealth
♥LBRY: https://lbry.tv/@objectivehealth:f
♥Odysee: https://odysee.com/@objectivehealth:f

And you can check out all of our previous shows (pre YouTube) here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16H-nK-N0ANdsA5JFTT12_HU5nUYRVS9YcQh331dG2MI/edit?usp=sharing

Running Time: 00:36:26

Download: MP3 — 33.4 MB


Sherlock

Did Japan's Covid vaccine delay contribute to herd immunity and does it explain the sudden drop in cases?

vaccine japan gambler
© Kyodo News via AP, File
In this Sept. 13, 2021, file photo, a woman receives the first shot of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine as others wait for their turn in front of pachinko pinball machines at the pachinko parlor Freedom in Osaka, western Japan. Almost overnight, Japan has become a stunning, and somewhat mysterious, coronavirus success story. Case numbers are way down, but experts worry that without knowing how exactly it cut cases so drastically, the nation may be in store for another devastating wave like during the summer.
Almost overnight, Japan has become a stunning, and somewhat mysterious, coronavirus success story.

Daily new COVID-19 cases have plummeted from a mid-August peak of nearly 6,000 in Tokyo, with caseloads in the densely populated capital now routinely below 100, an 11-month low.

The bars are packed, the trains are crowded, and the mood is celebratory, despite a general bafflement over what, exactly, is behind the sharp drop.

Japan, unlike other places in Europe and Asia, has never had anything close to a lockdown, just a series of relatively toothless states of emergency.


Comment: Part of the reason for this is that it's actually against Japan's constitution to lockdown and they can only 'request the public's cooperation'; obviously violating citizens rights didn't stop countries in the West.

Note, this also goes to show that the massively destructive lockdowns enforced across much of the planet were totally unnecessary.


Comment: Despite the eventual 'successful' vaccine roll out compromising people's immune system, it may be that we're still able to detect any benefit that delaying the vaccine roll out had, as well as the numerous negative repercussions that come with them, that we've seen elsewhere in countries that rolled out earlier: And check out SOTT radio's: NewsReal: Is The Government Hyping Shortages? And is 'Vaccination Shedding' Really a Thing?




Syringe

mRNA Inventor on COVID Response: "Is This Really About the Vaccine or Is It About Something Else?"

Covid-19 vaccine
© Ridofranz/iStock/Getty Images Plus
The top federal agencies responsible for public health in the United States, the CDC, and the FDA, are "profoundly corrupt" and are forcefully pushing experimental gene therapeutics, aka COVID vaccines, on the population with "grossly incomplete" data that does not meet even the "minimum standards" for safety. Moreover, the vaccination campaign and the other elements of the COVID policies that have been employed by governments worldwide have little to do with the public health at all. So says mRNA vaccine inventor Robert Malone in an exclusive interview with LifeSiteNews.

Comment: See also:


Health

Lysine therapy interrupts replication of virus

lysine viral replication
© Sott.net
Evidence suggests that lysine, an essential amino acid your body uses in the production of protein,1 may help prevent or treat viral infections.2,3 Virologists have also suggested lysine could help prevent or treat COVID-19.4

In the past months it's become obvious that COVID-19 can no longer be called a major public health threat. The virus is now endemic, in much the way that the seasonal flu or common cold is. Yet, to continue to implement the Great Reset to "build back better," fearmongers need this crisis to continue.

Just as influenza mutates and creates new variants, SARS-CoV-2 will continue to mutate in the environment. Thankfully, as viruses mutate within a population, they also tend to become more benign.5

Comment: See also:




Pills

Nebraska AG: Docs can prescribe controversial COVID drugs ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine without fear of disciplinary action

ivermectin tablets
© NurPhoto via Getty Images
Nebraska's attorney general said Friday that he won't seek disciplinary action against doctors who prescribe controversial, off-label drugs to treat and prevent coronavirus infections, as long as they get informed consent from patients and don't engage in misconduct.

The office of Attorney General Doug Peterson released a legal opinion saying it didn't see data to justify legal action against health care professionals who prescribe ivermectin, a decades-old parasite treatment, or hydroxychloroquine, a malaria drug that former President Donald Trump took to try to prevent a COVID-19 infection.

"Based on the evidence that currently exists, the mere fact of prescribing ivermectin or hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19 will not result in our office filing disciplinary actions," the Republican attorney general said in the opinion.

Comment: See also:


Hotdog

Americans are eating more ultra-processed foods

processed food
Consumption of ultra-processed foods has increased over the past two decades across nearly all segments of the U.S. population, according to a new study by researchers at NYU School of Global Public Health.

"The overall composition of the average U.S. diet has shifted towards a more processed diet. This is concerning, as eating more ultra-processed foods is associated with poor diet quality and higher risk of several chronic diseases," said Filippa Juul, an assistant professor and postdoctoral fellow at NYU School of Public Health and the study's lead author. "The high and increasing consumption of ultra-processed foods in the 21st century may be a key driver of the obesity epidemic."

Ultra-processed foods are industrially manufactured, ready-to-eat or heat, include additives, and are largely devoid of whole foods. Previous studies by researchers at NYU School of Global Public Health have found that higher consumption of ultra-processed foods is associated with obesity and heart disease.