This is an official NCAR News Release (National Center for Atmospheric Research) Apparently, they have solar forecasting techniques down to a "science", as boldly demonstrated in this press release. - Anthony
Scientists Issue Unprecedented Forecast of Next Sunspot Cycle
Boulder - The next sunspot cycle will be 30-50% stronger than the last one and begin as much as a year late, according to a breakthrough forecast using a computer model of solar dynamics developed by scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Predicting the Sun's cycles accurately, years in advance, will help societies plan for active bouts of solar storms, which can slow satellite orbits, disrupt communications, and bring down power systems.
The scientists have confidence in the forecast because, in a series of test runs, the newly developed model simulated the strength of the past eight solar cycles with more than 98% accuracy. The forecasts are generated, in part, by tracking the subsurface movements of the sunspot remnants of the previous two solar cycles. The team is publishing its forecast in the current issue of Geophysical Research Letters.
"Our model has demonstrated the necessary skill to be used as a forecasting tool," says NCAR scientist Mausumi Dikpati, the leader of the forecast team at NCAR's High Altitude Observatory that also includes Peter Gilman and Giuliana de Toma.
Understanding the cycles
The Sun goes through approximately 11-year cycles, from peak storm activity to quiet and back again. Solar scientists have tracked them for some time without being able to predict their relative intensity or timing.
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Comment: Computer models with a 98% accuracy fail to forecast reality. The IPCC global warming computer models cannot reproduce any historical climatic history. The IPCC computer models cannot model oceanic thermal oscillations, volcanic activity, total solar irradiance, cosmic radiation flux, cloud cover, or much else that is vital to understanding climate science, forward or backward in time. Yet the global psychological machine is ready to impose controls on the entire population of the world that may kill millions and millions of people by denying them heat and fuel and food and jobs.
Why are these intimidators not equated as terrorists? They incite catastrophic fear in the population. They bully and intimidate other scientists. They demean and slander. They spin derogatory language to dehumanize those who try to speak up and show their reasoning is falsifiable if not down right lies in some cases. And the media such as is displayed in the above article is their willing accomplice, their tool.
We live in an insane world run by psychologically compromised minds.