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Wed, 03 Nov 2021
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Earth Changes
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Ice Cube

GISS data confirm winters definitely getting colder over northern hemisphere continents since 1995!

There is much denial disbelief going around about our ever changing world. Are the winters getting colder? Are the summers getting hotter? Are the ice-caps melting? What's going on?

Fortunately there are systems keeping track. And there are simple ways of plotting the data. One plot, available from Goddard Institute of Space Science (GISS), is a temperature trend plot by month of the year. Here is a plot of temperature trend by month of the year (horizontal) by latitude (vertical) for the last 17 years.

Temperature trend since 1995
© Goddard Institute of Space Science (GISS)
Figure 1 is a zonal trend plot by month for the period 1995 to the present. Horizontal axis = months of the year Jan – Dec; vertical axis = latitude.

Bell

Mt. Sinabung eruption in Indonesia intensifies: Alert raised to highest level

Mt. Sinabung, Indonesia erupting
© Reuters/YT Haryono
Beautiful but deadly: Villagers sit on a truck as they evacuate to a safe spot, while Mount Sinabung spews ash into air at Aman Teran village in Karo regency, North Sumatra on Sunday. The volcano continued to emit volcanic ash, creating an 8,000-meter plume of ash, as thousands of residents remained in temporary shelters out of fear of more eruptions.
Karo administration spokesperson Jhonson Tarigan said Sunday that the number of villagers displaced continued to rise as Mount Sinabung erupted again on Saturday evening.

"There has been a 100 percent increase in the number of those displaced. The number is now at least 11,618 from 19 villages," he said Sunday.

Jhonson said to handle the evacuees, the Karo administration had prepared 26 shelters with supplies. Of the total, 22 are already full.

Volcanology and Geological Disaster Mitigation Center (PVMBG) head Hendrasto said Mt Sinabung's most recent eruption prompted the body to raise the volcano's status on Sunday to the highest level, "siaga" or "red alert".
"This is Sinabung's highest level of activity. The intensity of the eruptions continues to increase," said Hendrasto.
He said that at 2 p.m. local time on Sunday, Sinabung was continuing to spew a column of ash up to 8 kilometers high.

Alarm Clock

Black 'hail' rains down on Italian town after eruption


An Italian photographer has filmed a town being blanketed in stone and ash as it fell from the sky like hail stones after Mt Etna erupted again on Saturday. Footage shows the town covered in inches of black ash spewed out by the volcano and pushed hundreds of kilometers across the Strait of Messina from Sicily to the mainland. It rained down from dark cloud above and spread over the town's streets and cars.

Some residents used umbrellas to shield them from the chunks of ash that were almost 2cm in size.


Mt Etna has erupted several times this year, one as recently as Saturday 16 November, but its last major eruption was in 1992. There were no evacuations from yesterday's eruption, but a highway was closed for half-an-hour and four air corridors that service Sicily's Catania Airport, south of the volcano, were closed for some time.

Comment: Can you see the normalcy bias in action? People are just walking about as usual, using umbrellas to shield against the rocks/ash as though the danger is and will remain benign.


Bizarro Earth

USGS: Magnitude 7.0 - South Atlantic Ocean

Earthquake South Atlantic Ocean
© USGS
Event Time
2013-11-25 06:27:33 UTC
2013-11-25 02:27:33 UTC-04:00 at epicenter

Location
53.881°S 54.882°W depth=10.0km (6.2mi)

Nearby Cities
314km (195mi) SE of Stanley, Falkland Islands
877km (545mi) E of Ushuaia, Argentina
998km (620mi) ESE of Rio Gallegos, Argentina
1031km (641mi) SE of Puerto Deseado, Argentina
314km (195mi) SE of Stanley, Falkland Islands

Technical details

Additional commentary

The November 25, 2013 M7.0 earthquake (06:27:33 UTC) southwest of the Falkland Islands in the South Atlantic Ocean occurred as the result of strike slip faulting, on either a left-lateral fault striking ENE-WSW, or a right-lateral structure striking NNW-SSE. The location of the earthquake, near the ENE-WSW trending plate boundary between the South America and Scotia tectonic plates, suggests it is likely associated with left-lateral faulting along this margin. At the location of this earthquake, the Scotia plate moves ENE with respect to South America at a rate of approximately 9.5 mm/yr.

The November 25, 06:27:33 earthquake was the largest of 5 M5+ events that occurred in a similar area over an approximate 2-hour period, including a M5.6 earthquake 24 seconds prior to the M7.0 mainshock. Though this region experiences moderate-sized earthquakes relatively frequently - 15 M5+ events have occurred within 250 km of the November 25 earthquake over the past 40 years - large events are fairly uncommon. The largest nearby earthquake over the same time period was a M6.6 event in September 1993, 210 km to the east of the November 25 earthquake.

Bizarro Earth

USGS: Earthquake Magnitude 5.6 - South Atlantic Ocean

S.Atlantic Ocean_251113
© USGS
Event Time
2013-11-25 06:27:09 UTC
2013-11-25 02:27:09 UTC-04:00 at epicenter

Location
53.987°S 54.923°W depth=15.1km (9.4mi)

Nearby Cities
321km (199mi) SE of Stanley, Falkland Islands
872km (542mi) E of Ushuaia, Argentina
997km (620mi) ESE of Rio Gallegos, Argentina
1036km (644mi) SE of Puerto Deseado, Argentina
321km (199mi) SE of Stanley, Falkland Islands

Technical Details

Bizarro Earth

Why have 10 major volcanoes along the Ring of Fire suddenly roared to life?

Ring of Fire
© Wikimedia Commons
The Pacific Ring of Fire.
Ten major volcanoes have erupted along the Ring of Fire during the past few months, and the mainstream media in the United States has been strangely silent about this. But this is a very big deal. We are seeing eruptions at some volcanoes that have been dormant for decades. Yes, it is certainly not unusual for two or three major volcanoes along the Ring of Fire to be active at the same time, but what we are witnessing right now is highly unusual. And if the U.S. media is not concerned about this yet, the truth is that they should be. Approximately 90 percent of all earthquakes and approximately 80 percent of all volcanic eruptions occur along the Ring of Fire, and it runs directly up the west coast of the United States. Perhaps if Mt. Rainier in Washington state suddenly exploded or a massive earthquake flattened Los Angeles the mainstream media would wake up. Most Americans have grown very complacent about these things, but right now we are witnessing volcanic activity almost everywhere else along the Ring of Fire. It is only a matter of time before it happens here too.

Sadly, most Americans cannot even tell you what the Ring of Fire is. The following is how Wikipedia defines the "Ring of Fire"...
The Ring of Fire is an area where a large number of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions occur in the basin of the Pacific Ocean. In a 40,000 km (25,000 mi) horseshoe shape, it is associated with a nearly continuous series of oceanic trenches, volcanic arcs, and volcanic belts and/or plate movements. It has 452 volcanoes and is home to over 75% of the world's active and dormant volcanoes.
An easy way to think about the Ring of Fire is to imagine a giant red band stretching along the perimeter of the Pacific Ocean.

And yes, that includes the entire west coast of the United States and the entire southern coast of Alaska.

Butterfly

The year the Monarch didn't appear

Image
© Micah Lidberg
On the first of November, when Mexicans celebrate a holiday called the Day of the Dead, some also celebrate the millions of monarch butterflies that, without fail, fly to the mountainous fir forests of central Mexico on that day. They are believed to be souls of the dead, returned.

This year, for or the first time in memory, the monarch butterflies didn't come, at least not on the Day of the Dead. They began to straggle in a week later than usual, in record-low numbers. Last year's low of 60 million now seems great compared with the fewer than three million that have shown up so far this year. Some experts fear that the spectacular migration could be near collapse.

"It does not look good," said Lincoln P. Brower, a monarch expert at Sweet Briar College.

It is only the latest bad news about the dramatic decline of insect populations.

Another insect in serious trouble is the wild bee, which has thousands of species. Nicotine-based pesticides called neonicotinoids are implicated in their decline, but even if they were no longer used, experts say, bees, monarchs and many other species of insect would still be in serious trouble.

Attention

Seven volcanoes in six different countries all start erupting within hours of each other

Image
© Reuters/Roni Bintang
Mount Sinabung ash cloud.
A new island has appeared in the Pacific. A submarine eruption just off Nishino-Shima Island Japan has erupted for the first time in 40 years. The Japanese Navy noticed the explosions as boiling lava met sea water giving rise to plumes of steam and ash.

Almost 7,000 miles away in Mexico, the Colima volcano blew its top after a period of relative calm. A steam and ash cloud rose two miles into the sky and the grumbling of the mountain could be heard in towns a few miles away.

In Guatemala the 'Fire Mountain' belched out lava and sent up a moderate ash cloud causing an ash fall over nearby towns. The explosions and shock waves occurring in the volcano can be felt by residents over 6 miles away. Doors and windows are reported to be rattling, but there has been no damage so far.

In Vanuatu the Yasur volcano is giving some cause for concern. Although the explosions are quite weak the continuous ash that is coming from the mountain is starting to build up on farming land.

Blue Planet

A climate of fear, cash and correctitude plague environmental science

climate protest
© townhall

Earth's geological, archaeological and written histories are replete with climate changes: big and small, short and long, benign, beneficial, catastrophic and everything in between.

The Medieval Warm Period (950-1300 AD or CE) was a boon for agriculture, civilization and Viking settlers in Greenland. The Little Ice Age that followed (1300-1850) was calamitous, as were the Dust Bowl and the extended droughts that vanquished the Anasazi and Mayan cultures; cyclical droughts and floods in Africa, Asia and Australia; and periods of vicious hurricanes and tornadoes. Repeated Pleistocene Epoch ice ages covered much of North America, Europe and Asia under mile-thick ice sheets that denuded continents, stunted plant growth, and dropped ocean levels 400 feet for thousands of years.

Modern environmentalism, coupled with fears first of global cooling and then of global warming, persuaded politicians to launch the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Its original goal was to assess possible human influences on global warming and potential risks of human-induced warming. However, it wasn't long before the Panel minimized, ignored and dismissed non-human factors to such a degree that its posture became the mantra that only humans are now affecting climate.

Over the last three decades, five IPCC "assessment reports," dozens of computer models, scores of conferences and thousands of papers focused almost entirely on human fossil fuel use and carbon dioxide/greenhouse gas emissions, as being responsible for "dangerous" global warming, climate change, climate "disruption," and almost every "extreme" weather or climate event. Tens of billions of dollars have supported these efforts, while only a few million have been devoted to analyses of all factors - natural and human - that affect and drive planetary climate change.

You would think researchers would welcome an opportunity to balance that vast library of one-sided research with an analysis of the natural causes of climate change - to enable them to evaluate the relative impact of human activities, more accurately predict future changes, and ensure that communities, states and nations can plan for, mitigate and adapt to those impacts. You would be wrong.

Cloud Lightning

Newfoundland and Labrador hit by severe storm

30 cm (12 inches of snow expected. Up to 70 cm (27½ inches) in a few areas.

Western, northern, and central Newfoundland can expect snow at times heavy beginning tonight (Nov 20) with widespread snowfall accumulations between 20 and 40 centimetres (16 inches). Areas of higher terrain could possibly get up to 70 cm.