Welcome to Sott.net
Sun, 02 Oct 2022
The World for People who Think

Earth Changes
Map

Bizarro Earth

Mount Soputan spews ashes

MANADO (Antara): Ash spewed from Mount Soputan on the northern tip of Sulawesi island has covered villages on the volcano's western slopes, forcing hundreds of people to evacuate Thursday morning.

"A number of villages in Southeast Minahasa district on which ash has fallen have been put on a state of red alert," a spokesman for the district administration, Ronny Suwarno, said.

Ronny said the government would evacuate more residents living on the volcano's western slopes if the ash continued to spread in a westerly direction.

Bizarro Earth

Mt. Krakatau activity increases

SERANG, Banten (Antara): Mount Krakatau volcanic activity has increased over the past three days, prompting authorities to raise its status.

The volcano had produced 20 tremors and released 80-meter to 200-meter-long white-grey smoke plumes every hour from Oct. 24 to Oct. 26, Sigin, a monitoring officer , said Friday.

Cloud Lightning

Tropical depression forms south of Haiti

The 16th tropical depression of the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season formed south of Haiti, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said on Saturday.

The depression could become Tropical Storm Noel if its sustained winds reach 39 miles per hour (63 km per hour).

Bizarro Earth

Hazardous air sparks mass warnings in California

Health officials on Saturday warned of extremely hazardous air quality in the wake of this week's wildfires that devoured swaths of Southern California territory and spewed massive amounts of smoke into the atmosphere.

©Agence France-Presse

Bizarro Earth

Australia: Village cops battering as freak twister pays a visit



©n/a
Trail of destruction ... the tornado blew the walls out of St Matthew's Anglican Church.

A freak tornado with winds up to 150 kmh that tore through a northern NSW village was one of the rarest weather events to happen in a populated area of Australia.

Stop

California fires still threaten 20,000 homes

The nine scattered fires that have caused seven confirmed deaths in Southern California continued to burn Saturday, with more than 20,000 homes still in danger, officials said.

Lighter winds and higher humidity enabled firefighters to go on the attack, but many fingers of the fire remain unpredictable. It will take more than a week to put the fires out and probably longer to stamp out flare-ups, officials said.

©Unknown

Fire crews at the Santiago Canyon fire in Orange County made a stand on an old ridge-top truck trail to prevent the fire from burning several homes and heading into Riverside County.

Cloud Lightning

Powerful typhoon heads for Tokyo

A typhoon packing winds of up to 144km/h was today churning off Japan's main island in the Pacific Ocean, heading for the Tokyo region.

Typhoon Faxai was located 300km south of Tokyo and was moving northeast at 85km/h, the meteorological agency said.

"Faxai", a Laotian name for a woman, is expected to bring strong winds, the national weather agency said, warning of heavy rain and possible landslides in eastern Japan.

The typhoon is expected to leave Japan by early Monday, it added.

Bizarro Earth

Much of U.S. Could See a Water Shortage

An epic drought in Georgia threatens the water supply for millions. Florida doesn't have nearly enough water for its expected population boom. The Great Lakes are shrinking. Upstate New York's reservoirs have dropped to record lows. And in the West, the Sierra Nevada snowpack is melting faster each year.

Across America, the picture is critically clear - the nation's freshwater supplies can no longer quench its thirst. The government projects that at least 36 states will face water shortages within five years because of a combination of rising temperatures, drought, population growth, urban sprawl, waste and excess.

X

Rains Flood Capital of Congo, 30 Die

Heavy rains swelled into a torrent of water that swamped Congo's sprawling capital, killing 30 people in less than 24 hours, the government said Friday.

The death toll was likely to rise, an official at Congo's humanitarian affairs ministry said, because relief workers have not been able to reach many flooded neighborhoods.

Cloud Lightning

Climate Predictions: Call Off the Quest

Over the past 30 years, the climate research community has made valiant efforts to answer the "climate sensitivity" question: What is the long-term equilibrium warming response to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide? Earlier this year, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (1) concluded that this sensitivity is likely to be in the range of 2° to 4.5°C, with a 1-in-3 chance that it is outside that range. The lower bound of 2°C is slightly higher than the 1.6°C proposed in the 1970s (2); progress on the upper bound has been minimal.

©Science Magazine
Carbon dioxide-induced warming under two scenarios simulated by an ensemble of simple climate models. (Left) CO2 levels are stabilized in 2100 at 450 ppm; (right) the stabilization target is recomputed in 2050. Shading denotes the likelihood of a particular simulation based on goodness-of-fit to observations of recent surface and subsurface-ocean temperature trends (7, 8). Simulations are plotted in order of increasing likelihood, so worse-fitting models are obscured. The bar labeled "EQM" shows the models' likelihood against their long-term equilibrium warming at 450 ppm. How these likelihoods are translated into forecast probabilities is controversial, and the more asymmetric the likelihood function, the greater the scope for controversy.